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The Toronto Blue Jays (70-56) and Baltimore Orioles (77-48) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 8-3
The Blue Jays won 6-3 in 10 innings as -101 underdogs in the series opener Tuesday. DH Brandon Belt hit a 2-run HR in the 10th inning as Toronto won for the 5th time in its last 7 games. The Blue Jays remain 1 game behind the Seattle Mariners for the final AL Wild Card spot.
The Orioles had a 3-game win streak snapped Tuesday. Baltimore’s lead over the 2nd-place Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East was been cut to just 2 games with the loss.
Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters
RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Jack Flaherty
Gausman (9-7, 3.24 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 144 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 7 R (5 ER), 7 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 9-4 home loss vs. Philadelphia Phillies last Wednesday
- 2023 road stats: 6-4, 3.38 ERA (69 1/3 IP, 26 ER) in 12 starts
- 2023 vs. Orioles: 0-1, 3.65 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 5 ER) in 2 starts — Most recent: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 6-1 home loss Aug. 3
- Career vs. Orioles: 1-2, 5.06 ERA (21 1/3 IP, 12 ER) in 4 starts
Flaherty (8-8, 4.73 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 123 2/3 innings with the St. Louis Cardinals and Orioles.
- Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 7 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 10-3 loss at San Diego Padres on Aug. 15
- 2023 home stats: 4-4, 5.63 ERA (46 1/3 IP, 29 ER) in 9 starts
- Career vs. Blue Jays: 2-0, 0.82 ERA (11 IP, 1 ER) in 2 starts — Most recent: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K on Aug. 3
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Blue Jays at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:02 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Orioles +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+135) | Orioles +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 3, Orioles 2
Moneyline
Gausman should bounce back after one of his worst performances of the season last time out. The former Oriole is averaging just 0.5 earned runs per game this season after allowing 4 or more earned runs in his previous start. Gausman should keep this game low-scoring and set the Blue Jays up to finally hand Flaherty his 1st career loss vs. Toronto.
BET BLUE JAYS (-125).
Run line/Against the spread
The Orioles are 11-5 on the run line this season as home underdogs, according to TeamRankings.com. Baltimore will likely hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Toronto ML is the better play.
PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.
Over/Under
Gausman has proven this season that he is capable of bouncing back after bad performances, and Flaherty has looked good vs. Toronto in 2 career starts.
The Under is 21-16 (56.8%) this season when the Blue Jays are road favorites and should hit again Wednesday with Toronto’s best starter on the mound.
BET UNDER 8 (+100).
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