Utah Jazz odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line – Page 3

Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (15-16) travel to Salt Lake City for a 10:30 p.m. ET Christmas game against the Utah Jazz (22-9) at the Vivint Smart Home Arena. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Jazz odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Dallas has lost three of its past four games including its most recent – a 102-95 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks as a 3.5-point home underdog Thursday.

Since Dec. 10, the Mavs are 3-4 straight-up (SU), 4-3 ATS and 2-5 O/U with the 10th-best non-garbage time net rating (plus-3.8 points per 100 possessions), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Utah has won back-to-back games, beating the Charlotte Hornets 112-102 Monday and the Minnesota Timberwolves 128-116 Thursday.

The Jazz are 5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS and 3-3-1 O/U since Dec. 9, with the fourth-best non-garbage time net rating (plus-11.5 points per 100 possessions), per CTG.

The Jazz won and covered in two of three meetings vs. the Mavs last season and the Under was 3-0 in those games.

Mavericks at Jazz odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:23 a.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Jazz -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +12.5 (-108) | Jazz +12.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Mavericks at Jazz key injuries

Mavericks

PG Trey Burke (health and safety protocols) out
PG Luka Doncic (health and safety protocols) out
SF Tim Hardaway Jr. (health and safety protocols) out
PF Maxi Kleber (health and safety protocols) out
C Kristaps Porzingis (toe) questionable

Jazz

None

Deposit $10 or more, get $100 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Mavericks at Jazz odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Jazz 115, Mavericks 104

Money line

PASS because Utah should win handily but at -1000, it’s a no-go. Dallas will be without several contributors including offensive centerpiece Doncic, while Utah is at full strength.

Utah has the fourth-highest winning percentage as a home favorite since the start of last season and the Jazz have beaten the Mavs in nine of their last 10 meetings in Utah.

Against the spread

Slight “LEAN” to the MAVERICKS +12.5 (-108) for a small wager because the Jazz have lost four straight ATS, all as double-digit favorites and are only 5-9 ATS when favored by 10 or more points.

Also, Dallas has covered five of its past six games without Doncic in the lineup. In fact, he grades in the 19th percentile of guards in on/off net rating (minus-8.2 points per 100 possessions), per CTG.

However, I can only “LEAN” to the MAVERICKS +12.5 (-108) because they just have too many players on the NBA’s COVID-19 list.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 214.5 (-107) as a fade against a market that’s hammering the Under. The game had a 218.5 O/U line Christmas Eve morning before all the pro-Under money steamed the number down.

On top of that, the Jazz can get a little clumsy with the ball. Utah ranks 20th in offensive turnover rate and 25th in points off of turnovers allowed per game.

Though Dallas is far less talented, its role players getting an opportunity on Christmas will motivate them to crash the offensive glass and to get into passing lanes, both of which lead to easy points.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]

Minnesota Timberwolves at Utah Jazz odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Utah Jazz odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (15-16) travel to Salt Lake City Thursday for a 9 p.m. ET game against the Utah Jazz (21-9) at Vivint Smart Home Arena. Below, we look at the Timberwolves vs. Jazz odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Minnesota had its four-game winning streak snapped its last time out in a 114-102 loss at the Dallas Mavericks as 2-point road favorites Tuesday.

The T-Wolves are 4-3 straight-up (SU), 4-3 ATS and 6-1 O/U with the 14th-ranked non-garbage time net rating (minus-2.1 points per 100 possessions), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Utah broke a two-game slump Tuesday by beating the Charlotte Hornets 112-102 at home but failed to cover as 12.5-point favorites.

Over the past two weeks, the Jazz are 5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS and 3-3-1 O/U with the third-best non-garbage time net rating (plus-13.1 points per 100 possessions), per CTG.

The Jazz pummeled the T-Wolves 136-104 in their first meeting this season, Dec. 8 to snap a three-game losing skid to Minnesota.

Timberwolves at Jazz odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

Money line: Timberwolves +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Jazz -850 (bet $850 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +11.5 (-112) | Jazz -11.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Timberwolves at Jazz key injuries

Timberwolves

SG Anthony Edwards (health and safety protocols) out
PG Patrick Beverley (health and safety protocols) out
PF Jarred Vanderbilt (health and safety protocols) out
SF Josh Okogie (health and safety protocols) out

Jazz

None.

Timberwolves at Jazz odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Jazz 118, Timberwolves 105

Money line

PASS on the money line. I love the Jazz here, but at -850, there just isn’t any value.

Against the spread

BET on the JAZZ -11.5 (-108) as the best value in this game.

The Wolves are coming off a disappointing 12-point loss to the Doncic-less Mavs. The Mavs were down 3 of their 4 top scorers and still crushed Minnesota.

Edwards is showing his importance to this team as they struggle without him.

With KAT going against Rudy Gobert, I expect a lockdown performance from the DPOY. The Jazz are the far healthier side as well. They’re 1 of just 2 teams in the top 6 in offensive and defensive rating.

The Jazz beat the Wolves 136-104 in their last meeting. Donovan Mitchell had 36. They’ll against have no answer for the star guard.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 227.5 (-108) as this is just too many points. The Jazz are averaging a league-most 115 per game.

However, the Wolves aren’t even hitting 110. With Utah also having a top-10 defense, and the Wolves being down a top-two scoring threat, I expect there to be points, just not this many.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]

Washington Wizards at Utah Jazz odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Wizards at Utah Jazz odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Wizards (15-15) continue their road trip Saturday night. The fourth game of their six-game road trip is Saturday against the Utah Jazz (20-8). Tip-off is at 9 p.m. ET at Vivint Smart Home Arena. Below, we look at the Wizards vs. Jazz odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Wizards have not had a good road trip. They have lost four in a row and the first three games of their current road trip, increasing the amount by which they lost each game. Their most recent game was a 118-98 loss to the Phoenix Suns. They have lost seven of their last eight games.

The Jazz had an eight-game winning streak end Friday night with a 128-126. Spurs G Lonnie Walker hit the game-winning shot with 14.9 seconds left in the game. Jazz G Donovan Mitchell missed two go-ahead shots in the final seconds. They have won 10 games each at home and on the road this season.

Wizards at Jazz odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:15 p.m. ET.

Money line: Wizards +420 (bet $100 to win $420) | Jazz -600 (bet $600 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Wizards +9.5 (-107) | Jazz -9.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Wizards at Jazz key injuries

Wizards

None.

Jazz

SG Donovan Mitchell (illness) questionable

Wizards at Jazz odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Jazz 121, Wizards 104

Money line

PASS on the money line. The Jazz are the far superior team and are playing very well as of late, but it isn’t worth having to bet six times what you can win.

Meanwhile, a bet on the Wizards, while potentially very profitable, is not a smart bet. They are 7-11 on the road and 5-6 against Western Conference teams.

Against the spread

The Wizards are now 12-17-1 ATS, the fourth-worst ATS record in the NBA right now. They have failed to cover the spread in eight straight games.

The Jazz are 16-12 ATS on the season and are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games. They are 8-7 ATS at home but 3-1 ATS when they play the second night of a back-to-back like tonight.

Take the JAZZ -9.5 (-115).

Over/Under

Eight of the last 11 games for the Wizards have gone Over the projected total. Seven of the last nine for the Jazz have hit the Over.

The Jazz have averaged 125.4 points a game over their last nine and have not scored fewer than 109 points. If Utah reaches 120, then the Wizards just need to hit 102, which is very possible. They have scored at least that much in four of their last six games, all losses but one.

Take OVER 222.5 (-115).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]

Los Angeles Clippers at Utah Jazz odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Clippers at Utah Jazz odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Clippers (16-12) head to Salt Lake City Wednesday for a 9 p.m. ET game against the Utah Jazz (19-7) at Vivint Arena. Below, we look at the Clippers vs. Jazz odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

This is the first regular-season meeting between these two since L.A. upset Utah 4-2 in their second-round Western Conference playoff series last season. Clippers wing Kawhi Leonard suffered the knee injury that has him currently sidelined in Game 4 of that series.

Utah is on a seven-game win streak that stretches back to November (5-2 ATS). The Jazz have the second-best non-garbage time efficiency differential (plus-15.8 points per 100 possessions) in December according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

L.A. has won four straight games (3-1 ATS) with the latest being a 111-95 beatdown of the Phoenix Suns Monday. The Clippers are 5-2 overall, 4-3 ATS and 3-4 O/U with the ninth-best non-garbage time efficiency differential (plus-9.2 points per 100 possessions) in December.

Clippers at Jazz odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:34 p.m. ET.

Money line: Clippers +330 (bet $100 to win $330) | Jazz -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Clippers +9.5 (-115) | Jazz -9.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Clippers at Jazz key injuries

Clippers

SF Paul George (elbow) questionable
SF Nicolas Batum (ankle) questionable

Jazz

None.

Clippers at Jazz odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Jazz 122, Clippers 108

Money line

This is a revenge game for the Jazz (-450) following last year’s playoffs. I expect Utah to handle business at home against an L.A. squad that could be without its leading scorer and only All-Star-caliber player (George).

However, PASS on the Jazz (-450) even though they are obviously the right side because it’s just too pricey for any NBA regular-season money line favorite, regardless of the motivation.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the JAZZ -9.5 (-107) because they have already been hit with a “sharp line move“.

Utah is playing like the team that finished last year’s regular season with the best overall record. The Jazz are a perfect 5-0 SU this month and have by far the most efficient offense in the NBA.

I’m also assuming Utah guard Donovan Mitchell’s had this game circled on his calendar and Spida has been ballin’ in December.

Mitchell struggled at the end of Utah’s playoff series with L.A. last season and dealt with a nagging leg issue but is averaging 31.0 points per game on 67.8% true shooting (.533/.453/.905) with a plus-14 net rating this month.

It’s only a “lean” because L.A. head coach Ty Lue has proven that he can run Jazz big Rudy Gobert off the floor with small-ball lineups and the Clippers are an elite 3-point shooting team so the backdoor cover is wide open.

Over/Under

TAKE the OVER 217.5 (-115) for 1 unit as my favorite play in the Clippers-Jazz game.

Utah’s offense has been cooking this month, but the Jazz tend to turn the ball over at a high rate and are 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game. Not only are the Clippers an awesome 3-point shooting team but they might get some easy baskets off of turnovers that could push this game Over the total.

Utah has scored at least 118 points in six of its seven-game winning streak and I don’t see that letting up Wednesday.

The Clippers are 20th in second-chance points allowed and 24th in paint points allowed per game. Whereas the Jazz score the fifth-most second-chance points per game and 10th-most paint points per game.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]

Utah Jazz at Washington Wizards odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Utah Jazz at Washington Wizards odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah Jazz (18-7) visit the nation’s capital Saturday for a 7 p.m. ET game against the Washington Wizards (15-11) at Capital One Arena. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. Wizards odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Utah has won six straight, covering four of those games and with the Over connecting in five. Jazz guard Donovan Mitchell averaged 29.7 points per game (PPG) on 54.9% shooting (44.8% from three and 90.0% from the foul line) across that span.

The Jazz have the best non-garbage time efficiency differential in the league over the past two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CtG).

Washington snapped a three-game losing skid Wednesday by squeaking past the Detroit Pistons 119-116 in overtime as a 5-point road favorite. The Wizards are 3-4 overall, 2-4-1 ATS and 6-1 O/U with the 24th-ranked non-garbage time efficiency differential (CtG) in the last 14 days.

Washington upset Utah as a 10.5-point underdog in both meetings last season and the Over has cashed in five straight Jazz-Wizards games.

Jazz at Wizards odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:03 p.m. ET.

Money line: Jazz -280 (bet $280 to win $100) | Wizards +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
Against the spread (ATS): Jazz -6.5 (-110) | Wizards +6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Jazz at Wizards key injuries

Jazz

Nothing affecting gambling odds.

Wizards

Nothing affecting gambling odds.

Jazz at Wizards odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Jazz 122, Wizards 108

Money line

PASS since Utah is the right side but the -280 tag is way too expensive for an NBA regular-season favorite.

Furthermore, Utah probably isn’t sleeping on Washington given it lost to the Wizards twice last season and Washington is off to a solid start this year.

Against the spread

BET the JAZZ -6.5 (-110) because they are starting to play like the team that had the best record in the NBA last season.

It’s almost impossible to beat Utah when Spida is ballin’ out. Mitchell scored 42 PPG on 48.4% shooting in both Jazz-Wizards meetings last season and is playing terrific lately.

Between the recent performance and the motivation of playing against a contemporaneous elite scoring guard in Washington’s Bradley Beal, I think we see another awesome Mitchell outing Saturday.

And while this Wizards team is better than last year’s, former Washington guard Russell Westbrook notched a triple-double twice versus the Jazz last season. Moreover, the Wizards aren’t as good as their record indicates and the Jazz are better than their record.

Washington has a minus-2.6 win differential and is allowing more points per 100 possessions than scoring (CtG). Whereas Utah has a minus-2.5 win differential and is plus-12.1 points per 100 possessions.

BET JAZZ -6.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 220.5 (-110) for a small wager for a couple of reasons.

Last season’s Jazz-Wizards totals were set at 240.5 and 233.5 and both went Over. I know Unders were cashing at a high rate to start the season but the market is starting to correct on that and we are seeing that in Jazz games.

Utah’s offense has been red-hot recently and Washington’s defense has fallen off. The Jazz are putting 127.1 points per 100 possessions in non-garbage time (first) over the last two weeks while the Wizards are allowing the third-most points per 100 possessions in non-garbage time (CtG) across that timeframe.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]

Utah Jazz at Philadelphia 76ers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Utah Jazz at Philadelphia 76ers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia 76ers (14-11) host the Utah Jazz (17-7) at Wells Fargo Center Thursday for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. 76ers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Both teams are playing in the second of a back-to-back with Utah clubbing the Minnesota Timberwolves 136-104 and Philly holding off the Charlotte Hornets 110-106 Wednesday.

The Jazz have won six of their last seven games but have only covered in two of those wins. Utah is 13-11 ATS and 13-11 O/U with the second-best net rating. The Sixers have five of their last eight games but covered just three. Philly is 11-13-1 ATS and 9-14-2 O/U with the 10th-best net rating.

The Sixers are 4-2 overall against the Jazz when both Sixers big Joel Embiid and Jazz big Rudy Gobert play. Embiid leads in points per game 23.8-15.0, rebounds per game 12.8-11.3 and blocks per game 2.3-1.5 in those contests.

These teams have exchanged victories in each of the last six meetings with Utah winning the first of this season 120-85 Nov. 16. However, the Sixers have covered seven of their last nine games versus the Jazz.

Jazz at 76ers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:48 p.m. ET.

Money line: Jazz -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | 76ers +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Against the spread (ATS): Jazz -3.5 (-107) | 76ers +3.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Jazz at 76ers key injuries

Jazz

Nothing affecting the gambling odds.

76ers

Nothing affecting the gambling odds.

Jazz at 76ers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

76ers 111, Jazz 105

Money line

SPRINKLE on the 76ERS (+125) with a tiny wager but hit Philly’s spread harder. Much of Utah’s success is predicated it having the most dominant interior presence on the floor, but Embiid is that guy in this matchup.

Embiid’s on/off court efficiency differential grades 18 percentage points higher for bigs than Gobert’s according to CleaningTheGlass.com. Gobert cannot play as much help defense and it’s harder for him to get easy putbacks with Embiid on the floor.

Philly’s defense also does a good job making Jazz guard Donovan Mitchell work for his points. Spida has a 42.6% true shooting percentage (.357/.236/.667) with a minus-21 net rating in nine career games versus the Sixers. Mitchell has made less than 40% of his shots in six of those games.

Again, the plan is to bet more on Philly getting points but I “LEAN” to the 76ERS (+125).

Against the spread

Definitely BET 76ERS +3.5 (-107) heavier than, or instead of, Philly’s money line because the Sixers are 7-3-1 ATS as a home underdog over the past three seasons with a plus-5.2 spread differential.

More importantly, there’s a lot separating these two sides so it’s just wiser to take the points with Philly.

Over/Under

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Under 216.5 (-110) because the house has been encouraging action on the Under and its cashed in 11 of the last 16 Jazz-76ers meetings.

A vast majority of the market is backing the Over according to pregame.com so you have a “fade the public” angle here. However, simply put, I just don’t like either side of the total enough to get down. PASS.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]

Utah Jazz at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Utah Jazz at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (11-13) welcome the Utah Jazz (16-7) Wednesday at the Target Center for an 8 p.m. ET game. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. Timberwolves odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Utah enters on a four-game winning streak with victories over the New Orleans Pelicans, Portland Trail Blazers, Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers. The Jazz are 12-11 ATS and 12-11 O/U with the second-best net rating.

The T-Wolves are riding a three-game losing skid with defeats coming at the hands of the Washington Wizards, Brooklyn Nets and Atlanta Hawks. Minnesota is 11-13 ATS and 10-14 O/U with the 14th-best net rating.

Surprisingly, the T-Wolves beat the Jazz in all three meetings last regular season despite Utah finishing with the best overall record in the NBA. The Under cashed in all three contests.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA December 8 breakdown

Jazz at Timberwolves odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:55 p.m. ET.

Money line: Jazz -290 (bet $290 to win $100) | Timberwolves +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
Against the spread (ATS): Jazz -6.5 (-115) | Timberwolves +6.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Jazz at Timberwolves key injuries

Jazz

None

Timberwolves

PG D’Angelo Russell (ankle) questionable

Jazz at Timberwolves odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 113, Utah 110

Money line

Slight “LEAN” to the TIMBERWOLVES (+225) because it’s such a chunky payout and I “like” Minnesota plus the points in this spot.

T-Wolves C Karl-Anthony Towns has played very well against Jazz C Rudy Gobert in their careers. In 20 career meetings vs. Gobert, KAT averaged 22.0 points per game on 51.8% shooting (41.9% from behind the arc) with 11.3 rebounds per game.

We’ve seen Gobert get run off the court by small-ball lineups that can space the floor. Well, Towns is an elite outside shooting big that can give Minnesota rim protection and the floor spacing to neutralize Gobert’s defensive effectiveness.

The difference in ball security between both squads gives the T-Wolves a strength-on-weakness edge.

Minnesota has the best defensive turnover rate and scores the second-most points off of turnovers per game. Whereas Utah allows the third-most points off of turnovers per game and has the fifth-worst offensive turnover rate.

Again, Minnesota plus the points is the much wiser wager, but I’ll “SPRINKLE” on the TIMBERWOLVES (+225).

Against the spread

Definitely BET TIMBERWOLVES +6.5 (-107) heavier than or instead of Minnesota’s money line because this is a Pros vs. Joe’s game in the betting market.

According to the Yahoo! Sports app, a slight majority of the wagers are on the Jazz laying the points, but roughly 70% of the cash is on the T-Wolves getting points. Typically in sports betting, it’s profitable to follow the money especially when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the betting public.

Over/Under

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Over 219.5 (-115) because the T-Wolves should be able to score a bunch of easy buckets off of turnovers and the Jazz lead the NBA in offensive rating.

However, both teams are top-eight in defensive effective field-goal shooting and the Under has cashed in six of the past seven Jazz-Timberwolves meetings.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]

Boston Celtics at Utah Jazz odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Boston Celtics at Utah Jazz odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Celtics (12-10) travel to Salt Lake City Friday for a 9 p.m. ET game against the Utah Jazz (14-7) at Vivint Smart Home Arena. Below, we look at the Celtics vs. Nets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Boston has won four of the past six games (2-4 ATS) including two straight over the Toronto Raptors this past weekend and the Philadelphia 76ers Wednesday. The Celtics are 12-10 ATS and 8-13-1 O/U with the 12th-ranked net rating.

Utah is also 4-2 over the last six games (3-3 ATS) and has won back-to-back over the New Orleans Pelicans Sunday and the Portland Trail Blazers Monday. The Jazz are 12-9 ATS and 10-11 O/U with the second-best net rating.

The Jazz have beaten the Celtics in five of their last six meetings including both regular-season games last year. The Under is 4-2 in those contests.

Also See: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA December 3 breakdown

Celtics at Jazz odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:45 p.m. ET.

Money line: Celtics +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Jazz -380 (bet $380 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Celtics +7.5 (-107) | Jazz -7.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 210.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Celtics at Jazz key injuries

Celtics

SF Jaylen Brown (rest) questionable

Jazz

Nothing affecting gambling odds.

Celtics at Jazz odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Jazz 107, Celtics 103

Money line

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Celtics (+290) because I like them plus the points and Boston is 6-3 overall in games Jaylen Brown misses.

However, those three losses were on the road vs. teams with a winning record and the Jazz (-380) have won 75.3% of their home games since the start of 2019.

Against the spread

BET the CELTICS +7.5 (-107) because they have been better against teams with a winning record and more efficient vs. good defenses.

For instance, Boston is 5-1 ATS on the road vs. teams above-.500 whereas Utah is 2-4 ATS vs. teams with above-.500. Furthermore, against teams top-10 in defensive rating, the Celtics are plus-4.2 in efficiency differential and have sixth-best ATS margin.

While the Jazz have a plus-0.6 efficiency differential and the 18th-best ATS margin (minus-3.5) vs. top-10 defenses. Also, Utah attempts the highest volume of 3-pointers and uses pick-and-roll action at the third-highest frequency.

Boston’s defense is seventh in shot quality allowed field goals off pick-and-roll ball screens (according to ShotQuality.com) and sixth-best in opponent’s 3-point percentage in non-garbage time (according to CleaningTheGlass.com).

On top of that, Boston could create open looks by screening Utah’s defenders. The Celtics generate the third-most shot attempts off screens (ShotQuality.com) and Utah allows the 25th-worst shot quality vs. attempts off of screens.

Lastly, according to Pregame.com, money is flooding in on the Celtics but the public bets are almost even. Oddsmakers have reacted by lowering Boston’s spread from the 9-point opener.

I’m not crazy about following a lopsided market but the CELTICS +7.5 (-107) feels like the sharp bet.

Over/Under

PASS with a “lean” to the Under 210.5 (-112) because the sportsbooks have made the Under more expensive for a reason and both teams are elite defensively.

But, we’d be getting the worst of the number at this point since the total has been steamed down from the 213-point opener.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]