The Virginia Cavaliers (2-2, 0-1 ACC) and the Duke Blue Devils (3-1, 0-0) meet Saturday at Wallace Wade Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN3). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Virginia vs. Duke odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Cavaliers suffered a 22-20 loss at Syracuse in Week 4 in its ACC opener, but at least covered for the first time this season. The offense has really struggled, averaging just 18.3 points per game to rank 115th nationally. Virginia is allowing just 19.3 PPG, so it’s no surprise the Under is 4-0 to date.
The Blue Devils started 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS, already surpassing the team’s Over for season wins. Duke suffered its first loss of the season last week at Kansas, a fellow season win total overachiever. The Under is 3-1 for Duke so far.
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Virginia at Duke odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Virginia +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Duke -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Virginia +2.5 (-110) | Duke -2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Virginia at Duke picks and predictions
Prediction
Duke 26, Virginia 22
Moneyline
DUKE (-135) is worth playing on the moneyline, as it isn’t substantially more expensive than the juice to lay the points. This is going to be a close game, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see a 1- or 2-point game between two mediocre ACC teams.
Against the spread
DUKE -2.5 (-110) is worth playing lightly at home, where it is 2-0 SU/1-1 ATS, winning and covering its only game against an FBS opponent this season. Duke is 1-0 ATS as a favorite vs. FBS teams this season, too.
Over/Under
The UNDER 52.5 (-110) is the way to go here. UVA has cashed the Under in each of its 4 games to date and it struggles to score points while tossing a blanket on opposing offenses with its tremendous lockdown defense.
Duke has also played very good defense this season, although it has allowed 20 or more points in each of the last 3 games. Still, Virginia isn’t a high-octane offense and will have trouble moving the ball at Wallace Wade.
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