Morehead State at West Virginia NCAA Tournament First Round Odds, Picks and Prediction

The 14th-seeded Morehead State Eagles (23-7) hit the court in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament against the No. 3 seed West Virginia Mountaineers (18-9) on Friday

The 14th-seeded Morehead State Eagles (23-7) hit the court in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament against the No. 3 seed West Virginia Mountaineers (18-9) on Friday at Lucas Oil Stadium. The contest tips off at 9:50 PM ET on TRU. Morehead State is a heavy, 13-point underdog in the game. Here’s what you need to know before filling out your brackets for this 3-14 matchup in the Midwest Region.

The Mountaineers were led by 19 points from Taz Sherman in their 72-69 loss to Oklahoma State on Thursday. They failed to cover the spread in the contest and the teams combined to go under the 150-point over/under.

Johni Broome led the way for the Eagles with a team-high 27 points last time out as they picked up a 86-71 win over Belmont and covered the 6.5-point spread as underdogs. The teams combined to go over the 135.5 point total set for the matchup.

Morehead State at West Virginia: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 6:25 AM ET on March 19, 2021.

  • Money line: Morehead State +650 (bet $100 to win $650) | West Virginia -1100 (bet $1100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Morehead State +13 (-110) | West Virginia -13 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 137.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

West Virginia: Three things to know

  • Miles McBride leads the Mountaineers in points and assists. He averages 15.4 points per game while adding 4.7 assists. Sean McNeil averages 2.3 made threes per game to pace the team.
  • The 77.3 points per game the Mountaineers average are 13.9 more points than the Eagles allow (63.4).
  • West Virginia has a 17-9 record overall and a 13-0-1 record against the spread when scoring more than 63.4 points.

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Morehead State: Three things to know

  • Broome leads the Eagles in scoring (13.9 points per game) and rebounding (9.0 rebounds per game). Skyelar Potter paces the squad with a team-high 2.0 made three-pointers per game.
  • The Eagles score an average of 68.8 points per game, only 3.3 fewer points than the 72.1 the Mountaineers give up to opponents.
  • Morehead State has put together a 10-0 ATS record and a 14-0 overall record in games where it scores more than 72.1 points.

Morehead State at West Virginia: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

West Virginia 76, Morehead State 64

Money line

The West Virginia Mountaineers are the favorites to win this game according to both the model and BetMGM.

Against the spread (ATS)

The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (12.2 points) is slightly less than the 13-point edge MGM gives to the Mountaineers, though the data still has them as the favorite.

Over/Under (O/U)

The MGM point total for this game is just 3.3 points lower than the model projection.

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March Madness: West Virginia vs. Morehead State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Morehead State Eagles odds and lines, with March Madness Round 1 picks and predictions.

The 3-seed West Virginia Mountaineers (18-9) take on the 14-seed Morehead State Eagles (23-7) at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis Friday for a 9:50 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the West Virginia-Morehead State odds and lines, with March Madness NCAA Tournament picks and predictions.

The Mountaineers stumble into the NCAA Tournament with three losses in the past four games, including a 72-69 loss as 3-point favorites to Oklahoma State in their first game of the Big 12 Tournament. The Mountaineers have also failed to cover in four in a row after a 5-1 ATS run. West Virginia went 7-9 ATS in 16 games against regular-season opponents who qualified for the NCAA Tournament.

The Eagles soared past Belmont in the Ohio Valley Conference title game, and enter the NCAA Tournament on a seven-game win streak. Morehead State has covered four of the past five games overall, and it’s 3-1 ATS on a neutral court this season. This is a team which hasn’t matched up with the big boys very well, losing by 36 to Kentucky in November, by 33 to Ohio State Dec. 2 and by 15 to Clemson Dec. 21. Morehead State plays lockdown defense, allowing just 63.4 PPG to rank 32nd in the nation, and it allows foes to hit just 40.4% from the field, including 30.2% behind the 3-point are.

West Virginia vs. Morehead State: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:56 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: West Virginia -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100) | Morehead State +650 (bet $100 to win $650)
  • Against the spread/ATS: West Virginia -13 (-110) | Morehead State +13 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 137.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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West Virginia vs. Morehead State: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

West Virginia 69, Morehead State 60

Money line (ML)

West Virginia (-1100) will cost 11 times your potential return. While that’s not a good long-term betting strategy, it’s especially dangerous during NCAA Tournament time when we see monumental upsets. Morehead State was on the good side of one of those big upsets, upending 4-seed Louisville 62-61 back in 2011 behind former Denver Nuggets big man Kenneth Faried.

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Against the spread (ATS)

MOREHEAD STATE +13 (-110) has the defense to give West Virginia fits, although the Eagles might not have the juice to go all the way and pull the upset. They play a very deliberate style on offense, going for just 68.6 PPG, they’re not a good 3-point shooting team and they struggle from the free-throw line. But the defense is good, and they should match up well against the struggling Mountaineers.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 137.5 (-110) is the lean here based on Morehead State’s shutdown defense, and its struggles on offense. West Virginia will test that defense, as it averages 77.6 PPG, but it hits just 42.8% from the field. That kind of shooting won’t get it done against a sturdy Eagles D.

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