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Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (48-75) and Washington Nationals (42-83) will play the final 3 games of their season series this weekend, beginning with Game 1 on Friday. First pitch from Nationals Park will be at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Nationals lead 3-1

The Reds are currently riding a 4-game losing streak after getting swept by the Philadelphia Phillies. The offense has been putting runs across, 31 in the last 6 games, but the pitching staff has allowed 22 runs in the last 4.

The Nationals snapped their 3-game losing streak Wednesday by beating the Mariners on the road 3-1. The Nationals haven’t scored more than 3 runs in their last 4 games and rank 26th in the league in runs scored this season.

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Reds at Nationals projected starters

LHP Mike Minor vs. RHP Cade Cavalli

Minor (2-10, 6.44 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 72 2/3 IP.

  • Had lost 10 starts in a row before beating the Pirates on Sunday – despite allowing 5 R in 5 2/3 IP
  • Has allowed at least 3 runs in 11 of his 14 starts this season, including 3 straight starts with at least 4 ER allowed

Cavalli (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 1st career start. He had a 3.71 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 97 IP at Triple-A this season.

  • The 24-year-old is Washington’s top pitching prospect and he’ll make his MLB debut against the Reds
  • In 44 career starts in the minors, he went 13-3 with a 3.51 ERA and 11.4 K/9.

Reds at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:42 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Reds +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Nationals -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-170) | Nationals -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Reds at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 5, Reds 3

Money line

The Reds are tough to trust right now, having lost 4 games in a row and now with Minor on the mound. He’s had just 1 quality start all year and has looked especially shaky in his last 2 starts, allowing a combined 19 hits in 10 2/3 innings.

Even with a rookie on the mound, I like the NATIONALS (-150) to win this game at home, extending the Reds losing streak to 5 games.

Run line/Against the spread

Neither the Reds nor the Nationals are above .500 against the spread this season, and the Reds only covered the spread once in their 4-game series with the Phillies.

The Nationals have at least been keeping games close when they do lose, with each of their last 5 losses coming by 2 runs or fewer – and winning 3 games by at least 2 runs in that same span.

Bet the NATIONALS -1.5 (+135) to cover the spread against a bad pitcher, which could jumpstart the offense.

Over/Under

As poorly as Minor is pitching right now, and even with a debutant on the bump for the Nationals, I don’t think this will be a terribly high-scoring game. The Nationals offense is struggling and Cavalli could have some success against Cincinnati.

I like the UNDER 8.5 (-102) tonight.

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Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (50-36) host the Washington Nationals (40-42) for the first game of their four-game set at Petco Park Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Diego snapped a three-game losing skid by beating the Philadelphia Phillies 11-1 Sunday. The Padres have won 13 of their last 20 games.

Washington was swept in a four-game series at the Los Angeles Dodgers and has cooled off a bit recently but is also 13-7 in the last 20 games.

Season series: 0-0.

Washington hasn’t officially announced its starter yet but LHP Jon Lester is the projected starter. He is 2-3 with a 5.34 ERA (57 1/3 IP, 34 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 15-6, with 5 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 3 K Wednesday against the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • vs. Padres on the current roster: 82 at-bats with a .256/.358/.463 slash line, 23/12 K/BB, 4 HR and 12 RBIs.

RHP Joe Musgrove takes the hill for the Padres. He is 5-6 with a 2.63 ERA (89 IP, 26 ER), 0.88 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 over 15 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: Win, 7-5, with 4 IP, 5 ER, 4 H, 3 BB and 3 K at the Cincinnati Reds Wednesday in a game that ended after the top of the 6th inning due to rain.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 51 at-bats with a .196/.226/.314 slash line, 11/2 K/BB, 1 HR and 6 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Nationals at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Padres -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Off the board (OTB)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Padres 7, Phillies 2

Money line (ML)

BET the PADRES (-250) for 1 unit because they have an edge in both starting and bullpen pitching and have a more productive lineup.

Both lineups have been raking lately as each ranks in the top 10 of MLB over the last 14 days in several advanced hitting categories such as WAR, wRC+, wOBA and hard-hit rate.

However, Musgrove has been strong through the first half of the season despite his losing record and should be eager to bounce back to form in his last start before the All-Star break after getting pelted in his previous outing.

The Padres are also fully loaded while the Nationals could be without a few everyday players including the red-hot OF Kyle Schwarber and C Yan Gomes.

Furthermore, Lester’s road splits are even worse than his home splits. He is 0-2 on the road with a 7.41 ERA (4.46 home ERA), a 1.1 K/BB rate (2.2 K/BB rate at home) and a .988 opponent’s OPS (.788 opponent’s OPS at home).

Also, San Diego has one of the best bullpens in the majors. The Padres relief corps is top five in K-BB%, left-on-base percentage, xFIP and SIERA.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

No odds listed at the time of publishing.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 8 (-105) for one-third of a unit because Padres hitters should rake Lester and Musgrove’s ERA, WHIP and K/BB rate have worsened over the past three months.

However, it’s only a “lean” since Washington’s lineup could be without a couple of key bats and we are still awaiting the final lineup cards for both teams.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (51-31) meet the Washington Nationals (40-40) Saturday in the third game of their four-game series at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Dodgers rallied against the Nationals for the second consecutive game with a nine-run top of the 7th to key their 10-5 victory Friday. L.A. has won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 16-7.

Season series: Dodgers lead 5-0.

LHP Clayton Kershaw makes his 18th start for the Dodgers. Kershaw is 9-7 with a 3.25 ERA (102 1/3 IP, 37 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 7-1, with 8 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 13 K Sunday against the Chicago Cubs.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster (including playoffs): 220 at-bats with a .241/.277/.341 slash line, 60/9 K/BB, 4 HR and 11 RBIs.

RHP Paolo Espino is on the mound for the Nationals. Espino is 2-2 with a 2.02 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.87 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 over three starts and 15 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: Win, 8-4, with 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 3 K Monday against the New York Mets.
  • No career appearances vs. current Dodgers hitters.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Dodgers at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:37 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -2.5 (+100) | Nationals +2.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Dodgers 8, Nationals 3

Money line (ML)

The only play here is to BET the DODGERS (-250) for 1 unit (not to win 1 unit) because July has been Kershaw’s best month of the year throughout his career and we’ve seen “sharp” line movement toward the Dodgers.

For instance, Kershaw has his best winning percentage, ERA, WHIP and K/BB rate in July compared to any other month in the MLB regular season.

Also, the market has already steamed L.A. up from a -165 opening line favorite to the current price point of DODGERS (-250).

If oddsmakers were comfortable with their original price they wouldn’t have moved the number 85 cents on the dollar. Plus MLB regular-season games don’t get as much action as the NBA or NFL so this live movement is jarring.

To explain the “not to win 1 unit” above: if your standard unit in sports betting is $100 then just risk that on L.A.’s money line to earn a $40 profit instead of going out of your comfort zone and betting $250 to win $100.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS since we are paying a hefty price for L.A.’s money line and even if the Dodgers -2.5 (+100) get out to a five or six-run lead then we’d still have to be concerned the Nationals could “sneak in the backdoor” if L.A. uses its less effective relievers in a blowout.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-115) for a half unit because L.A. is 10-6 O/U when Kershaw starts and if he doesn’t give the Dodgers seven or more innings then maybe the scenario described in the run line section is what cashes the Over.

Furthermore, Espino is more or less an “opener” for the Nationals leading to a “bullpen day” and, while his home splits are very impressive, Espino hasn’t started against a lineup nearly as dangerous as the Dodgers.

We’ve seen L.A.’s lineup rake Washington’s bullpen in the first two games of this series and if Espino isn’t sharp early, the Dodgers might drill the Nationals.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (40-39) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (50-31) Friday in the second game of their four-game series at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

L.A. rallied down 2-1 in the top of the 5th to score five runs and steal the first game of the series, 6-2, after the game was called following the 5th inning due to rain.

Season series: Dodgers lead 4-0.

LHP Julio Urias is making his 17th start for the Dodgers. Urias is 9-3 with a 3.95 ERA (93 1/3 IP, 41 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 12 K Saturday in L.A.’s 3-2 victory over the Chicago Cubs.
  • Urias picked up a win April 10 vs. the Nationals, 9-5, in 5 2/3 IP with 3 ER, 9 H, 0 BB and 3 K.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster (including the playoffs): 60 at-bats with a .350/.361/.433 slash line, 8/0 K/BB, 1 HR and 5 RBIs.

RHP Max Scherzer is on the hill for the Nationals. Scherzer is 7-4 with a 2.14 ERA (88 1/3 IP, 21 ER), 0.85 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 across 15 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-1, with 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 7 K Sunday at the Miami Marlins.
  • Scherzer lost April 11 vs. the Dodgers with a stat line of 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 5 K in L.A.’s 3-0 win.
  • vs. Dodgers on the current roster (including the playoffs): 111 at-bats with a .162/.260/.351 slash line, 40/13 K/BB, 5 HR and 10 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Dodgers at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:37 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Nationals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+135) | Nationals +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Nationals 6, Dodgers 3

Money line (ML)

BET the NATIONALS (+100) for 1 unit because Washington’s lineup is one of the best vs. left-handed pitching and Scherzer is an ace who still has electric stuff whereas Urias is more of a “middle of the rotation” starter.

For instance, the Nationals hitters are top-10 in both wRC+ and wOBA against LHP. Also, Scherzer has nine quality starts and has given up two or fewer earned runs in 13 of his 15 starts while Urias has seven quality starts and has given up three or more runs in seven of his 16 outings.

Furthermore, I’d prefer to “fade the market” rather than follow it with L.A. being steamed up 30 cents on the dollar from +110 opening line underdog to the current price, according to Pregame.com.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the NATIONALS -1.5 (+200) ALTERNATE RUN LINE for a quarter unit – if at all – because Urias didn’t have his best stuff last month and I think this Washington lineup can get to him early.

In June, Urias gave up more than two home runs per nine innings, had a lower K-BB% than his 2021 average and 4.74 FIP (3.49 FIP for the season).

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 8 (-105) for a one-third unit because the presumed “sharp” money is barreling into the Over while a majority of the “public” action is on the Under with most of the situational trends suggesting a lower-scoring affair.

According to Pregame.com, nearly 80% of the money wagered on the Dodgers-Nationals total is on the Over whereas more than 70% of the bets placed are on the Under. Typically, it’s more profitable in sports betting to follow the money when it’s flowing in the opposite direction of the public.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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