Tag: Yankees Blue Jays odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Toronto Blue Jays (38-44) welcome the New York Yankees (53-32) to Rogers Centre Sunday for the finale of their 4-game series. First pitch is set for 1:37 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 5-4

The Blue Jays beat the Yankees 9-3 Saturday. That game followed a 16-5 win for New York Friday. Toronto has won 2 of 3 games in the series and 3 of its last 4. Prior to that 4-game span, it had lost 7 in a row. The Blue Jays are 5-1 against the spread (ATS) over their last 6  and 39-43 ATS on the season.

The Yankees, who have been among the best teams in the MLB this season, have lost 5 of their last 6 games and 8 of their last 10. New York hasn’t won a series June 13th. It is still 29-18 on the road this season and 47-38 ATS.

Yankees at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

Cole (0-1, 9.00 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.88 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 8 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 0 K in a 9-7 road loss to the New York Mets Tuesday
• 2023 road splits: 6-2, 2.34 ERA (96 1/3 IP, 25 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 7 HR, 8.7 K/9 in 15 starts
• Career vs. Blue Jays: 8-2, 2.77 ERA (116 2/3 IP, 46 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 12.9 K/9 in 16 starts

Gausman (6-6, 4.26 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 86 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 9-4 road win over the Boston Red Sox Tuesday
• 2024 home splits: 1-4, 6.43 ERA (42 IP, 30 ER), 1.60 WHIP, 8 HR, 8.6 K/9 in 8 starts
• Career vs. Yankees: 10-8, 3.22 ERA (164 2/3 IP, 59 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 33 appearances (27 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Yankees at Blue Jays odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:23 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Yankees -124 (bet $124 to win $100) | Blue Jays +106 (bet $100 to win $106)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+136) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-164)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Yankees at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

BET YANKEES (-124).

New York should bounce as it has been among the best teams in the MLB despite its recent struggles. With a 6-time All-Star pitcher on the mound and a 29-18 road record, it is a strong play here.

The Yankees are also 18-13 following a win while the Blue Jays are the 6th-worst team in the MLB following a loss at 14-22, They are also just 20-20 at home. Toronto is 3-8 as a home underdog.

Back YANKEES (-124).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s not a lot of value here either way. The Yankees are too risky as a run-line favorite while the Blue Jays are too expensive as a home underdog, especially given how poorly New York has played as of late.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-108).

New York has gone Over in 5 straight games and allowed at least 9 runs in 4 of its last 5 games. The total has gone Over in both of Cole’s starts this season. The Yankees are 44-38-3 O/U.

The Blue Jays have gone Over in 6 straight games and have scored at least 5 runs in all 6 and allowing at least 6 in 3 of those games. Gausman’s last 2 starts have topped the projected total as well.

Take OVER 8 (-108).

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The New York Yankees (52-31) and Toronto Blue Jays (37-43) meet Friday as they continue a 4-game series. The 1st pitch at Rogers Centre will be at 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 4-3

New York was blasted 9-2 in Thursday’s series opener and has lost 4 straight games. The Yankees have allowed 9-plus runs in each of their last 3 games. Over their last 10, New York is 2-8 and has been outscored 87-41.

Over its previous 8 games, Toronto pitching had filed a 5.27 ERA, but on Thursday, 3 Blue Jays hurlers combined to allow just 3 hits.

Yankees at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Marcus Stroman vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Stroman (7-3, 3.15 ERA) is lined up for his 17th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 91 1/3 IP.

• Last outing: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 8-3 win vs. Atlanta Braves Saturday
• Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-0, 1.65 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 12 H, 5 BB, 9 K in 3 starts

Kikuchi (4-7, 4 ERA) is making his 17th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 83 1/3 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 2 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-5 loss at Cleveland Guardians Saturday
• Career vs. Yankees: 5-3, 3.08 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 53 H, 25 BB, 65 K in 14 games (12 starts)
• Owns a 6.04 ERA across 5 June starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Yankees at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:41 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Blue Jays +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+140) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yankees at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Yankees 4

Moneyline

New York is 1-4 in its last 5 games at Toronto and 9-12 vs. lefty starters.

Toronto’s southpaw in this one, Kikuchi, has been done in by a .336 batting average on balls in play (.391 BABIP in June). His mound opposite, Stroman, has surface numbers buoyed by a .245 BABIP. And per ESPN, current Toronto batters own an aggregate .799 OPS against the Yankee right-hander.

The Blue Jays have been hurt by an 8-14 mark in 1-run games. While they do not figure as a great ballclub, they are likely being overlooked by much of the betting public. With the bad mojo the Yankees are dragging around, this contest should probably be a near-pick-em. FanDuel Sportsbook lists plus-money return on the home team, and that’s the leverage play here.

BACK THE BLUE JAYS (+104).

Run line/Against the spread

Better value can be found on the Toronto ML play. PASS.

Over/Under

The Over is 5-1 across the last 6 series meetings.

Toronto has scored 29 runs over its last 4 games and should have some confidence in going against a pitcher the club has hit well. New York pitching could well get this game 70% of the way to the listed total.

The Rogers Centre roof should be open Friday night, and a batter’s breeze is in the forecast. A total reaching double digits is likely enough to make the OVER 8.5 (-105) — as listed on FanDuel Sportsbook — worth a partial-unit play.

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The New York Yankees (52-30) visit the Toronto Blue Jays (36-43) on Thursday as the AL East foes swing into a 4-game series. First pitch in the opener at Rogers Centre will be at 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 3-3

The Yankees are fresh off being swept by the New York Mets in a 2-game series at Citi Field. A top-level pitching staff has been torched by opposing batters and the club is 1-6 over its last 7 games. Over that stretch, New York owns a 7.55 ERA.

The Blue Jays have also struggled on the mound lately. Since June 17, Toronto is 1-7 with a 5.43 ERA.

Yankees at Blue Jays projected starters

LHP Carlos Rodon vs. RHP Jose Berrios

Rodon (9-4, 3.86 ERA) is making his 17th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 88 2/3 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 11 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 8-1 loss vs. Atlanta Braves Friday
• Career vs. Blue Jays: 1-1, 3.29 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 27 H, 10 BB, 30 K in 5 starts
• Has allowed 13 runs on 18 hits in his last 8 2/3 IP

Berrios (6-6, 3.43 ERA) is lined up for his 17th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 97 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-3 loss at Cleveland Guardians Saturday
• Career vs. Yankees: 3-7, 5.21 ERA (67 1/3 IP, 39 ER), 70 H, 21 BB, 80 K in 12 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Yankees at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:13 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Yankees -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Blue Jays +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+125) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-155)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Yankees 4

Moneyline

The Blue Jays have been hurt by an 8-14 mark in 1-run games, a .260 batting average on balls in play against lefties, and a .267 BABIP when leading off innings. They do not figure as a great ballclub, but they are likely being overlooked by much of the betting public.

Look for Toronto to be an improving power team against fly-ball pitchers especially. Rodon is certainly that, and he’s struggling and being backed by a Yankee bullpen that cannot get out of its own way in recent weeks (4.54 relief ERA in June).

Like Rodon, Berrios is a fade candidate with his expected ERA figures in excess of his surface number. But he is pitching at home where he’s logged a 2.36 ERA this season.

FanDuel Sportsbook has a better price to leverage here: TAKE THE BLUE JAYS (+118).

Run line/Against the spread

A higher scoring and perhaps looser game is the prognosis here. Would want a better tag to back the Jays plus the cushion. PASS.

Over/Under

The Over is 4-1 across the last 5 series meetings. Both starting pitchers have benefited from favorable batting average on balls in play. Neither has been sharp of late and both make for some fade lean Thursday.

The Toronto bullpen figures as a bottom-3rd unit, and the New York pen has been awful over recent weeks.

With good weather in the Ontario forecast, the roof at Rogers Centre will likely be open. A brisk fly-ball-helping breeze is in the forecast, and the OVER 8.5 (-115) is a value play.

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The New York Yankees (12-5) and Toronto Blue Jays (9-8) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series at Rogers Centre Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Yankees have lost back-to-back games after falling 3-1 against the Blue Jays Monday. The Yankees offense stalled after an early RBI single from 3B Oswaldo Cabrera, and RHP Luis Gil picked up the loss after allowing 3 ER in 5 innings.

Toronto has won 3 straight games after Monday’s victory. After trailing 1-0 in the middle of the 2nd inning, Toronto surged for 3 runs in the 2nd and 3rd. C Alejandro Kirk scored a run and had an RBI, and RHP Chris Bassitt picked up the win after allowing just 1 ER in 6 1/3 IP.

Yankees at Blue Jays projected starters

LHP Carlos Rodon vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Rodon (1-0, 2.87 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 4.02 BB/9 and 7.47 K/9 in 15 2/3 innings.

• Yankees are 3-0 in his starts
• Has allowed 5 ER on the season with 13 K
• Has bounced back well this year with a 2.87 ERA after posting a 6.85 ERA in 14 starts last season

Kikuchi (0-1, 2.30 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 4.02 BB/9 and 11.49 K/9 in 15 2/3 innings.

• Blue Jays are 1-2 in his starts
• Has allowed 4 ER on the season with 20 K
• Has pitched well this year but has had minimal run support; Blue Jays have scored just 5 total runs in his 3 starts

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Yankees at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Yankees -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Blue Jays -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+145) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-175)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yankees at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

PASS.

There is better profit on the Yankees’ (-115) spread.

Run line/Against the spread

BET YANKEES -1.5 (+145).

New York is 7-3 in its last 10 games with 3 of its last 5 wins coming by more than 2 runs. It has scored 7 or more runs in 2 of its last 3 games and held opponents to 3 or fewer in 3 of its last 4.

In 4 of Toronto’s last 5 losses, it has lost by 2 or more runs, including each of its last 3.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-110).

The Yankees have hit the Over in 2 of their last 3 games and scored 16 runs total in their last 3. They have scored 6 or more runs in 6 of their last 10 games.

The Blue Jays have scored 5 or more runs in 2 of their last 3 games and 4 or more in 6 of their last 9.

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The New York Yankees (12-4) take on the Toronto Blue Jays (8-8) Monday in the opener of a 3-game set at Rogers Centre at 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 2-1

The Yanks dropped the finale in Cleveland as the Guardians won 8-7 in 10 innings Sunday. SS Anthony Volpe continued his hot hitting with 3 hits. He’s hitting .382 with 2 homers and 8 RBIs and a 1.041 OPS. Volpe has been the spark atop the lineup and should keep OF Juan Soto in the RBI leader discussion.

The Jays took 2 of 3 from the Colorado Rockies over the weekend after a 5-0 win Sunday. RHP Jose Berrios was fantastic, navigating through some 1st-inning traffic to throw 7 shutout innings with 7 K’s and just 2 hits allowed. 3B Justin Turner had 3 RBIs, and he’s hitting .386 with a 1.095 OPS this season.

Yankees at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Luis Gil vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Gil (0-0, 3.00 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 7.0 BB/9 and 14.0 K/9 through 9 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 8 K against Toronto Blue Jays April 7
• 2 career starts vs. Blue Jays: 0-0, 5.87 ERA, 1.83 WHIP, 14 K in 7 2/3 IP

Bassitt (1-2, 5.06 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.81 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 16 IP

• Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 8 K against Seattle Mariners Tuesday
• 3 career GS vs. Yankees: 1-0, 0.87 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 26 K in 20 2/3 IP

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Yankees at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Yankees -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Blue Jays -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+150) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-185)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Yankees at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 7, Yankees 5

Moneyline

The Yankees have looked good — probably the best they have started a season in a few years. Their issue is going to be with Gil unable to throw strikes. He has 7 walks in 9 IP thus far, and he walked 11 in his 2 starts against Toronto previously. The Jays have scored 5+ in 4 of 6 and will make those free passes count.

Take the BLUE JAYS -115.

Run line/Against the spread

We’re projecting a multi-run win for Toronto, but the Yankees are already 8-2 on the road. So we’ll give them that respect and look elsewhere.

I like LUIS GIL UNDER 15.5 OUTS (-145). His issues with walks have kept him at 4 1/3 and 4 2/3 IP in his 2 starts, and the Blue Jays are the 9th-best at taking walks thus far.

Over/Under

Speaking of walks, Bassitt has also been a little erratic with 7 walks in his last 2 starts and 2+ in each of his 3. The Yankees are 5-5 O/U, and the Jays are 3-7. Two of the 3 meetings this season went Over and had 11+ runs. With the amount of free passes in today’s forecast, I’ll take the OVER 8.5 (-120).

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The New York Yankees (81-77) and the Toronto Blue Jays (87-71) wrap up a 3-game series Thursday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 7-5

The Yankees might be eliminated from the postseason chase, but they’re still factoring in prominently. New York has not only won the 1st 2 games of this series, but it has recorded back-to-back shutouts, outscoring Toronto 8-0. New York has won 5 of the past 6 games despite being eliminated.

The Blue Jays are currently a half-game up on the Houston Astros for the 2nd AL Wild Card spot, while they’re 1 1/2 games clear of the Seattle Mariners, currently on the outside of the playoff picture looking in. Toronto picked a terrible time for its  1st consecutive shutouts since Aug. 26-27 last season.

Yankees at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Luke Weaver vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Weaver (3-5, 6.47 ERA) makes his 25th start and 29th overall appearance. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 119 2/3 innings with the Cincinnati Reds, Mariners and Yankees.

• Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 7-1 home win vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks last Friday
• 2023 road splits: 1-4, 6.23 ERA (69 1/3 IP, 48 ER), 13 HR, .292 OBA in 13 starts and 3 relief appearances

Bassitt (15-8, 3.74 ERA) makes his 33rd start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 192 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 6-2 road win vs. the Tampa Bay Rays last Friday
• 2023 home splits: 7-4, 3.08 ERA (102 1/3 IP, 35 ER), 9 HR, .197 OBA in 16 starts

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Yankees at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:56 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Yankees +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Blue Jays -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-125) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Yankees 3

Moneyline

The Blue Jays (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive, especially since Toronto has been blanked so far in this series.

The Yankees (+155) have dominated this series, despite having nothing to lose. However, Weaver has been shaky all season, while Bassitt is a 15-game winner. The right-hander will pitch Toronto to a much-needed victory, but again, this is too expensive on the 2-way line.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The BLUE JAYS –1.5 (+105) are a much better play on the run line at nearly even-money.

While Toronto has failed to cover the run line in the 1st 2 games of the series as a favorite, and it is 3-7 in the past 10 as a favorite on the run line, the Jays have arguably their best pitcher going. Back Bassitt and the home side.

Over/Under

The OVER 8.5 (-115) is worth playing very lightly, but be careful. Again, Toronto has been shut out 2 straight games, so there is quite a bit of risk. Still, the struggling Jays offense should come alive against the very giving Weaver.

The Over is 4-2-1 in the past 7 games overall for the Jays despite the 2 Under results and shutouts in the past 2 contests. The Over is 6-4-2 in the past 12 outings for the Yankees, too.

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The New York Yankees (80-77) and Toronto Blue Jays (87-70) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Wednesday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 6-5

The Yankees won 2-0 as +160 underdogs as the Under (7) hit in the series opener Tuesday. C Austin Wells hit a 2-run HR in the 9th inning, and New York won for the 4th time in its last 5 games.

Toronto was shut out for the 10th time this season and remains 1½ games ahead of the Houston Astros for the 2nd AL Wild Card.

Yankees at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP José Berríos

Cole (14-4, 2.75 ERA) makes his 33rd start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 200 innings.

• Last start: Win, 8 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 5-3 home victory vs. Blue Jays Thursday
• 2023 road stats: 5-2, 2.58 ERA (87 1/3 IP, 25 ER) in 14 starts
• 2023 vs. Blue Jays: 1-0, 0.46 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 1 ER) in 3 starts
• Career vs. Blue Jays: 7-2, 3.04 ERA (91 2/3 IP, 31 ER) across 15 starts

Berríos (11-11, 3.58 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 183 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 6 K in Thursday’s loss
• 2023 home stats: 6-5, 3.11 ERA (84 IP, 29 ER) in 14 starts
• 2023 vs. Yankees: 0-2, 5.11 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 7 ER) in 2 starts
• Career vs. Yankees (regular season): 3-6, 5.14 ERA (61 1/3 IP, 35 ER) across 11 starts

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Yankees at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Yankees -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Blue Jays -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+165) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-200)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 3, Yankees 2

Moneyline

The BLUE JAYS (-115) should bounce back after wasting a great start from RHP Kevin Gausman (7 IP, 0 ER) in the series opener. Toronto has won 7 of its last 10 outings, and it’s unlikely that the Yankees will be able to win back-to-back games at Rogers Centre. Berríos has allowed 2 or fewer ER in 3 of his last 4 starts and should be able to record a win vs. the Yankees after taking losses in his 1st 2 attempts this season.

BET BLUE JAYS (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

Expecting New York to win by multiple runs in back-to-back road games is a tough ask. Toronto +1.5 (-200) will likely hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Blue Jays should win straight up.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

Over/Under

The Under is 42-29-5 (59.2%) this season in Toronto’s home games, according to TeamRankings.com. With Berríos facing off vs. the favorite to win the AL Cy Young Award, I like the Under to hit for a 5th straight Blue Jays home game.

BET UNDER 7 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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The New York Yankees (79-77) and the Toronto Blue Jays (87-69) begin a 3-game series Tuesday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 5-5

The Yankees were eliminated from the Wild Card chase Sunday in a 7-1 loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks, and New York is just 2 games over .500 in a season of major disappointment, injuries and poor performance. New York did pick up 2 wins in 3 games against the Snakes, dealing them a setback in their quest for a postseason spot.

The Blue Jays picked up 2 wins in a 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays in St. Petersburg, moving 1 1/2 clear of the Houston Astros for the 2nd AL Wild Card spot. Toronto, Houston and the Seattle Mariners are battling for the final 2 postseason spots in the final week of regular-season play.

Yankees at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Michael King vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

King (4-7, 2.66 ERA) makes his 8th start and 48th overall appearance. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 94 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 13 K in 6-1 home loss vs. the Toronto Blue Jays last Wednesday
• 2023 road splits: 2-3, 3 SV, 2.05 ERA (48 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 3 HR, .200 OBA in 4 starts and 18 relief appearances

Gausman (12-9, 3.29 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 178 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 10 K in 6-1 road win vs. the New York Yankees last Wednesday
• 2023 home splits: 7-5, 3.27 ERA (85 1/3 IP, 31 ER), 9 HR, .239 OBA in 15 starts

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Yankees at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:54 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Yankees +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Blue Jays -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-160) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+135)
• Over/Under (O/U):  7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Yankees at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 3, Yankees 2

Moneyline

The BLUE JAYS (-160) are a solid play as moderate favorites, but it won’t be as easy as Toronto would prefer.

King pitched well for the Yankees (+135) last time out, as he whiffed a career-high 13 batters in his most recent start, which just happened to be against the Jays. Gausman struck out a dozen on the other side in that game.

Run line/Against the spread

The YANKEES +1.5 (-160) aren’t priced out of line if you can’t pick New York straight up, but you would like a little bit of insurance.

Again, King racked up plenty of strikeouts, and he turned in a quality start in a head-to-head matchup with Gausman last Wednesday. This should be a game too close for comfort, as far as the Jays are concerned. I expect them to win, but the Yankees are going to give them a run for their money, even if they are eliminated already.

Over/Under

The UNDER 7 (+100) is a super low number, but it’s worth a look. Gausman hasn’t allowed much at home this season. And the last time King and Gausman went against each other 6 days ago, both of these hurlers went deep into the game, turning in quality starts in a well-pitched game. This is worth playing lightly.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

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