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The No. 8 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-1) host the Virginia Cavaliers (5-4) Saturday in their final true home game of the regular season. Kickoff from Notre Dame Stadium is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (NBC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Virginia at Notre Dame odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Irish have rattled off 7 wins since their surprising Week 2 loss to Northern Illinois, with a 52-3 stomping of Florida State last week punctuating their active streak. Notre Dame sits as 1 of 7 FBS teams ranked in the top 15 for scoring offense (38.3) and scoring defense (11.1).
Virginia toppled No. 18 Pitt last weekend 24-19, but faces the difficult task of upsetting back-to-back ranked opponents — and the Cavaliers face another ranked team in ACC mates SMU next week. Still, they’re looking to qualify for a bowl, so they have their own reason to put up a fight yet again.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Virginia at Notre Dame odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 7:36 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Virginia +1100 (bet $100 to win $1,100) | Notre Dame -2500 (bet $2,500 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Virginia +23.5 (-115) | Notre Dame -23.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Virginia at Notre Dame picks and predictions
Prediction
Notre Dame 38, Virginia 14
Moneyline
Virginia’s win over Pitt could build a case to sprinkle-bet a quadruple-digit juice for a second straight upset, but Notre Dame looks too much in control of game pace since their sole loss of the season.
PASS, barring a planned high-risk, high-reward sprinkle bet in your budget.
Against the spread
These schools sit tied for 10th in the nation with a 6-2-1 mark ATS.
Notre Dame has covered in each of its past 4 games. They’ve successfully kept their College Football Playoff chances afloat while upset losses have dinged many of their competitors.
Expect the Irish to continue their scoring aggression to win over the ranking committee and put up a strong front heading into what could be a season-making clash with Army.
The (-105) juice at least offers a profitable return.
BET NOTRE DAME -23.5 (-105).
Over/Under
Both clubs rank in the middle of the pack for rushing defense, but expect Notre Dame to dominate here.
QB Riley Leonard and RBs Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price all have averaged at least 5.9 yards per carry and total 27 TDs between them (13 for Leonard, 10 for Love).
Despite a litany of season-ending injuries to key players, including elite prospect CB Benjamin Morrison, Notre Dame’s 11.1 points allowed per game ranks third in the nation in scoring defense. However, Virginia has allowed 26.7 PPG (83rd) and will allow Notre Dame’s offense to carry the load to meet the total.
BET OVER 50.5 (-110).
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