Tag: Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Kentucky Wildcats odds predictions pick betting line spread

Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Vanderbilt Commodores (8-21, 3-13 SEC) take on the No. 13 Kentucky Wildcats (21-8, 11-5) Wednesday at Rupp Arena. Tip is set for 9 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Vandy has lost 4 of 5 after a 75-61 home defeat to the LSU Tigers Saturday. Before that setback, it upset the Arkansas Razorbacks on the road as a 10-point dog. G Ezra Manjon dropped 22 on Arkansas and 17 against LSU.

The Wildcats, No. 13 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, have won 3 in a row and 5 of 6. Their latest was a 111-102 victory over Arkansas, though they failed to cover the lofty 13-point spread. G Antonio Reeves has been money in the bank with 20+ in 5 straight games. UK clubbed the Commodores, 109-77, Feb. 6 in Nashville.

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Vanderbilt +1100 (bet $100 to win $1,100) | Kentucky -2500 (bet $2,500 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Vanderbilt +17.5 (-110) | Kentucky -17.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 160.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky picks and predictions

Prediction

Kentucky 101, Vanderbilt 68

Moneyline

Not much to see here as far as the ML goes.

As we touched on already, Reeves has dropped 20+ in 5 straight — actually 21+ in 5 straight. So, the books have cleverly anointed his number at 20.5. He had 24 against Vandy in the 1st meeting. and while this number doesn’t leave much wiggle room, I’m willing to ride it 1 more time.

Take ANTONIO REEVES OVER 20.5 POINTS (-130).

Against the spread

I really don’t like spreads like this. Because the risk vastly outweighs the reward. You’re betting on college kids that are more talented than the other team to drop the hammer on them and not let up. Should UK win by 18 or more? Yes. Is it possible that it isn’t as interested in doing that, as it is looking ahead to a big matchup in Knoxville against the Tennessee Vols? Yes.

Take UK ML + ANTONIO REEVES 20 POINTS (-156). There’s less of a payout, but it’s worth the safety net.

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Over/Under

The Over has cashed in 2 straight meetings, but those totals were 9 and 17 points fewer than this one. Vandy has touched 70 points 3 times in the last 10. So we’re really depending on Kentucky to drop 95 to cash this Over. UK is averaging 106.3 PPG over its last 3 games. It posted 109 against Vandy in Nashville. There isn’t much margin for error, but I’ll LEAN OVER 160.5 (-115).

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SEC Tournament: Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds and lines, with expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

The Vanderbilt Commodores (19-13) look to continue their season against the No. 24 Kentucky Wildcats (21-10) in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals in Nashville Friday at 9 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

After winning the 1st meeting between these teams 69-53 on Jan. 24 as a 5.5-point favorite (Under 142.5 hit), Kentucky lost the 2nd contest 68-66 at home as a 10.5 favorite on March 1 (Under 145.5 hit).

Kentucky, after a rough start to the season, has come on strong to finish the season in the top 25 and will make another trip to March after being defeated by St. Peter’s last year.

Vanderbilt comes in after beating LSU 77-68 on Thursday and needs a win to keep its slim hopes of a postseason berth alive.  Coach Jerry Stackhouse has done great for Vanderbilt this season and a win against Kentucky would be a large feather in the cap of the program moving forward into next season.

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Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Vanderbilt +325 (bet $100 to win $325) | Kentucky -425 (bet $425 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Vanderbilt +8.5 (-105) | Kentucky -8.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 144.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky picks and predictions

Prediction

Kentucky 78, Vanderbilt 68

Moneyline

PASS.

Kentucky comes in rested after winning its last game of the season 88-79 over Arkansas on Saturday while Vanderbilt is coming off a tough win over LSU on Thursday. After a physical battle against the Tigers, expect the Commodores to come out a bit slow here.

But at -425, Kentucky is too big a favorite to wager on straight. But it would still be the only side to play. Which means this is a no go as a bet unless added into a larger parlay.

Against the spread

KENTUCKY -8.5 (-115).

Vanderbilt has had a good run of late. But it ends here.

Kentucky has covered in 5 of 6 overall and 5 of 6 in Friday games. Coming in with 6 days rest, the Wildcats will jump out to an early lead and force the Commodores to play catchup, which Vandy is not equipped to do.

Oscar Tshiebwe has not been the same player this season as he was in 2021-22. But he is still a finalist for the Wooden Award and leads the nation with 13.1 rebounds per game while also averaging 16.4 points.

His ability to get offensive rebounds to produce 2nd-chance points while also limiting the amount of second chance points for Vanderbilt will go a long way in making sure Kentucky can cover the 8.5-point spread here.

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Over/Under

OVER 144.5 (-110)

While both teams have gone through scoring droughts this season, the Over is still the correct play.

Kentucky is coming in fresh off an 88-point output against Arkansas Saturday and Vanderbilt will be forced to play keep up.

Kentucky’s defense ranks just 107th at 67.6 points per game while Vanderbilt’s defense ranks 234th at 71.7 points allowed.  Both teams will find it difficult to hold down the opponent and the Over is the most comfortable play here.

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Vanderbilt Commodores (16-13, 9-7 SEC) travel to face the Kentucky Wildcats (20-9, 11-5) on Wednesday at Rupp Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Commodores covered as 3.5-point home favorites in Saturday’s 88-72 win over Florida. Vanderbilt has won 6 of its last 7 games.

The Wildcats cruised to an 86-54 victory over Auburn to cover as 5-point home favorites. Kentucky is amid a 4-game winning streak and has gone 6-2 in its last 8 conference games.

Vanderbilt and Kentucky meet for the 2nd time this season. The Wildcats covered as 6-point road favorites in a 69-53 win and the Under hit in the 1st meeting on Jan. 24.

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:56 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Vanderbilt +390 (bet $100 to win $390) | Kentucky -525 (bet $525 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Vanderbilt +10.5 (-110) | Kentucky -10.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky picks and predictions

Prediction

Kentucky 80, Vanderbilt 68

Moneyline

PASS.

Even though the Wildcats should secure the victory at home, taking them to win isn’t worth the risk at the current odds (-525).

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Against the spread

While Vanderbilt has been playing better recently, KENTUCKY -10.5 (-110) is the pick in this SEC showdown. The Wildcats are 10-6 ATS in their 16 conference games this season and are playing at home.

Kentucky is also 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games overall.

Over/Under

OVER 145.5 (-115) is the lean with how these teams have performed recently. These teams average a combined 147 points per game and Vanderbilt’s defense is surrendering 71.9 points per game (240th in the nation).

The Commodores are 4-1 to the Over in their last 5 games overall and the Wildcats are 7-3 to the Over in their last 10 games overall.

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Vanderbilt Commodores (3-6, 0-5 SEC) and No. 24 Kentucky Wildcats (6-3, 3-3) meet Saturday. Kickoff rom Kroger Field in Lexington is at noon ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Vanderbilt has lost 5 in a row and has not defeated a power-5 opponent this season. The Commodores dropped a 38-27 decision in a home game against South Carolina last Saturday, failing to cover as 6.5-point underdogs and slipping to 1-4 against the spread over their losing skid.

The Wildcats — 24th in the College Football Playoff rankings — snuck by Missouri 21-17 last week, winning outright as 1-point underdogs. UK is playing at home for the first time since Oct. 15. A lackluster Kentucky offense has been held to fewer than 300 total yards in 3 of its last 4 games and is 14th in the SEC at 341.4 total yards per game.

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 4:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Vanderbilt +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | Kentucky -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Vanderbilt +17.5 (-112) | Kentucky -17.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 47 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky picks and predictions

Prediction

Kentucky 35, Vanderbilt 14

Moneyline

PASS.

Kentucky should emerge victorious, but there is more leverage to be gained against the spread.

Against the spread

Kentucky won last year’s meeting 34-17 but failed to cover as a 21.5-point favorite after a garbage-time 4th-quarter score by Vanderbilt.

Look for UK to exploit value drives built on 1st- and 2nd-down success, solid defense and likely a couple of takeaways in building and then clocking a 3-score victory. The Wildcats play Georgia next week and may want to put some offensive wrinkles on film. Don’t expect a let-up against a likely-road-fatigued Vandy squad.

BACK KENTUCKY -17.5 (-108).

Over/Under

The weather could be dodgy for this one, but there are some factors making for an Over lean here.

Havoc plays should be expected to loom large, and short-field opportunities could well be impactful in spiraling the score. Vanderbilt’s offense is solid in the red zone and should have some confidence coming off a balanced performance last week.

BACK THE OVER 47 (-108).

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SEC Tournament: Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Kentucky Wildcats meet the Vanderbilt Commodores in the third round of the SEC Tournament Friday at Amalie Arena. Tip is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

No. 11 Vanderbilt was among the four teams that had to play in the first round, easily knocking off Georgia 86-51. The Commodores were then gifted No. 6 Alabama and won 82-76. They covered both games, as 9-point favorites and 5-point underdogs respectively.

On the season, Vandy is 20-12 against the spread (ATS). It is 3-0 straight up in neutral-site matches. Vandy is 1-1 ATS against UK this season, covering in a 77-70 loss in Lexington as 14.5-point underdogs. It failed to cover at home as 7.5-point underdogs, losing 78-66.

Vandy is led by Scottie Pippen Jr. who is averaging 20.5 points per game. He’ll have see Kentucky C Oscar Tshiebwe yet again. Tshiebwe is averaging 17.3 points and 15.3 rebounds per game.

The West Virginia transfer is a contender for Player of the Year and is a key reason the Cats are 25-6. No. 5 Kentucky, rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports, is just 14-16-1 ATS on the season though and is just 7-6 straight up away from home.

Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Vanderbilt +440 (bet $100 to win $440) | Kentucky -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Vanderbilt +10.5 (-107) | Kentucky -10.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 142.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Kentucky 78, Vanderbilt 69

Money line

PASS.

Betting a -650 in March is asking to be disappointed.

Similarly, Kentucky won by 12 and 7 in the teams’ meetings in the regular season and should come out on top, making the +440 a tad too risky for my taste.

Against the spread

LEAN to VANDERBILT +10.5 (-107).

As tournaments go deeper, it’s easier to see which teams have it in them to continue, and Vandy just might. While Vandy hasn’t beaten Kentucky, it has been a covering machine as of late.

Since February 2, which Vandy covered a 14.5-point spread in Kentucky, the Commodores have gone 11-1 ATS. Pippen Jr. has helped captain an offense that’s been just good enough to keep games close. In that span, they’re 6-6 straight up.

Vandy is 12-7-1 ATS against conference opponents while Kentucky is just 8-10. The Wildcats also rank 133rd in the nation in free-throw percentage, which could help keep this game close late.

For those reasons, I like Vandy to keep their hot play alive, but I still wouldn’t put it on them to come out on top and advance.

Over/Under

BET the OVER 142.5 (-115).

Kentucky is one of the highest-scoring teams in the nation, averaging 80.1 points per game. The Wildcats rank 12th in field goal shooting as well at 48.9%.

Their strength is in their rebounding behind Tshiebwe. Considering Vandy has one player that consistently seeing minutes over 6-foot-7, I expect the Cats size to be huge and help them rack up offensive boards.

Vandy is 10-3 O/U in its last 13 games and 20-12 O/U on the season. Pippen Jr. should help them continue scoring easily, having averaged 84 points per game in the first two rounds of the SEC Tournament.

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