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The No. 20 Tennessee Volunteers (5-2, 2-2 SEC) take on the Kentucky Wildcats (5-2, 2-2) on Saturday at Kroger Field. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tennessee vs. Kentucky odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Volunteers failed to cover as 9-point road underdogs in their 34-20 loss to No. 8 Alabama in Week 8, and the Over (48) hit. Tennessee was on a 3-game winning streak before its loss to Alabama and has scored only 20 points in back-to-back weeks.
The Wildcats were defeated by No. 16 Missouri 38-21 in Week 7 as 1.5-point home favorites, and the Over (50.5) cleared. Kentucky lost 2 games in a row before having its bye in Week 8, with the other loss coming to No. 1 Georgia.
Tennessee is No. 20 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
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Tennessee at Kentucky odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:07 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Tennessee -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Kentucky +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
- Against the spread (ATS): Tennessee -3.5 (-110) | Kentucky +3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Tennessee at Kentucky picks and predictions
Prediction
Kentucky 27, Tennessee 24
Moneyline
While Tennessee is favored to win this SEC bout on the road, I’ll back KENTUCKY (+150) at home. The Volunteers have only played 2 road games thus far and both of those were losses to conference opponents.
The Wildcats are also 4-1 at home this season.
Against the spread
KENTUCKY +3.5 (-110) is the play against the spread considering we are siding with the Wildcats to pull off the upset at home. The Volunteers have failed to cover the spread in each of their 1st 2 road games against SEC teams.
Meanwhile, the Wildcats are 3-2 ATS at home and are now 8-5 ATS at home in the last 2 seasons.
Over/Under
Neither of these offenses has shown much consistency this season, making the UNDER 51.5 (-115) the ideal choice in this contest. The Volunteers are allowing only 19.43 points per game, while the Wildcats are giving up only 23.57 points per game.
QB Joe Milton III and QB Devin Leary have been shaky this season, and the Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these programs.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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