Tag: Yankees Phillies odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The New York Yankees (64-45) and Philadelphia Phillies (65-42) meet Wednesday afternoon as they close out a 3-game set. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is slated for 12:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 2-0

New York has taken the 1st 2 games of this series and won 4 straight. Over the 4 games, the Yankees have piled up 40 runs.

Philadelphia owns MLB’s best record, but the Phillies are just 1-5 over their last 6 games and 3-9 across their last dozen.

Yankees at Phillies projected starters

LHP Nestor Cortes vs. LHP Cristopher Sanchez

Cortes (4-9, 4.13 ERA) is lined up for his 23rd start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 124 1/3 innings.

• Last outing: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 9-7 loss at Boston Red Sox Friday
• Career vs. Phillies: 1-0, 2.08 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 11 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 2 appearances (1 start), including 1-0 with 1.80 ERA (5 IP, 1 ER) in 1 start last year
• Has allowed 15 runs over his last 13 1/3 IP

Sanchez (7-6, 3.05 ERA) is tabbed for his 21st start. He owns a 1.26 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 115 innings.

• Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 3-1 home setback vs. Cleveland Guardians Friday
• Career vs. Yankees: 0-0, 18.00 ERA (1 IP, 2 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 1 relief appearance of 6-5 road loss in 10 innings July 21, 2021

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Yankees at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:09 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Yankees +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Phillies -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-175) | Phillies -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yankees at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Yankees 4

Moneyline

The lefty-lefty mound matchup favors the home nine. Philadelphia ranks 1st in MLB with a .780 OPS against port-siders. The Yankees rank a middling 15th at .713.

Sanchez has been terrific at home (1.75 ERA, 0.97 WHIP), and Cortes has struggled mightily on the road (6.18 ERA, 1.61 WHIP). The Yankee southpaw is backed by a listing and likely fatigued bullpen.

New York is just 2-5 over its last 7 series finales.

TAKE THE PHILLIES (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Better leverage can be had on the ML.

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Over/Under

New York has banged out 44 extra-base hits while logging a .979 OPS over its last 8 games. Philadelphia has the big numbers against lefty pitching.

On a warmed-up, humid, wind-blowing-out afternoon with bullpen arms tilting toward ragged, BACK THE OVER 9.5 (-105).

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The New York Yankees (63-45) and Philadelphia Phillies (65-41) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 1-0

Yankees 3B Jazz Chisholm Jr. and CF Aaron Judge each homered twice as part of a 6-home run barrage in Monday’s series opener. New York won 14-4 to earn its 3rd straight triumph. Over the 3 games, the Bronx Bombers have tallied 33 runs.

Philadelphia owns MLB’s best record, but the Phillies are just 1-4 over their last 5 games and 3-8 across their last 11.

Yankees at Phillies projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Cole (3-2, 5.40 ERA) is lined up for his 8th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 35 innings.

• Last outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 12-3 home defeat vs. New York Mets Wednesday
• Career vs. Phillies: 6-3, 2.90 ERA (49 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 9 starts

Nola (11-4, 3.44 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has logged a 1.06 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 across 130 2/3 innings.

• Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 5-4 loss at Minnesota Twins Wednesday
• Career vs. Yankees: 1-2, 2.88 ERA (25 IP, 8 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 11.2 K/9 in 4 starts
• Has clocked 2.45 ERA, 0.74 WHIP over his last 4 starts at home

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Yankees at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Yankees +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Phillies -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-200) | Phillies -1.5 (+150)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yankees at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Phillies 4

Moneyline

The YANKEES (+100) are 5-1 over their last 6 games against the Phils. Included in Philly’s recent struggles is a 2-5 mark in the club’s last 7 at Citizens.

Cole was perhaps brought back too soon, without enough of an in-season spring training ramp up in the minors. But he’s pitched better than what his surface line shows. Specifically, of late he’s been undone by a high batting average on balls in play (.350 BABIP in last 4 starts).

New York now has DH Giancarlo Stanton back after he had missed several weeks with a hamstring injury. Add in the newly acquired Chisholm, and the Yankee offense is looking like the Bronx Bombers moniker may again be applicable after some June-July batting woes.

TAKE NEW YORK (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

The Under has some lean, but any would-be sway toward a Yankee underdog play is watered down by the high price tag. AVOID.

Over/Under

The Over cruised in Monday’s game, but the Under had been 6-2 across Philadelphia’s previous 8 contests.

The pitching matchup for Tuesday makes for a slight Under lean. Back-end bullpen types are rested. Cole has talent indicators outpacing his surface ERA, and Nola specializes in avoiding hard contact.

BET THE UNDER 9.5 (-110).

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The Philadelphia Phillies (65-40) welcome the New York Yankees (62-45) to Citizens Bank Park Monday. First pitch to commence the 3-game series is set for 6:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network/Prime Video). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Yankees won 2-1 last season

The Phillies have lost 4 straight series after dropping a rubber match to the Cleveland Guardians 4-3 Sunday as -120 home favorites. Philadelphia is 4-8 over its last 12 games, but is still one of the best home teams in the majors with a 38-18 record at Citizens Bank Park. It is 54-51 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Yankees beat the Boston Red Sox 8-2 Sunday. They used a 3-run 1st inning to take the lead and never looked back. New York has won 2 in a row yet has lost 3 of its last 5. It sits 2nd in the AL East and is a strong 35-22 in away games this season. The Yankees have a better record on the road than at home (27-23) and are 55-51 ATS on the season.

Yankees at Phillies projected starters

RHP Luis Gil vs. RHP Zack Wheeler

Gil (10-5, 3.10 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 107 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 3-2 home loss to New York Mets Tuesday
• 2024 away splits: 5-2, 3.04 ERA (50 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 4 HR, 8.9 K/9 in 9 starts
• Never faced Phillies before

Wheeler (10-4, 2.55 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 123 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 3-0 road win over Minnesota Twins Tuesday
• 2024 home splits: 7-2, 1.77 ERA (71 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 0.88 WHIP, 4 HR, 10.2 K/9 in 11 starts
• Career vs. Yankees: 1-1, 5.91 ERA (21 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.78 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 4 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Yankees at Phillies odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:13 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Yankees +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Phillies -154 (bet $154 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Yankees +1.5 (-164) | Phillies -1.5 (+136)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Yankees 3

Moneyline

BET PHILLIES (-154).

The Phillies are 6-1 in Wheeler’s last 7 home starts. In those 7, dating back to April 20, he has allowed a combined 10 ER.

The Phillies will have a clear pitching advantage, having won Wheeler’s last 3 starts, and the Yankees, who played in Boston Sunday evening, will have a rest disadvantage.

New York is 2-3 in its last 5 games and 2-2 in its last 4 on the road. Considering the Phillies’ strength with Wheeler on the mound and at home in general, back PHILLIES (-154).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Yankees are too expensive to take on the run line, at more than 1½ times a potential return. The Phillies, on the other hand, are too risky as run-line favorites.

Avoid this play.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-105).

The Phillies and Yankees both have efficient starters, which should help limit runs. The Phillies have gone Under in 3 straight games, scoring 12 runs over that span while allowing 7. They have scored 4 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6 games.

Philadelphia is 2-6 O/U in its last 8 games. The Yankees have gone Over in 3 straight games overall, but have gone Under in Gil’s last 3 starts, allowing just 7 runs in those 3 outings combined. Considering those trends, take UNDER 9 (-105).

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