New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (25-20) and Toronto Blue Jays (25-18) meet Thursday for the finale of a 4-game series. First pitch from Rogers Centre is set for 7:07 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 3-3

New York lost 3-0 in 10 innings Wednesday as a -110 road favorite. The loss snapped a 2-game win streak that saw the Yankees pick up a 7-4 victory Monday and a 6-3 win Tuesday in the first 2 games of the series. New York is 4-2 in its last 6 outings.

All of Toronto’s offense Wednesday came from a 3-run home run from C/DH Danny Jansen. The Blue Jays snapped a 2-game losing streak with the win and are also 4-2 in their last 6 contests.

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Yankees at Blue Jays projected starters

LHP Nestor Cortes vs. RHP Jose Berrios

Cortes (3-2, 5.53 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 42 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K, in a 9-8 home win Saturday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
  • Career vs. Toronto: 1-2 with a 3.66 ERA (32 IP, 13 ER), 28 H, 7 HR, 11 BB and 33 K across 4 starts and 6 relief appearances

Berrios (3-3, 4.70 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 46 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 3 K, in a 5-2 home win Saturday vs. Atlanta Braves
  • Career vs. New York: 3-4, 5.14 ERA (49 IP, 28 ER), 52 H, 6 HR, 17 BB and 56 K across 9 starts

Yankees at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:34 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Blue Jays -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-185) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yankees at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

LEAN YANKEES (+105).

New York is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these clubs in Toronto and 5-2 in the last 7 meetings overall. The Blue Jays have a dominant 13-5 record at Rogers Centre but the Yankees have proven already in this series that they can beat them there. New York is also 5-0 in its last 5 games following a loss.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Yankees at +1.5 (-185) should hit but the line here is far too rich, bet on either the moneyline or O/U instead.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9 (-105).

The Over is 5-0 in Cortes’ last 5 starts and is 9-1 in the Yankees’ last 10 games overall.

The Over is 5-0 in Berrios’ last 5 Thursday starts and is 6-4 in Toronto’s last 10 contests overall.

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