Breaking down what both teams would have to do to win Saturday’s matchup in Tuscaloosa, Alabama.
A few weeks ago, with Tua Tagovailoa back in as starting quarterback for Alabama, Western Carolina was simply viewed as a “cupcake” game, but with Mac Jones taking over as QB1, this matchup not only has the potential to not only prove that Alabama is still a bold choice for the College Football Playoff, but prove Mac Jones is more than capable to lead the Crimson Tide the rest of the season.
What does Western Carolina have to do to win?
Western Carolina has never beaten an NCAA Division I FBS team, and would have to play an absolutely perfect game in order to beat the Crimson Tide.
Offensively, quarterback Tyrie Adams has just under 9,000 career passing yards at WCU. If Adams can be smart and consistent and move the ball downfield, they have the chance to put up some points against Alabama. With only 5 interceptions for the season, Adams has continued to improve throughout his career with being more accurate as well as consistent. Also, with WCU’s ability to run the option, they could get some big yardage against this Alabama team who has historically struggled defending such teams, including Citadel, that ran 32 times for 149 yards and a touchdown in the first half of last season’s game.
Defensively, WCU will need to pressure Mac Jones out of the pocket, as well as shut down Alabama’s running game. If Western Carolina is able to force Alabama to create turnovers, the Catamounts may prevent Alabama from making it to the CFB Playoff.
What does Alabama have to do to win?
Alabama has to view Western Carolina as a legitimate opponent. Alabama cannot afford to come into the game comfortable, or they could see a Citadel 2.0 performance like last season.
Offensively, Alabama has to settle into the running game early. If Najee Harris and Brian Robinson Jr. can move the ball for the Tide, not only will it help with Alabama controlling the time of possession as well as exhausting the Western Carolina defensive line, it would also open up big plays downfield.
Besides running the ball, Mac Jones has to have another performance like he did against Arkansas. If Jones can show consistency and accuracy with his ability to see down the field and make plays, not only will Alabama show they are still more than capable of winning with Jones as QB1, it could show how talented Jones truly is.
Defensively, Alabama’s defensive line has to stop the option game WCU will play. If they can shut down the running game and make Adams throw the ball for WCU, this game could be over before it starts. This will be a good game for Alabama to continue working out the kinks in the defense and prevent busted coverage.
Who do I think will win this game?
Alabama. Bama needs to win big to prove to the CFB Playoff committee that they’re still a team worthy of a playoff spot.
Score prediction: Alabama 52, Western Carolina 10
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