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Vanderbilt Commodores at Kentucky Wildcats odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Vanderbilt Commodores at Kentucky Wildcats odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Vanderbilt Commodores (3-2, 1-1 SEC) visit the Kentucky Wildcats (3-2, 1-2) Saturday. Kickoff from Kroger Field is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Vanderbilt shocked the nation with a 40-35 win over Alabama Oct. 5 as a 23-point home underdog. QB Diego Pavia went 16 of 20 for 252 yards with 2 TDs, with his top receiver WR Eli Stowers hauling in 6 receptions for 113 yards. On the ground, RB Sedrick Alexander carried the ball 21 times for 64 yards and 2 TDs.

Kentucky upset Ole Miss 20-17 Sept. 28 as a 15.5-point road underdog. QB Brock Vandagriff went 18 of 28 for 243 yards with a TD, with WR Dane Key catching 8 passes for 105 yards and a TD.

– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Vanderbilt +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | Kentucky -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Vanderbilt +12.5 (-110) | Kentucky -12.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky picks and predictions

Prediction

Kentucky 27, Vanderbilt 23

Moneyline

PASS.

While Vanderbilt (+375) is intriguing after coming off such a big win, Kentucky (-500) has the home-field advantage and is coming off a week of rest.

Against the spread

BET VANDERBILT +12.5 (-110).

Vanderbilt bounced back from its 2-game losing streak in a big way last week and has shown promise. Pavia and company have covered the spread in 4 of their 5 games this season, including all 3 as a double-digit underdog. Kentucky is also 4-1 ATS, but it has scored 20 or fewer points in 3 of its last 4 games.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 44.5 (-110).

Vanderbilt has thrived on offense this season, scoring 27 or more points in each game and accumulating a 5-0 Over record. Going against a strong Kentucky defense, which has held opponents to 17 or fewer points in 3 straight games, may be challenging, but expect this game to contain a lot of back-and-forth action.

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Vanderbilt Commodores (8-21, 3-13 SEC) take on the No. 13 Kentucky Wildcats (21-8, 11-5) Wednesday at Rupp Arena. Tip is set for 9 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Vandy has lost 4 of 5 after a 75-61 home defeat to the LSU Tigers Saturday. Before that setback, it upset the Arkansas Razorbacks on the road as a 10-point dog. G Ezra Manjon dropped 22 on Arkansas and 17 against LSU.

The Wildcats, No. 13 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, have won 3 in a row and 5 of 6. Their latest was a 111-102 victory over Arkansas, though they failed to cover the lofty 13-point spread. G Antonio Reeves has been money in the bank with 20+ in 5 straight games. UK clubbed the Commodores, 109-77, Feb. 6 in Nashville.

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Vanderbilt +1100 (bet $100 to win $1,100) | Kentucky -2500 (bet $2,500 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Vanderbilt +17.5 (-110) | Kentucky -17.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 160.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky picks and predictions

Prediction

Kentucky 101, Vanderbilt 68

Moneyline

Not much to see here as far as the ML goes.

As we touched on already, Reeves has dropped 20+ in 5 straight — actually 21+ in 5 straight. So, the books have cleverly anointed his number at 20.5. He had 24 against Vandy in the 1st meeting. and while this number doesn’t leave much wiggle room, I’m willing to ride it 1 more time.

Take ANTONIO REEVES OVER 20.5 POINTS (-130).

Against the spread

I really don’t like spreads like this. Because the risk vastly outweighs the reward. You’re betting on college kids that are more talented than the other team to drop the hammer on them and not let up. Should UK win by 18 or more? Yes. Is it possible that it isn’t as interested in doing that, as it is looking ahead to a big matchup in Knoxville against the Tennessee Vols? Yes.

Take UK ML + ANTONIO REEVES 20 POINTS (-156). There’s less of a payout, but it’s worth the safety net.

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Over/Under

The Over has cashed in 2 straight meetings, but those totals were 9 and 17 points fewer than this one. Vandy has touched 70 points 3 times in the last 10. So we’re really depending on Kentucky to drop 95 to cash this Over. UK is averaging 106.3 PPG over its last 3 games. It posted 109 against Vandy in Nashville. There isn’t much margin for error, but I’ll LEAN OVER 160.5 (-115).

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Vanderbilt Commodores (16-13, 9-7 SEC) travel to face the Kentucky Wildcats (20-9, 11-5) on Wednesday at Rupp Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Commodores covered as 3.5-point home favorites in Saturday’s 88-72 win over Florida. Vanderbilt has won 6 of its last 7 games.

The Wildcats cruised to an 86-54 victory over Auburn to cover as 5-point home favorites. Kentucky is amid a 4-game winning streak and has gone 6-2 in its last 8 conference games.

Vanderbilt and Kentucky meet for the 2nd time this season. The Wildcats covered as 6-point road favorites in a 69-53 win and the Under hit in the 1st meeting on Jan. 24.

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:56 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Vanderbilt +390 (bet $100 to win $390) | Kentucky -525 (bet $525 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Vanderbilt +10.5 (-110) | Kentucky -10.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky picks and predictions

Prediction

Kentucky 80, Vanderbilt 68

Moneyline

PASS.

Even though the Wildcats should secure the victory at home, taking them to win isn’t worth the risk at the current odds (-525).

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Against the spread

While Vanderbilt has been playing better recently, KENTUCKY -10.5 (-110) is the pick in this SEC showdown. The Wildcats are 10-6 ATS in their 16 conference games this season and are playing at home.

Kentucky is also 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games overall.

Over/Under

OVER 145.5 (-115) is the lean with how these teams have performed recently. These teams average a combined 147 points per game and Vanderbilt’s defense is surrendering 71.9 points per game (240th in the nation).

The Commodores are 4-1 to the Over in their last 5 games overall and the Wildcats are 7-3 to the Over in their last 10 games overall.

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Vanderbilt Commodores (3-6, 0-5 SEC) and No. 24 Kentucky Wildcats (6-3, 3-3) meet Saturday. Kickoff rom Kroger Field in Lexington is at noon ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Vanderbilt has lost 5 in a row and has not defeated a power-5 opponent this season. The Commodores dropped a 38-27 decision in a home game against South Carolina last Saturday, failing to cover as 6.5-point underdogs and slipping to 1-4 against the spread over their losing skid.

The Wildcats — 24th in the College Football Playoff rankings — snuck by Missouri 21-17 last week, winning outright as 1-point underdogs. UK is playing at home for the first time since Oct. 15. A lackluster Kentucky offense has been held to fewer than 300 total yards in 3 of its last 4 games and is 14th in the SEC at 341.4 total yards per game.

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 4:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Vanderbilt +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | Kentucky -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Vanderbilt +17.5 (-112) | Kentucky -17.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 47 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky picks and predictions

Prediction

Kentucky 35, Vanderbilt 14

Moneyline

PASS.

Kentucky should emerge victorious, but there is more leverage to be gained against the spread.

Against the spread

Kentucky won last year’s meeting 34-17 but failed to cover as a 21.5-point favorite after a garbage-time 4th-quarter score by Vanderbilt.

Look for UK to exploit value drives built on 1st- and 2nd-down success, solid defense and likely a couple of takeaways in building and then clocking a 3-score victory. The Wildcats play Georgia next week and may want to put some offensive wrinkles on film. Don’t expect a let-up against a likely-road-fatigued Vandy squad.

BACK KENTUCKY -17.5 (-108).

Over/Under

The weather could be dodgy for this one, but there are some factors making for an Over lean here.

Havoc plays should be expected to loom large, and short-field opportunities could well be impactful in spiraling the score. Vanderbilt’s offense is solid in the red zone and should have some confidence coming off a balanced performance last week.

BACK THE OVER 47 (-108).

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SEC Tournament: Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Kentucky Wildcats meet the Vanderbilt Commodores in the third round of the SEC Tournament Friday at Amalie Arena. Tip is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

No. 11 Vanderbilt was among the four teams that had to play in the first round, easily knocking off Georgia 86-51. The Commodores were then gifted No. 6 Alabama and won 82-76. They covered both games, as 9-point favorites and 5-point underdogs respectively.

On the season, Vandy is 20-12 against the spread (ATS). It is 3-0 straight up in neutral-site matches. Vandy is 1-1 ATS against UK this season, covering in a 77-70 loss in Lexington as 14.5-point underdogs. It failed to cover at home as 7.5-point underdogs, losing 78-66.

Vandy is led by Scottie Pippen Jr. who is averaging 20.5 points per game. He’ll have see Kentucky C Oscar Tshiebwe yet again. Tshiebwe is averaging 17.3 points and 15.3 rebounds per game.

The West Virginia transfer is a contender for Player of the Year and is a key reason the Cats are 25-6. No. 5 Kentucky, rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports, is just 14-16-1 ATS on the season though and is just 7-6 straight up away from home.

Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Vanderbilt +440 (bet $100 to win $440) | Kentucky -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Vanderbilt +10.5 (-107) | Kentucky -10.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 142.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Kentucky 78, Vanderbilt 69

Money line

PASS.

Betting a -650 in March is asking to be disappointed.

Similarly, Kentucky won by 12 and 7 in the teams’ meetings in the regular season and should come out on top, making the +440 a tad too risky for my taste.

Against the spread

LEAN to VANDERBILT +10.5 (-107).

As tournaments go deeper, it’s easier to see which teams have it in them to continue, and Vandy just might. While Vandy hasn’t beaten Kentucky, it has been a covering machine as of late.

Since February 2, which Vandy covered a 14.5-point spread in Kentucky, the Commodores have gone 11-1 ATS. Pippen Jr. has helped captain an offense that’s been just good enough to keep games close. In that span, they’re 6-6 straight up.

Vandy is 12-7-1 ATS against conference opponents while Kentucky is just 8-10. The Wildcats also rank 133rd in the nation in free-throw percentage, which could help keep this game close late.

For those reasons, I like Vandy to keep their hot play alive, but I still wouldn’t put it on them to come out on top and advance.

Over/Under

BET the OVER 142.5 (-115).

Kentucky is one of the highest-scoring teams in the nation, averaging 80.1 points per game. The Wildcats rank 12th in field goal shooting as well at 48.9%.

Their strength is in their rebounding behind Tshiebwe. Considering Vandy has one player that consistently seeing minutes over 6-foot-7, I expect the Cats size to be huge and help them rack up offensive boards.

Vandy is 10-3 O/U in its last 13 games and 20-12 O/U on the season. Pippen Jr. should help them continue scoring easily, having averaged 84 points per game in the first two rounds of the SEC Tournament.

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