Wizards Mavericks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Washington Wizards at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Wizards at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Wizards (20-26) take on the Dallas Mavericks (25-23) on Tuesday at American Airlines Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Wizards vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Wizards cruised to a 138-118 victory over the Orlando Magic on Saturday to cover as 6.5-point favorites at home. Despite winning 2 straight games, Washington has gone 5-5 in its last 10 games.

The Mavericks lost 112-98 to the Los Angeles Clippers on Sunday and fell short of covering as 2-point favorites at home. Dallas has won only 3 of its last 10 games.

Washington beat Dallas 113-105 at home on Nov. 10 as a 5.5-point underdog and the Over of 209.5 cashed.

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Wizards at Mavericks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:19 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Wizards +235 (bet $100 to win $235) | Mavericks -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Wizards +7.5 (-120) | Mavericks -7.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Wizards at Mavericks key injuries

Wizards

C Kristaps Porzingis (ankle) out

Mavericks

F Maxi Kleber (hamstring) out
F Christian Wood (thumb) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Wizards at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 116, Wizards 113

Moneyline

PASS.

Despite the Mavericks being heavily favored at home, I wouldn’t advise betting on Dallas due to the minimal profit you’ll receive in a victory.

Against the spread

Even with Porzingis sidelined, WIZARDS +7.5 (-120) is my bet. I would feel comfortable taking Washington to cover at +6.5 or better with G Bradley Beal and F Kyle Kuzma leading the way.

The Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings against the Mavericks and they’ve won each of the last 3 meetings.

Over/Under

While these teams play at slower paces, OVER 225.5 (-112) is where I’m leaning. G Luka Doncic is always a threat to score points in bunches for the Mavericks and the Wizards still have capable scorers on the court even without Porzingis available.

The Wizards are 4-0 to the Over in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record, while the Mavericks have gone Over in 5 of their last 6 against a team with a losing road record. On top of that, the Over has hit in each of the last 4 meetings.

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Washington Wizards at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Wizards at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (10-7) host the Washington Wizards (12-7) Saturday at the American Airlines Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Wizards vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Washington broke out of a two-game minislump by holding off the Oklahoma City Thunder in a 101-99 win Friday as 6.5-point road favorites. The Wizards are 10-9 ATS and 6-13 O/U with the 14th-best net rating (plus-0.7).

Dallas snapped a three-game losing skid its last time out by upsetting the Los Angeles Clippers 112-104 in overtime as 2.5-point road underdogs. The Mavs are 8-9 ATS and 6-10-1 O/U with the 22nd-ranked net rating (minus-1.2).

The Mavs beat the Wizards in both regular-season meetings last year but Washington covered the second in a thrilling 125-124 road loss. Either side of the total hit in the two Wizards-Mavericks meetings last season.

Wizards at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Wizards +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Mavericks -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Wizards +6.5 (-102) | Mavericks -6.5 (-122)
Over/Under (O/U): 212.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Wizards at Mavericks key injuries

Wizards

C Thomas Bryant (knee) out
PF Rui Hachimura (personal) out

Mavericks

PG Jalen Brunson (foot) questionable

Wizards at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Wizards 107, Mavericks 103

Money line

Slight “LEAN” to the WIZARDS (+250) for a tiny wager if at all because I like Washington getting points in this spot and that’s a really chunky payout considering how many edges the Wizards have.

For example, Dallas generates the second-highest rate of field goals out of the post, eighth-most catch-and-shoot 3-pointers and ninth-most off-the-dribble 3-pointers, according to ShotQuality.com.

But, Washington’s defense is ninth in efficiency vs. offense out of the post. Also, the Wizards are fifth in shot quality allowed vs. catch-and-shoot 3-pointers and fourth vs. off-the-dribble 3-pointers, according to ShotQuality.com.

On top of that, Washington gets the fourth-most looks at the rim and Dallas has the sixth-worst shot quality allowed of attempts at the rim (ShotQuality.com).

In addition, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Wizards attempt the eighth-highest volume of short-mid-range shots and the Mavs have the 24th-ranked defensive field goal percentage vs. field goals in that area of the floor.

Finally, both rank in the top-5 of shot attempts generated through half-court offense but Washington’s defense is sixth in shot quality allowed vs. half-court offense and Dallas’s defense ranks 26th (ShotQuality.com).

The far wiser play is Washington plus the points but I see enough value here to SPRINKLE ON WIZARDS (+250).

Against the spread

Definitely BET the WIZARDS +6.5 (-102) heavier than or instead of Washington’s money line based on the aforementioned logic and some market-based rational.

What I mean is there’s been a “sharp line move” in Washington’s direction and the Wizards are more likely to execute their offense than the Mavs.

For instance, according to Pregame.com, this is a “Pros vs. Joe’s” game at the time of publishing. More money is on the Wizards but more bets have been placed on the Mavs. Oddsmakers reacted by lowering Dallas from a 7.5-point favorite on the opener to the current price.

Again, if it’s an “either/or” situation then definitely BET WIZARDS +6.5 (-102) instead of Washington straight-up.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 212.5 (-112) because a vast majority of the market is hammering the Over in this contest yet both teams prefer to play half-court basketball while playing at a bottom-10 pace.

So there are two angles in favor of betting the UNDER 212.5 (-112) but that’s all I really got so I’ll only “LEAN” towards a lower-scoring Wizards-Mavericks showdown.

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Washington Wizards at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Washington Wizards at Dallas Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Washington Wizards (29-34) visit American Airlines Center Saturday for a 9 p.m. ET tip-off against the Dallas Mavericks (35-27). Below, we analyze the Wizards-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Washington is one of the hottest teams in the Association as winners of two straight and 10 of its last 11 games (9-2 against the spread).

The Wizards have propelled to the 10-seed in the Eastern Conference. They’re 3 games ahead of the Chicago Bulls for the final postseason play-in spot.

Dallas has also won back-to-back games while going 5-1 straight up and 4-2 ATS in its last six contests. The Mavs are a half-game in front of the Portland Trail Blazers for the 6-seed in the West and are hoping to avoid the play-in.

Dallas routed a Bradley Beal-less Washington 109-87 as a 6-point road favorite in the first meeting this season. It snapped a three-game ATS losing skid against the Wizards.

Wizards at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:35 a.m. ET.

Money line: Wizards +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Mavericks -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Wizards +5 (-110) | Mavericks -5 (-110)
Over/Under: 231.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Wizards at Mavericks: Key injuries

Wizards

None.

Mavericks

PF Maxi Kleber (leg) questionable
PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) questionable

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Wizards at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Wizards 120, Mavericks 110

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the WIZARDS (+165) for a quarter unit because I “like” Washington plus the points and the Mavs have a soft interior defense the Wizards can feast on.

Washington led the league in April in points in the paint per game and Beal—who didn’t play in the first Wizards-Mavericks meeting—was third in PITP per game for April.

And, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Mavs are 22nd in defensive field-goal percentage vs. shots at the rim.

With Beal being one of the most prolific scorers in the mid-range and PG Russell Westbrook one of the most aggressive players in recent history at attacking the rim, the Wizards should tear up the Mavs’ defense.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET the WIZARDS +5 (-110) heavier than or instead of Washington’s money line.

This is a “better spot” for the Wizards who are 9-3 ATS when getting 5-7 points while the Mavs are 4-7 ATS when laying points in that range.

Also, Dallas is an awful 8-14 ATS as a home favorite with a minus-5.9 ATS margin, 2-11 ATS at home when playing teams with a losing record and Washington is 18-12 ATS as a road dog this year.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS because my predicted score is only 1.5 points above BetMGM‘s projected total and there isn’t enough value for me to bet the Over.

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