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The Toronto Blue Jays (50-58) meet the Baltimore Orioles (64-44) on Wednesday to finish off their 4-game series. First pitch from Camden Yards is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 5-4
The trade deadline is over and the Orioles were a buyer as they push to the playoffs. The AL East leaders beat the Blue Jays 6-2 on Tuesday for their 2nd win in the 3-game series. The Blue Jays left 7 men on base in the loss.
The teams split Monday’s doubleheader with the Orioles winning 11-5 and the Blue Jays winning the nightcap 8-4.
Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters
LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Grayson Rodriguez
Kikuchi (4-9, 4.75 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 115 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No decision, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 6-5 home victory vs. Texas Rangers Friday
- 2024 road stats: 2-2, 4.69 ERA (48 IP, 25 ER), 1.52 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 in 10 starts
Rodriguez (12-4, 3.82 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 110 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 6-4 home loss vs. San Diego Padres Friday.
- 2024 home stats: 5-2, 3.19 ERA (53 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 9 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Blue Jays at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Orioles -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-105) | Orioles -1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 6, Blue Jays 5
Moneyline
As a road underdog the Blue Jays post a 37.8% win rate (14-23). Plus, the Orioles appear to have ended their slump right before the All Star break, and look closer to their old selves. But at the current odds it is best to PASS and look to the run line.
Run line/Against the spread
As a home favorite, Baltimore fails to cover more often than not. They are 24-27 in these situations. And, on the road, Toronto is 33-21 (61.1%) against the spread, the highest hit rate in the AL.
BET BLUE JAYS +1.5 (-105).
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Over/Under
As an underdog the Blue Jays are 33-20-2 (62.3%) to the Over. On top of that the Orioles are 49-29-8 (62.8%) as a favorite. Tuesday’s game broke a 7-game Over streak for Toronto and an 8-game Over streak for Baltimore, I expect both teams to come out swinging.
LEAN OVER 9 (-120).
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