Tag: Yankees Rays odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (26-15) and Tampa Bay Rays (20-20) meet for the finale of a 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Tropicana Field is set for 1:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: New York leads 3-2

Tampa Bay routed New York 7-2 while covering as a -102 home favorite in Saturday’s 2nd game of the series. The Rays trailed 2-1 after 2, but scored 6 unanswered runs in the 3rd and 7th innings. RHP Zack Littell picked up the win (5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K).

The Yankees have lost 2 of their last 3 games and also lost 2 of their last 3 road games. New York has scored 3 runs or less in each of its last 3 losses.

Yankees at Rays projected starters

RHP Luis Gil vs. LHP Tyler Alexander

Gil (3-1, 2.92 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 5.8 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 37 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 4 BB, 5 K in a 10-3 win vs. the Houston Astros Tuesday
  • Career vs. Tampa Bay: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 0 ER), 2 H, 3 BB, 9 K in a 1 start

Alexander (1-1, 4.96 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 32 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in an 8-2 win over the Chicago White Sox Monday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 2.03 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 9 H, 3 BB, 13 K in 2 starts and 2 relief appearances

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Yankees at Rays odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:37 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -142 (bet $142 to win $100) | Rays +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+122) | Rays +1.5 (-146)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 6, Yankees 4

Moneyline

BET RAYS (+120).

Tampa Bay is 6-2 in its last 8 home games while the Yankees are only 1-2 in their last 3 road games. The Rays are also 3-1 in their last 4 home matchups with New York.

Be aware that the Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 games.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I fully expect the Rays to cover here as +1.5 (-146) underdogs, but I like their odds more on the moneyline and I am not a fan of doubling down. Therefore, bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-105).

The Over has hit in 5 of New York’s last 7 games. For Tampa Bay, the Over is 4-2 in its last 6 wins. The Over has also hit in 2 of the last 3 New York-Tampa Bay meetings and the Over is 3-2 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.

However, the Over is only 5-4-1 in both teams’ last 10 games and is 5-5 in the last 10 NY-TB matchups.

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (26-14) and Tampa Bay Rays (19-20) meet Saturday for Game 2 of a 3-game series. First pitch from Tropicana Field is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: New York leads 3-1

New York picked up the 2-0 win in Friday’s series opener while covering as a -124 road favorite. Each of New York’s runs came thanks to 1B Anthony Rizzo, who hit both a 1-run RBI and a solo HR. RHP Clarke Schmidt was credited with the win as he pitched 6 2/3 innings with 5 H, 0 ER. 2 BB, and 6 K.

Tampa Bay threw 93 strikes to New York’s 87, but the Rays also allowed 9 hits and only struck out 9 batters to New York’s 11 in the loss. The Rays were also held to only 6 hits and 6 total bases Friday as they have now lost back-to-back games.

Yankees at Rays projected starters

LHP Nestor Cortes vs. RHP Zack Littell

Cortes (1-3, 3.72 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 48 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 9 K in a 5-2 win over the Detroit Tigers Sunday
  • Career vs. Tampa Bay: 2-3, 3.95 ERA (57 IP, 25 ER), 49 H, 13 BB, 50 K across 8 starts and 5 relief appearances

Littell (1-2, 3.00 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 39 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 7 K in a 3-1 win over the New York Mets Saturday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 1-0, 6.00 ERA (6 IP, 4 ER), 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 1 start

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Yankees at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Rays +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+140) | Rays +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 3, Rays 2

Moneyline

LEAN YANKEES (-125).  

New York has won back-to-back games and is 2-1 in its last 3 road games. The Yankees have also won consecutive matchups vs. Tampa Bay, being 3-1 in the last 4 matchups overall.

This is only a lean because each team is 5-5 in the last 10 head-to-heads.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. 

This will likely be a close game, meaning that I like the Rays to cover here as +1.5 (-165) underdogs. However, the line is simply set too heavily to risk betting on, so bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-115). 

The Under has hit in back-to-back games for New York and is 4-1 in its last 5 road games. For Tampa Bay, the Under is 3-0 in its last 3 outings. The Under has also hit in 3 of the last 4 New York-Tampa Bay matchups overall and is 2-1 in the last 3 meetings in Tampa Bay.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (25-14) and Tampa Bay Rays (19-19) open a 3-game series Friday in St. Petersburg, Fla. First pitch from Tropicana Field is scheduled for 6:50 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 2-1

Both squads recently saw 5-game winning streaks snapped. New York failed to cash as a (-140) home favorite on Thursday vs. Houston, losing 4-3 as SP Marcus Stroman surrendered a season high 9 hits and 4 runs in 5.1 IP. Rays SP Aaron Civale did not get through the 5th inning for the 4th straight start as Tampa Bay fell 4-1 Wednesday as a big-time home favorite (-260) vs. Chicago.

The Yankees enter Friday with the most wins in the American League (25), although they are a 0.5 game back of Baltimore for 1st place in the AL East. CF Aaron Judge has gotten hot, as the Yankees captain is riding a 6-game hitting streak with RBIs in 5 straight games and 3 HR over that span.

The Rays are a half-game back of Boston for 3rd place in the AL East. last weekend manager Kevin Cash passed Joe Maddon to become the winningest manager (755 wins) in franchise history. SS Jose Cabellero leads the AL in SBs (14), although the 27-year-old has just 1 hit over his last 5 games.

Yankees at Rays projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Taj Bradley

Schmidt (3-1, 3.50 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 3.25 BB/9 and 10.25 K/9 in 36 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 5-3 win over Detroit on May 4
  • Took a no-decision in a 5-3 win over the Rays at Yankee Stadium on April 19, allowing 7 H, 1 ER, 0 BB with 7 K in 5.1 IP

Bradley (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 1st start of the season. The 23-year-old sustained a right pectoral strain during spring training, causing him to miss the 1st 6 weeks of the season.

  • Last start (AAA Durham): No-decision, 6 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 8 K on May 3, throwing 94 pitches
  • The former top prospect sported a 11.09 K/9 in 2023, 9th-highest among 127 pitchers with at least 100 IP.

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Yankees at Rays odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Rays +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+134) | Rays +1.5 (-162)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

New York 4, Tampa Bay 3

Moneyline

PASS.

Bradley surrendered only 1 solo HR and a hit in 11 IP with 15 Ks with Durham, topping 98.5 mph in a hitless 1st outing. Impressive stuff, but that’s at the AAA level, not against the likes of Judge, RF Juan Soto and 1B Anthony Rizzo.

Run line/Against the spread

INCLUDE RAYS RL (-162) IN A PARLAY.

DH Giancarlo Stanton was left out of that aforementioned group of Bronx Bombers because I expect that Bradley will strike him out at least once. The 34-year-old Ks at a 32.6% clip, 15th highest out of 305 hitters with at least 180 PAs vs RHP.

The (-162) is a lot to lay on its own, but there is a fun way to reduce the juice and stretch out action into Saturday for Paul Skenes day. Combining Tampa Bay +1.5 with Pittsburgh +1.5 (-182) at home vs. the Cubs pays out roughly +145 on FanDuel.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-108).

Tampa Bay has the highest ground ball percentage vs RHP in the AL (46.4%), while Schmidt has induced the 2nd-lowest amount of hard contact among SPs in the AL (20.7%). The Yankees have the best bullpen ERA in MLB (2.25), so a comeback attempt for Tampa if they trail after Schmidt’s departure is unlikely.

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (62-67) and Tampa Bay Rays (79-52) meet Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Tropicana field is set for 1:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 7-5

Tampa Bay won 3-0 as a -171 road favorite Saturday. SP Tyler Glasnow picked up the win for Tampa Bay, pitching 6 scoreless innings, allowing 1 H, 2 BB, 4 K.

The Yankees are 2-8 in their last 10 games and sit at 26-34 on the road. On the other end is the Rays, who are 7-3 in their last 10 and 44-23 at home on the season.

Yankees at Rays projected starters

LHP Carlos Rodon vs. RHP Zack Littell

Rodon (1-4, 6.27 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 33 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 1 K in a 2-1 home loss Tuesday vs. the Washington Nationals
  • Career vs. Tampa Bay: 0-2, 5.01 ERA (23 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 23 H, 19 BB, 25 K in 5 starts

Littell (2-4, 4.27 ERA) makes his 22nd appearance and 9th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 52 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 12-4 home win Tuesday vs. the Colorado Rockies
  • First career regular-season start vs. New York

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Yankees at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Rays -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-200) | Rays -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Yankees 3

Moneyline

BET RAYS (-120).

The Rays are the much hotter team and have been a dominant home team this season, while the Yankees have struggled on the road. The Rays also have the pitching advantage. The Rays are 3-2 in Littell’s last 5 starts while the Yankees are 1-4 in Rodon’s last 5 starts and 0-3 in his last 3 starts vs. Tampa Bay.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Yankees are a safer bet to cover here but at +1.5 (-200) the line is far too risky.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8 (-115).

The Under is 3-1 in the last 4 New York-Tampa Bay meetings. The Under is also 3-2 in Rodon’s last 5 starts overall and 3-0 in his last 3 starts vs. Tampa Bay, while also being 3-1 in Littell’s last 4 starts overall.

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (62-66) are set to play the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays (78-52) on Saturday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 6-5

The Yankees secured a 6-2 victory over the Rays Friday, with 1B DJ LeMahieu hitting 2 home runs in the contest. New York has won only 2 of its last 10 games and remains in sole possession of last place in the AL East.

Friday’s loss against the Yankees snapped a 4-game winning streak for the Rays. Tampa Bay is 7-3 in its last 10 contests and is 3 games behind the Baltimore Orioles for 1st place in the division.

Yankees at Rays projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Tyler Glasnow

Schmidt (8-7, 4.68 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 123 IP.

  • Last start: No decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K in a 6-5 home loss to the Boston Red Sox on August 20.
  • Road stats: 5-2. 5.75 ERA (51 2/3 IP, 33 ER) in 11 starts.
  • Career vs. Rays: 1-2, 5.40 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 10 ER) in 3 starts and 4 relief appearances.

Glasnow (6-4, 3.35 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 12.3 K/9 through 80 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 7-6 road loss to the Los Angeles Angels on August 19.
  • Home stats: 2-2, 3.43 ERA (39 1/3 IP, 15 ER) in 7 starts.
  • Career vs. Yankees: 3-2, 3.12 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 15 ER) in 8 starts.

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Yankees at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Rays -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-140) | Rays -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Yankees 3

Moneyline

Following Friday’s loss at home, the Rays have a solid chance to bounce back with Glasnow on the mound. That being said, just AVOID the money line in this game as taking Tampa Bay at -185 odds isn’t worth the risk.

Run line/Against the spread

RAYS -1.5 (+115) has some value with Tampa Bay having a massive advantage in the pitching matchup. The Yankees have lost by a combined score of 17-8 in Schmidt’s last 2 starts.

Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (+100) is the lean in this divisional bout despite Glasnow pitching for the Rays. The Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings overall, which includes 2 starts by Glasnow that achieved the Over.

Also, the Yankees are 6-4 to the Over in their last 10 games, and the Rays are 8-2 to the Over in their last 10.

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (61-66) open a 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays (78-51) on Friday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 6-4

The Yankees lost 6-5 to the Washington Nationals Thursday. New York has lost 9 of its last 10 games and is last in the AL East, 18 games back of the division-leading Baltimore Orioles and 10 games back of the final AL Wild Card.

The Rays beat the Colorado Rockies 5-3 Thursday to extend their win streak to 4 games. Tampa Bay has won 7 of its last 10 contests and is now only 2 games behind the Orioles in the division while holding a sizeable lead at the top AL Wild Card.

Yankees at Rays projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Zach Eflin

Cole (10-4, 3.03 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 160 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K in an 8-1 home loss to the Red Sox Saturday
  • 2023 road stats: 3-2, 2.62 ERA (68 2/3 IP, 20 ER) in 11 starts
  • Career vs. Rays: 3-7, 3.72 ERA (109 IP, 45 ER) in 18 starts

Eflin (13-7, 3.58 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 138 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in an 18-4 road victory vs. Los Angeles Angeles Saturday
  • 203 home stats: 10-3, 3.05 ERA (82 2/3 IP, 28 ER) in 14 starts
  • Career vs. Yankees: 3-0, 1.57 ERA (23 IP, 6 ER) in 4 starts

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Yankees at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Rays -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-190) | Rays -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -125 | U: +105)

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Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

The RAYS (-135) are the pick in this AL East showdown even with Cole on the mound for the Yankees. Besides the recent woes of the Yankees, Tampa Bay is 43-22 at home compared to New York producing a 25-33 record on the road this season.

Run line/Against the spread

While a duel between Cole and Eflin should remain close, I’ll AVOID betting on the run line in this contest. Taking the Yankees to keep the game within 2 runs isn’t worth the risk at nearly -200 odds.

Over/Under

OVER 7 (-125) is how I’d wager on the run total despite Cole and Eflin pitching on Friday. The Over is 7-3 in the first 10 meetings this season.

The Yankees are 6-4 to the Over in their last 10 games overall and the Rays are 8-2 to the Over in their last 10 contests.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (18-16) and Tampa Bay Rays (27-7) wrap up a 3-game series in Tampa Sunday afternoon. First pitch from Tropicana Field is slated for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankee vs Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

New York won 3-2 Saturday as a +160 underdog, ending Tampa Bay’s 4-game win streak. The Rays scored 2 in the 1st, but the Yankees scored 3 in the top of the 8th, capped by a go-ahead, 2-run single by pinch-hitter Harrison Bader. Despite never scoring more than 4 runs in a game, the Yankees have won 3 of their last 4.

The Rays are 8-2 in series finales this season. They have the best record in the majors and lead the AL East by 4½ games over the 2nd-place Baltimore Orioles. The Yankees are last in the division, 9 games back.

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Yankees at Rays projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. LHP Josh Fleming-*

Cole (5-0, 1.35 ERA) is making his 8th start of the season. He owns a 0.90 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 46 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 4-2 Yankees home victory vs. Cleveland Guardians Tuesday
  • Last start vs Rays: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 4-0 home defeat Aug. 15, 2022
  • Career vs. Rays (regular season): 2-7, 3.52 ERA (92 IP, 36 ER), 1.08 WHIP in 15 starts

*-Fleming (0-0, 3.18) is expected to carry the bulk of the work either as a starter or following an “opener.” He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 22 2/3 innings across 6 appearances, which includes 1 start.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 1 K of 4-1 Rays home victory vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 3.00 ERA (6 IP, 2 ER), 5 H, 1 HR, 1 BB, 2 K in 3 relief appearances — all in 2021

Yankees at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Rays +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+150) | Rays +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Rays 2

Moneyline

BET YANKEES (-120).

The Yankees send their ace Cole to close out the series against their division rivals. Despite his career record against the Rays, Cole is 2-0 on the road this season. Betting the Yankees, we’ll be backing the far superior starter without having to pay an arm and a leg for it.

Run line/Against the spread

NEW YORK -1.5 (+150) is my lean, but I wouldn’t bet it heavy. Since we’ll already be invested on the Yankees moneyline, my suggestion is to bet no more than a combined 1.5 units between this play and the ML play.

New York has not lost a game that Cole has started this season. Of those 7 wins, the Yankees have won 6 by 2 or more runs.

The Yankees win Sunday, but can’t say for sure if they’ll cover the run line.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-120).

The Yankees have been Under this total in 10 of their last 15 road games. Games started by Cole this season have been Under this run total in 6 of his 7 starts.

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (17-16) continue a 3-game series with the Tampa Bay Rays (27-6) Saturday at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 1-0

The Yankees suffered a 5-4 loss to the Rays in Friday’s series opener. New York fell behind 4-0 but tied it in the top of the 6th with a 4-run inning. However, the Rays scored the eventual winning run in the bottom of the 7th on SS Wander Franco’s RBI double.

The Yankees have dropped 6 of their past 8 games on the road, while going 1-5 in the past 6 road outings against a right-handed starting pitcher.

The Rays have won 8 of the past 10 in Game 2 of a series, while going 6-2 in the past 8 games inside the AL East Division.

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Yankees at Rays projected starters

RHP Domingo German vs. RHP Drew Rasmussen

German (2-2, 4.46 ERA) makes his 7th start of the season. He has a 0.90 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 34 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 8 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 3-2 home loss to Cleveland Guardians Monday, his 1st quality start (QS) in 3 outings
  • 2023 road splits: 1-0, 7.00 ERA (9 IP, 7 ER), .212 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts
  • 2022 vs. Rays: 0-1, 3.65 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 5 ER), .234 OBA, 8 K in 3 starts

Rasmussen (3-2, 3.66 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9, 9.6 K/9 in 32 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 12-9 loss at Chicago White Sox Sunday
  • 2023 home splits: 1-1, 3.86 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 5 ER), .222 OBA in 2 starts
  • 2022 vs. Yankees: Win, 1 start, 6 scoreless innings, 6 H, 0 BB, 10 K of 4-2 victory in the Bronx Sept. 9

Yankees at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Rays -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-130) | Rays -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Yankees 2

Moneyline

Tampa Bay (-190) is a little on the expensive side, costing nearly 2 times the potential return. For a standalone wager, or even in a multi-team parlay, playing such a heavy favorite drains all the value out of a ticket.

PASS, and look to the run line instead.

Run line/Against the spread

TAMPA BAY -1.5 (+105) offers better value than backing the heavy moneyline, although I expect it to be close like Friday’s opener.

The Yankees are 14-7 in the past 21 games inside the division, but they are 0-5 in the past 5 against winning teams and 1-6 in the past 7 on the road against a right-handed starter. Until New York turns some of those numbers around, keeping fading the Yankees.

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Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-110) is the lean as a pitching matchup between German and Rasmussen should mean plenty of donuts on the scoreboard.

The Under is 5-1-1 in the past 7 games against a right-handed starting pitcher for the Yankees, while going 22-8-1 in the past 31 against winning teams.

The Under is also 5-1 in the past 6 games at home for the Rays, while cashing at a 5-1 clip in the past 6 at home vs. a right-hander.

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (17-15) and Tampa Bay Rays (26-6) open a 3-game set Friday. First pitch from Tropicana Field is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: 1st meeting; New York won 11 of 19 meetings in 2022

The Yankees picked up a 2nd straight win with a 4-3 10-inning win over the Cleveland Indians Wednesday. Those 2 wins against Cleveland came after a dreadful 4-game losing skid during which they were outscored 25-6. New York has the 6th-best team ERA (3.53) but its bats are ice cold, scoring the 7th-fewest runs in the majors (126).

The Rays still own the best record in baseball, sitting 4 games better than the Atlanta Braves. They’re fresh off a 3-game sweep of the Pittsburgh Pirates, where they outscored them 15-4. Tampa Bay has scored the most runs (210) and boasts the lowest ERA (2.87) in the majors this season.

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays projected starters

RHP Jhony Brito vs. RHP Yonny Chirinos

Brito (2-3, 5.56 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 22 2/3 IP.

  • Started the year strong with only 1 run allowed in his first 10 innings but his ERA ballooned when he allowed 7 runs in 2/3 of an inning in his 3rd start against the Minnesota Twins on April 13
  • Took the loss last time out despite allowing just 2 runs in 5 innings against the Texas Rangers Saturday

Chirinos (1-0, 0.64 ERA) makes his 1st start and 5th appearance. He has a 0.57 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 through 14 IP.

  • Has operated in a relief role all season, going 4 2/3 innings and allowing 1 earned run in his longest appearance of the season on Saturday at the Chicago White Sox
  • Has only allowed 6 hits and 1 earned run all season, with 2 of his 4 appearances coming against the Chicago White Sox

Yankees at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Rays -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-135) | Rays -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Yankees 3

Moneyline

The Yankees are struggling right now, falling to last in the AL East. Their usually high-powered lineup has been cold this season and now they go up against the best pitching staff in the majors.

I don’t see the Yankees putting up enough runs to win this one against the Rays, having scored 4 or fewer runs in each of their last 8 games. As much as I like the Rays (-185) to win this game, the moneyline isn’t rewarding enough to bet.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Rays have beaten their opponent by at least 2 runs 12 times in their last 16 wins, often blowing them out comfortably. They rarely play close games, winning by an average of 3.6 runs per game this season.

Getting them fresh off a 3-game sweep of the Priates at +110 to beat the Yankees by at least 2 runs is a great value. Pittsburgh was 20-9 before facing Tampa Bay.

BET RAYS -1.5 (+110).

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Over/Under

This isn’t exactly a pitcher’s duel in St. Pete and neither pitcher expected to go particularly deep into the game. However, Chirinos has been tough to hit in limited action this season and Brito showed signs of promise early in the season when he allowed just 1 run in his first 10 innings.

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100) Friday.

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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (79-52) have a divisional clash with the Tampa Bay Rays (72-57) Friday in the 1st game of a 3-game set at Tropicana Field. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Yankees lead 8-5

The Yankees are tumbling again, losers of 4 of 5 games to inferior teams in the Oakland Athletics and Los Angeles Angels. Injuries to position players and meltdowns in the bullpen have really stung them. New York is 11-19 over its last 30 games, and what was once a staggering lead in the AL East is now just 6 games.

The Rays are the team in striking distance. They’ve won 3 contests in a row and are 8-2 and 14-6 over their last 10 and 20 games. Tampa has allowed just 31 runs over its last 10 games as the pitching has been brilliant. This is the biggest series of the season, but they really need a sweep because 2 of 3 just subtracts a game from the lead.

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Yankees at Rays projected starters

RHP Domingo German vs. LHP Jeffrey Springs

German (2-2, 3.19 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 42 1/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 1 ER in his last 14 IP over 2 starts
  • Aug. 17 vs. Tampa: 4 2/3 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 1 BB and 6 K

Springs (6-4, 2.76 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 101 IP.

  • Aug. 16 vs. Yankees: 5 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 1 BB and 4 K
  • Was lit up for 5 ER on 8 H and 1 BB in 6 IP with 8 K against the Boston Red Sox last time out Saturday

Yankees at Rays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:54 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Yankees +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Rays -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-200) | Rays -1.5 (+160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)

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Yankees at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Yankees 3

Money line

Springs has thrown 11 innings against the Yanks this season and allowed just 3 ER for a 2.45 ERA. The Yankees have scored 43 runs over the last 10, but 13 of them came in one game. That’s 3.33 runs per game over those other 9. Tampa sets the tone and wins the opener.

Take the RAYS (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

The books have us cornered with -200 on the Yankees. Three of their last 4 losses have been 1-run defeats. Considering how Tampa is pitching and New York is struggling, it’s not as crazy as it sounds to go with YANKEES  UNDER 3.5 TOTAL RUNS (-135) for a HALF-UNIT.

Over/Under

This number has been steamed up from 6.5 this morning, and I was leaning toward the Over there with some hesitation. As the number has shifted, so has my take, as I am going to LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-135).

The Yankees have scored 4 or more runs just once in the last 6 games. It’s still a small number on 2 good teams, but I prefer the Under.

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