The No. 8 Texas Longhorns (22-6, 11-4 Big 12) and No. 10 Baylor Bears (20-8, 9-6) meet Saturday at Ferrell Center in Waco, Texas. Tip-off is scheduled for 2 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Texas vs. Baylor game odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
Texas has rebounded from a 74-67 loss at Texas Tech on Feb. 13 by posting back-to-back wins over Oklahoma (85-83, last Saturday) and Iowa State (72-54, Tuesday). The Longhorns have dropped 3 of their past 4 games on the road and are 2-4 against the spread (ATS) across their last 6 away contests.
Baylor has dropped the past 2 games, both on the road, at Kansas (87-71, last Saturday) and Kansas State (75-65, Tuesday). However, the Bears have rattled off victories in 6 in a row at home, including against Arkansas, Kansas and Texas Tech.
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Texas at Baylor odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:08 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Texas +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Baylor -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Texas +3.5 (+100) | Baylor -3.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Texas at Baylor picks and predictions
Prediction
Texas 75, Baylor 73
Moneyline
The moneyline play is TEXAS (+150), as the underdog Longhorns are playing better basketball of late.
Baylor has dropped consecutive games, and it has won just 4 of the past 7 games overall, including a 76-71 loss to the Longhorns in the first meeting in Austin on Jan. 30.
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Against the spread
TEXAS +3.5 (+100) is worth playing if you feel as if is going to win a close game with perhaps a buzzer-beater. If not, the better value is taking the Longhorns straight up on the ML.
The road team is 18-8 ATS in the past 26 meetings in this series, but Texas is risky since it is 3-9 ATS in the past 12 on the road.
Over/Under
UNDER 148.5 (-115) is worth playing, but go with a half-unit at best due to the conflicting trends.
The Over is 13-6-1 in the past 20 games overall for Texas. However, the Under is 7-3 in the past 10 games for Baylor and 9-4 in its last 13 games at home.
The Under also cashed in the first meeting in Austin, ever so slightly. Expect more of the same in this rematch in Waco.
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