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Florida vs. Missouri fearless prediction and game preview.
Florida vs. Missouri Broadcast
Date: Saturday, November 16
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
Venue: Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO
Network: CBS
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Florida (8-2) vs. Missouri (5-4) Game Preview
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Why Florida Will Win
The Missouri offense is a mess.
Kelly Bryant hasn’t been healthy for weeks, was out in the shutout loss to Georgia, and while he’s playing agains the Gators, he hasn’t been himself.
Ever since the 38-27 win over Ole Miss, the Tigers managed just 21 points over the last three games, getting stuffed by Vanderbilt and Kentucky teams that aren’t good enough to be stopping anyone cold.
What’s been the problem? The running game has come to a dead stop.
So far this year, Mizzou is 5-0 when running for 165 yards or more, and 0-4 when being held to fewer. The Florida defensive front got rumbled on by LSU and South Carolina in back-to-back weeks, but those are the only two times it allowed more than 140 yards.
On the other side, the Missouri pass rush isn’t there to provide any consistent pressure on Kyle Trask. The Tiger D overall has been good, and the pass defense works, but as long as the Gators have time to work, the passing attack will be effective enough.
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Why Missouri Will Win
Mizzou is at home.
It’s partly because almost all of the good games have been on the road so far, and partly because the team appears to be a different sort of animal in Columbia, but it’s 5-0 at home, and 0-4 on the road. Now the team is finally back after three weeks away from Faurot Field.
How much will the weather matter? It’s high 70s all week in Gainesville, it’s supposed to be in the 60s this weekend, and it’s expected to be in the 40s in Columbia at game time.
On the field, Florida has a turnover problem. It turned the ball over 21 times so far with there giveaways against Vanderbilt last week. That hardly mattered in a 56-0 win, but considering the problems lately for the punchless Tigers, being up in the turnover battle is a must.
The team is +6 in the five wins, and -5 in the four losses. However …
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What’s Going To Happen
Almost no one is better than Florida at taking the ball away.
Missouri pulled off one of the bigger stunners of the 2018 SEC season with a 38-17 win in Gainesville, but that’s hardly anything new. The Tigers are 5-3 all-time against the Gators – starting with the win in the 1966 Sugar Bowl – and have won two straight in the series.
This time around, though, Mizzou just doesn’t have enough offense to pull off the upset against a defense that’s too tough against the run and won’t give up enough big plays against the struggling passing game.
Florida vs. Missouri Prediction, Line
Florida 24, Missouri 16
Bet on UF vs. Mizzou with BetMGM, or for latest line
Florida -6.5, o/u: 48.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
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Must See Rating: 3
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