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The Tampa Bay Rays (34-39) and Minnesota Twins (41-32) play the 2nd game of 3-game set Wednesday. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Twins lead 1-0
Tampa Bay fell 7-6 against Minnesota Tuesday while failing to cash as a +166 road underdog. LF Randy Arozarena hit a 3-run HR in the 1st inning for the Rays, who led by as many as 4 runs in the 4th. Closer RHP Pete Fairbanks (Loss, 2/3 IP, 1 ER) allowed 2 singles and was forced to leave after taking a comebacker off his throwing hand.
The Twins have won 6 games in a row after taking down the Rays Tuesday as -182 home favorites. Twins 1B Carlos Santana hit a game-winning pinch-hit single with 2 outs in the 9th inning. RHP Jhoan Duran picked up the win, retiring all 3 batters he faced — 2 via strikeout — in the 9th.
Rays at Twins projected starters
RHP Taj Bradley vs. RHP Joe Ryan
Bradley (2-4, 4.23 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 38 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER (2 R), 3 H, 2 BB, 11 K in 3-2 home victory against Chicago Cubs Thursday
- Career vs. Twins: 0-0, 7.71 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 4 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a 5-4 road win Sept. 13, 2023
Ryan (5-5, 3.24 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 86 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 6-2 home victory against Oakland A’s Thursday
- Career vs. Rays: 0-0, 3.86 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 1 ER), 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a 3-2 home win Sept. 12, 2023
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Rays at Twins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:05 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rays +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Twins -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-150) | Twins -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Rays at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 5, Rays 4
Moneyline
BET TWINS (-165).
Minnesota has won 8 of its last 10 games, including each of its last 6 overall and 7 of its last 8 at home. It has scored 6 or more runs in each of its last 6 games. Tampa Bay is just 3-7 in its last 10 games, including 1-3 in its last 4, all on the road. It has allowed 6 or more runs in each of its last 4 games.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There is minimal value on the run line in this matchup.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 7.5 (+100).
While both pitchers have had impressive recent outings, the Twins have scored 6 or more runs in each of their last 6 games and 5 or more in 8 of their last 9. They have also allowed 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Rays have scored 6 or more runs in back-to-back games and allowed 5 or more in 7 of their last 10. Given each team’s recent scoring history, 7.5 runs feels too low not to bet the Over.
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