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The Washington Nationals (68-83) and the New York Mets (83-68) wrap up a 3-game series on Wednesday. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Nationals vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mets lead 10-2
The Mets are in a very strong spot to make the postseason, and if they do, they might want to send thank you notes to Washington. New York has won 10 of the 12 meetings this season, including the 1st 2 games in this series. New York won 10-1 behind RHP Tylor Megill on Tuesday.
New York is just 5-4 in the previous 9 outings, but it is 8-1 across the past 9 appearances in front of the home fans.
For Washington, it has long since been eliminated from the postseason chase. The Nationals haven’t thrown in the towel, though, going 6-5 across the past 11 outings, while the Under is on a 5-1-1 run in the past 7 contests.
Nationals at Mets projected starters
LHP DJ Herz vs. LHP Jose Quintana
Herz (4-7, 3.70 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 80 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H (1 solo HR), 1 BB, 5 K in 4-1 home win vs. Miami Marlins Friday
- 2024 road splits: 1-2, 3.54 ERA, 28 IP, 11 ER, 6 HR, 1.14 WHIP, .200 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 11 BB, 32 K in 6 starts
- Last 7 games: 2-3, 2.91 ERA, 34 IP, 11 ER, 17 BB, 39 K, 1.15 WHIP
- 2024/Career vs. Mets: 0-1, 4.66 ERA, 9 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 2 HR, 2 BB, 13 K, .293 OBA in 2 starts
Quintana (9-9, 3.91 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 159 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 11-3 road victory vs. Philadelphia Phillies Friday
- 2024 home splits: 4-5, 3.97 ERA, 77 IP, 34 ER, 17 HR, 1.27 WHIP, .242 OBA, 27 BB, 62 K in 14 starts
- Last 7 games: 3-2, 3.76 ERA, 40 2/3 IP, 17 ER, 37 H, 15 BB, 28 K, 1.28 WHIP
- Career vs. Nationals: 3-1, 2.25 ERA, 40 IP, 10 ER, 0 HR, 13 BB, 26 K, 1.08 WHIP, 5.9 K/9 in 7 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Nationals at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:06 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nationals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Mets -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-155) | Mets -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Nationals at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Nationals 4, Mets 3
Moneyline
The NATIONALS (+145) are a worth a roll of the dice in this battle of southpaws.
Washington has dropped 10 of 12 meetings this season with the Mets (-175), and each of the 1st 2 games in the current series. However, the Nats are worth playing behind Herz, who has really come into his own in his rookie campaign.
Run line/Against the spread
If you like to play it a little safe, NATIONALS +1.5 (-155) isn’t priced out of line for some insurance.
Washington was annihilated Tuesday, but it cashed as an underdog on the run line in the series opener loss, 2-1.
The Nationals are a respectable 8-6 in the past 14 games on the run line as an underdog, with 6 outright wins.
Over/Under
UNDER 7.5 (-115) is the lean, but play it safe with a half-unit play at most..
The Under is on a 5-1-1 run for Washington in the past 7 games, while going 9-5 in the past 14 road contests.
The Under is 2-1 in the past 3 games for the Mets, while 3-1 in the previous 4 starts by Quintana.
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