The Toronto Blue Jays (38-31) and the Baltimore Orioles (42-25) wrap up a 3-game series Thursday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 4-1
The Blue Jays picked up their 1st victory in 5 tries against the Orioles this season with a 3-1 win Wednesday. The 3 runs were enough to back RHP Jose Berrios, who carried a no-hitter into the 7th inning.
The Orioles saw their 5-game win streak snapped Wednesday, and the lone run was their worst output since getting shut out 4-0 at the San Francisco Giants on June 3. Baltimore was averaging 6.3 runs per game (RPG) across its previous 8 games heading into Wednesday.
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Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters
LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Tyler Wells
Kikuchi (6-2, 4.34 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 66 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 3-2 home loss vs. the Minnesota Twins Friday
- 2023 road splits: 3-1, 5.00 ERA (36 IP, 20 ER – 11 HR) with a .287 opponent batting average (OBA) in 7 starts
- Allowed 3 ER on 4 H and 4 BB with 3 K in 4 2/3 IP vs. Baltimore in Toronto on May 19 and he has posted a 6.29 ERA in 9 career games against the O’s
Wells (5-2, 3.24 ERA) makes his 13th start and 14th appearance. He has an 0.85 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 75 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 3-2 home win vs. the Kansas City Royals Friday
- 2023 home splits: 3-2, 2.49 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 12 ER) with a .188 OBA in 7 starts
Blue Jays at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 5:48 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Orioles -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-185) | Orioles -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -120)
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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 6, Blue Jays 2
Moneyline
The ORIOLES (-135) will get back on track against the Blue Jays Wednesday to win the series and improve to 5-1 on the season against their AL East rival.
Kikuchi struggled with his control in the meeting in mid-May against the O’s in Toronto, and he has terrible career numbers against Baltimore.
Look for the home side to get untracked after a rare low-scoring game Wednesday.
Run line/Against the spread
The ORIOLES -1.5 (+150) are worth a roll of the dice on the run line at plus money.
Baltimore is 3-1 in the past 4 games as a favorite on the run line, and 3 of its 4 wins against Toronto this season were by at least 2 runs.
The O’s have won 8 of the past 10 games against AL East foes and are 13-3 in the past 16 in Game 3 of a series. Baltimore is also 13-5 in the past 18 vs. left-handed pitchers, too.
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Over/Under
Playing the UNDER 9 (-120) is the lean, but it comes with risk if Baltimore does what it usually does against Kikuchi and the Jays.
The Under cashed comfortably in Wednesday’s game and is 9-4-1 in the past 14 games for Toronto against teams with a winning record.
The Under is 4-0 in the past 4 games for the O’s against left-handed starting pitchers while going 4-0 in the past 4 at home vs. LHP, too.
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