Tag: Rays Twins odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (89-57) and Minnesota Twins (76-69) wrap up a 3-game series at Target Field Wednesday. First pitch is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 4-1

Tampa Bay’s 4-game win streak was snapped on Tuesday in a 3-2 loss to the Twins. The Rays look to win their 8th series in their last 9 on Wednesday afternoon. They are 39-32 away from Tropicana Field this season.

The Twins snapped a 4-game losing streak to the Rays on Tuesday behind a 2-run blast in the 7th inning from CF Will Castro. Minnesota hopes to end their 6-game homestand above .500 with a win on Wednesday. They are 43-31 at Target Field this season.

Rays at Twins projected starters

RHP Taj Bradley vs. LHP Dallas Keuchel

Bradley (5-7, 5.44 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 86 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 7-4 home victory against the Seattle Mariners Friday
  • Has never started against the Twins
  • 2023 road stats: 2-4, 5.09 ERA (46 IP, 26 ER), .257 OBA in 10 starts

Keuchel (1-1, 4.78 ERA) will make his 6th start and 7th appearance. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 in 26 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 5-2 home win against the New York Mets Friday
  • Has not started against the Rays since 2021
  • 2023 home stats: 1-0, 1.27 ERA (21 1/3 IP, 3 ER), .221 opponent batting average (OBA) in 4 games

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Rays at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:48 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Twins +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+125) | Twins +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rays at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 6, Twins 4

Moneyline

BET RAYS (-125).

I’m simply betting the better team in this game. Yes, the Twins got the monkey off their back on Tuesday by finally beating Tampa for the 1st time this season. I think that sets up perfectly for the Rays to get back on track and finish out this series with a win.

Run line/Against the spread

BET RAYS -1.5 (+125).

I like them to win straight up and I think they win comfortably on Wednesday afternoon. Keuchel is a career 2-6 against the Rays with a 4.72 ERA in 10 starts. The Rays are 20-8 against left handers (batting .261 as a team) this season which means this lineup will do damage against the old southpaw.

Over/Under

PASS.

I’m going to save my money for the moneyline and run line for this one. If I had a lean, it would be the Over with 2 sub-par pitchers taking the mound. Bradley has allowed at least 3 ER in 3 of his last 4 starts and Keuchel gives up big numbers to the tune of at least 5 ER in 4 of his last 7 starts.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (75-69) welcome the Tampa Bay Rays (89-56) to Target Field Tuesday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 4-0

Tampa Bay, which swept the Twins at home from June 6-8, beat them 7-4 on Monday. The Rays sit 2nd in the AL East, 3 1/2 games behind the Baltimore Orioles. Tampa Bay is 6-4 over its last 10 games and is 38-31 on the road.

The Twins lead the AL Central by 7 1/2 games over the Cleveland Guardians. Minnesota is 6-4 in its last 10 games and is 42-30 at home this season.

Rays at Twins projected starters

RHP Zack Littell vs. RHP Joe Ryan

Littell (3-5, 4.29 ERA) makes his 25th appearance and 12th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 71 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 8 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 1-0 home loss vs. the Seattle Mariners Thursday
  • 2023 road stats: 2-3, 3.60 ERA in 35 IP in 13 appearances (6 starts)

Ryan (10-9, 4.21 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 141 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 2-1 road loss vs. the Cleveland Guardians Wednesday
  • 2023 home stats: 6-4, 3.77 ERA in 71 2/3 IP in 12 starts

Rays at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:56 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Twins -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-190) | Twins -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rays at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Rays 4

Moneyline

BET TWINS (-135).

The Twins lost to the Rays on Monday, but their offense has been electric as of late. They have scored 8 or more in 3 of their last 7 games and 5 or more in 4 of their last 7. They are also 13-12 with Ryan starting, and he has allowed 2 ER or less in his last 3  starts.

The Rays are 10-14 in games Littell is on the mound and 2-4 in his last 6 starts. Given Minnesota’s offensive explosiveness lately and the difference in pitching, back TWINS (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

It is not easy to consistently cover as a home favorite. The Twins are just 28-24 ATS in this situation. Despite the odds, the moneyline presents more value here. Tampa Bay is 12-8 ATS as a road underdog as well.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-105).

Both teams have been strong offensively lately. The Twins are 6-3 O/U over their last 9 games while the Rays are 4-0 O/U in their last 4 games and 6-2 O/U in their last 8. Tampa Bay is 78-63-4 O/U on the season. Also, the Rays have scored 6 or more runs in 4 straight games.

Given the high-octane bats for both sides, back OVER 8.5 (-105).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (88-56) open a 3-game series with the Minnesota Twins (75-68) Monday. First pitch from Target Field is at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 3-0

Tampa won the final 3 games of a 4-game set vs. the Seattle Mariners over the weekend after dropping the opener Thursday. The Rays have 14 wins in their last 19 games but still trail the Baltimore Orioles by 3 games in the AL East.

The Twins have won 2 of 3 games in each of their last 3 series, including a weekend set with the New York Mets that ended with a 2-0 loss Sunday. Minnesota has a 7 1/2 game lead on Cleveland in the AL Central.

Rays at Twins projected starters

RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Sonny Gray

Glasnow (8-5, 2.98 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 through 99 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 14 K in 3-1 home victory vs. Boston Red Sox Wednesday
  • 2023 road stats: 4-3, 3.17 ERA (48 1/3 IP, 17 ER) with 10.8 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Out of his 123 career appearances, just 1 has come against Minnesota — No-decision, 3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 2018 relief appearance

Gray (7-6, 2.98 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 163 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 2 BB, 4 K in 8-3 road win vs. Guardians Tuesday
  • 2023 home stats: 4-3, 2.80 ERA (83 2/3 IP, 26 ER) with 8.9 K/9 and just 3 HR allowed.
  • Career vs. Rays: 4-5, 4.29 ERA (79 2/3 IP, 38 ER), 7.8 K/9 in 12 starts and 2 relief appearances, most recently in 2018

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Rays at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Twins +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+135) | Twins +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rays at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Twins 3

Moneyline

Glasnow is in the midst of a dominant 12-start stretch in which he has registered a 2.30 ERA with a 101/15 K/BB and just 5 HR allowed across 74 1/3 IP. He’s tough to bet against and should help his team come out on top in this one.

Back the RAYS (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

Gray hasn’t been as dominant as Glasnow has, though he has been excellent himself, both throughout the season and in recent weeks. In his last 7 starts, he has recorded a 2.36 ERA (45 2/3 IP, 12 ER) along with a 45/9 K/BB. Tampa has the pitching edge, but Gray should keep it close, so the wise move is to SKIP this line.

Over/Under

The Twins rank 9th in the majors in runs per game at home (4.81), while Tampa is 5th in runs per game on the road (5.43). Both will be hard-pressed to get there in this game, as both starting pitchers have been on quite a roll.

The total is a low one but both these hurlers are fully capable of throwing up zeroes in this game. This should end up pretty close to the total but a slight lean to UNDER 7.5 (-110) is the call here.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (34-23) drop by Target Field Friday to begin a 3-game series with the Minnesota Twins (33-26) at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Rays SP Shane McClanahan outdueled St. Louis Cardinals SP Miles Mikolas in Tampa’s 2-1 win Thursday to close out a 3-game sweep of the Cardinals. The Rays are 6-4 straight up (SU) in their last 10 games.

Minnesota lost the rubber match of a 3-game set with the New York Yankees Thursday 10-7, blowing a 7-3 lead, and the Twins fell to 4-6 in the last 10.

Season series: Minnesota leads 2-1 with a plus-9 run differential in those meetings.

Rays at Twins projected starters

RHP Drew Rasmussen vs. LHP Devin Smeltzer 

Rasmussen is 5-2 with a 3.02 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 53 2/3 IP over 11 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in Tampa’s 3-2 home loss vs. the Chicago White Sox Saturday with 7-scoreless IP, 3 H, 1 BB and 2 K.
  • This is Rasmussen’s 1st career start vs. the Twins.

Smeltzer is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 4.2 K/9 in 28 IP over 5 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in Minnesota’s 8-6 win at the Toronto Blue Jays Sunday with 4 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 HR, 2 BB and 1 K.
  • This is Smeltzer’s 1st career start vs. the Rays.

Rays at Twins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rays -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | Twins -117 (bet $117 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+155) | Twins +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -140 | U: +112)

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Rays at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 7, Twins 5

Money line

BET the RAYS (-103).

Tampa opened as -125 favorites and has been steamed down. But, there’s value in fading that line movement because the Rays have a slight edge in the starting pitching matchup, and the Twins (-117) used a ton of relievers in a 10-7 loss to the Yankees Thursday.

Since the total is high (8.5), we should see a bunch of both bullpens, and this is an area of strength for Tampa whereas Minnesota’s bullpen ranks 29th in WAR (-0.2) and 27th in FIP (4.29), according to FanGraphs.

BET the RAYS (-103).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’m not confident enough to sprinkle on the Rays -1.5 (+155) even though the Twins +1.5 (-190) are just 3-7 RL as home underdogs.

Rasmussen’s numbers dip on the road, Smetlzer’s improve at home and all 3 of the previous Rays-Twins meetings this season have been lopsided one way or the other.

PASS.

Over/Under

The market steamed this total up from an 8.5-run opener to 9.5, and it fell back down this afternoon. Minnesota’s lineup has been raking lately, but its bullpen is unreliable. Also, Tampa is 3-0-1 O/U in Rasmussen’s last 4 starts, Minnesota is 5-0-1 O/U in the last 6 games and the Rays-Twins are 7-2 O/U in their last 9 meetings in Minnesota.

But, since there is a ton of juice in play, it’s just a LEAN to the OVER 8.5 (-140).

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