Mavericks Jazz odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Mavericks (41-29) visit the Utah Jazz (29-42) Monday. Tip from Delta Center is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Jazz odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Mavericks lead 2-1

Dallas has won 3 games in a row, most recently knocking off Utah 113-97 Thursday and covering as a 14-point home favorite. G Luka Doncic scored a game-high 34 points, and 4 Dallas players scored in double figures. The Mavericks shot 50% from the field in the win.

Utah has lost 5 games in a row after falling 147-119 against the Houston Rockets Saturday and failing to cover as a 10.5-point road underdog. F John Collins scored a team-high 25 points and was 1 of 6 Utah players to score in double figures. The Jazz shot 44.9% from the field in the loss.

Mavericks at Jazz odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks -375 (bet $375 to win $100) | Jazz +290 (bet $100 to win $290)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks -8.5 (-110) | Jazz +8.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Jazz key injuries

Mavericks

F Josh Green (ankle) out
F Maxi Kleber (knee) questionable

Jazz

G Jordan Clarkson (groin) questionable
G Kris Dunn (suspension) out
F Lauri Markkanen (quadriceps) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Jazz picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 119, Jazz 107

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on the Mavs (-375), who are 7-1 in their last 8 games, to knock off the Jazz, who are 1-8 in their last 9.

Against the spread

BET MAVERICKS -8.5 (-110).

Dallas is coming off an extended down time and will be well rested for Monday night. The Mavs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games and have covered in 5 of their last 6 games as favorites and each of their last 4 at home.

Utah has failed to cover in 4 of its last 5 games and 6 of its last 8, all as an underdog.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 237.5 (-110).

Dallas has hit the Under in each of its last 3 games and 7 of its last 10. It has scored 113 points or fewer in 4 of its last 5 games, including each of its last 3. The Mavericks have held opponents to 107 or fewer points in each of their last 3 games and 5 of their last 6.

Utah has hit the Under in 4 of its last 5 games and has scored 107 or fewer points in 5 of its last 7.

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Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz Game 6 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz Game 6 lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 5 seed Utah Jazz (2-3) host the No. 4 seed Dallas Mavericks (3-2) for a pivotal Game 6 at the Vivint Smart Home Arena Thursday. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Jazz odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Dallas stomped Utah 102-77 in Game 5 Monday and Mavs All-Star PG Luka Doncic has been sensational since making his series debut in Game 3. Luka is averaging a series-best 31.5 points on 51.2% shooting with 11.5 rebounds and a plus-22 net rating in the first round.

On the other hand, almost all of Utah’s starting 5 have struggled in this series, including the Jazz’s leading regular-season scorer SG Donovan Mitchell, who’s putting up an inefficient 26.0 points on 41.4% effective field goal shooting (eFG%) with a minus-13 net rating.

Mavericks at Jazz odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:02 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Mavericks -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Jazz -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
Against the spread: Mavericks -1.5 (-102) | Jazz +1.5 (-122)
Over/Under: 209.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Mavericks at Jazz key injuries

Mavericks

None

Jazz

SG Donovan Mitchell (quadriceps) probable

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Mavericks at Jazz picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 111, Jazz 104

Money line

BET the MAVERICKS (-112) to win Game 6 and advance to the Western Conference semifinals because it appears that the Jazz (-108) are out of adjustments. Utah needs Mitchell to be MUCH better offensively and C Rudy Gobert to be a difference-maker defensively.

But, Dallas was sixth in defensive rating this regular season and has held Utah to just 49.7% eFG% in this series. Also, the Jazz’s clumsy ball security from the regular season has carried into the playoffs. The Mavs have committed 20 fewer turnovers than the Jazz in this series.

On top of that, there’s an outside chance that Mitchell misses Game 6 and it’s pretty much a certainty he won’t be 100% for Utah’s elimination game. Mitchell exited in the second half of Game 6 with a leg injury.

Furthermore, the Mavs guards are knifing through the Jazz’s backcourt, which collapses Utah’s perimeter defense and leads to wide-open 3-pointers for Dallas. It’s unreasonable to ask Gobert to protect the rim and close out on the Mavs’ 3-point shooters in the corner.

Utah’s only case for winning Game 6 is the game is in Salt Lake City, but all the basketball logic suggests Dallas ends Utah’s season Thursday.

TAKE the MAVERICKS (-112).

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Against the spread

PASS because the Mavericks -1.5 (-102) is not enough insurance for our Dallas ML wager. If the Mavs’ spread somehow goes north of +2 then I’d happily take the points with Dallas just to be safe.

Over/Under

PASS with a “lean” toward the Over 209.5 (-108) because Dallas is getting whatever it wants on offense against Utah and it would make sense if the Jazz increase their pace and 3-point volume with their season on the brink.

However, there’s some reverse line movement (RLM) headed south of the total. According to Pregame.com, a vast majority of the market is betting the Over but the total has been lowered from the 210.5-point opener down to the current number.

RLM should be a red flag for sports bettors because it doesn’t make any sense for the sportsbooks to make the more popular side cheaper.

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Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz Game 4 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz Game 4 lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 5 seed Utah Jazz (1-2) host the No. 4 seed Dallas Mavericks (2-1) Saturday for Game 4 of their Western Conference first-round playoff series. Tip-off at Vivint Arena is set for 4:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Jazz odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Dallas took control of the series by winning Game 3 Thursday 126-118 behind a hot-shooting night from behind the arc and another sensational performance by breakout star PG Jalen Brunson.

The Mavericks have connected on 22 more 3-pointers and are outshooting the Jazz 40.5-34.2% in this series. Brunson is averaging 32.0 points on 60.2% true shooting (.507/.412/.850) with 5.3 rebounds and 5.0 assists.

The major story heading into Game 4 is the possible return of Mavs All-Star PG Luka Doncic who was sidelined for the first three games of the series with a calf injury he sustained in Dallas’s regular-season finale.

Mavericks at Jazz odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Mavericks +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Jazz -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
Against the spread: Mavericks +6.5 (-120) | Jazz -6.5 (-105)
Over/Under: 212.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Jazz key injuries

Mavericks

PG Luka Doncic (calf) questionable

Jazz

None

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Mavericks at Jazz picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 110, Jazz 105

Money line

SPRINKLE on the MAVERICKS (+205) because this is a terrible matchup for the Jazz and I don’t see any moves for Utah head coach Quin Snyder to make. The Jazz need big Rudy Gobert on the floor to protect the paint and set screens and SG Donovan Mitchell is the center of Utah’s offense.

But, Mitchell and the rest of the Jazz’s backcourt cannot stop Dallas’s dribble penetration, which collapses Utah’s defense and leads to wide-open 3-pointers. The Mavs aren’t just red-hot from three but are getting great looks.

Both teams ranked in the top-10 of defensive rating during the regular season but Dallas played much better than Utah versus tough defenses.

The Mavs are 16-11 straight up (SU) against top-10 defenses with a plus-2.5 ATS margin (ranked fourth). Whereas the Jazz are 10-16 SU with a minus-3.6 ATS margin (ranked 23rd), according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Luka’s return also is the last thing Utah wants to see. Luka averaged 30.0 points on 58.6% true shooting (.456/.444/.800) with 11.0 rebounds, 7.7 assists and a plus-9 net rating in three games versus the Jazz this season.

I’d only SPRINKLE on the MAVERICKS (+205), if at all, because Dallas’s spread is the sharper bet. The Jazz have also been one of the better home teams in recent seasons and we’ll see an all-in effort from Utah Saturday.

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Against the spread

Definitely BET the MAVERICKS +6.5 (-120) heavier than or instead of their ML because Dallas plus the points might come in handy with the Jazz needing this game like blood.

The Mavs are 14-7 ATS on the road versus teams with a winning record and 5-2 ATS as 5-to-7-point underdogs while the Jazz are 10-25-2 ATS versus teams with a winning record (5-13-1 ATS at home).

For the record, the MAVERICKS PLUS THE POINTS is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

PASS because this feels like a sharp total. The Mavericks-Jazz is the second-slowest-paced series in the playoffs and both teams had top-tier defenses during the regular season.

However, the Mavs have the highest 3-point attempt rate in the playoffs so if they stay hot from behind the arc in Game 4, that’ll force the Jazz to chuck 3-pointers.

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Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (35-24) visit Salt Lake City Friday for a 9 p.m. ET tip-off with the Utah Jazz (36-22) at Vivint Arena. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Jazz odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

This could be a first-round playoff preview as Dallas sits 1½ games behind Utah for fourth place in the West.

The Mavs won six of their previous seven games entering the All-Star break – going 6-1 against the spread (ATS).

The Jazz had a 6-game win streak snapped (5-1 ATS) heading into the break after suffering a 106-101 loss at the Los Angeles Lakers Feb. 16.

Utah beat a PG Luka Doncic-less Dallas squad 120-116 at home Christmas Day but failed to cover as a 13.5-point favorite.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA February 25 breakdown

Mavericks at Jazz odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:05 p.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Jazz -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
Against the spread: Mavericks +5.5 (-108) | Jazz -5.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Mavericks at Jazz key injuries

Mavericks

SF Reggie Bullock (hip) questionable
SF Tim Hardaway Jr. (foot) out

Jazz

SF Rudy Gay (knee) doubtful

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Mavericks at Jazz odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Jazz 112, Mavericks 102

Money line

PASS.

I can only “lean” to Utah’s spread, so there’s no way I’d take the Jazz (-240). However, Utah has quietly gotten back to its dominant self this month after C Rudy Gobert and SG Donovan Mitchell returned from their injuries.

In February, the Jazz are 6-1 with the best adjusted net rating (plus-18.4) and 5-2 ATS with the second-best ATS margin (plus-7.9), according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

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Against the spread

BACK UTAH -5.5 (-112) for a three-fourths unit only because Dallas has been hit with a sharp-line move and a majority of the trends support the Mavs.

However, Dallas is becoming a public underdog since a vast majority of the action is on the Mavs, according to VegasInsider.com. My instinct is to fade public underdogs.

Also, Utah has been one of the most profitable regular-season teams in recent years but has regressed this season mostly due to injuries. I anticipate the Jazz will get it going for the final stretch of this regular season.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 216.5 (-107) for a tiny wager as I much prefer Utah’s spread.

Most of the action is on the Over, yet this total has ticked down from the 219.5-point look-ahead total, according to Pregame.com. It’s a red flag anytime we see this type of reverse-line movement.

Plus, the Under has cashed in three of the past four Mavericks-Jazz meetings.

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Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (15-16) travel to Salt Lake City for a 10:30 p.m. ET Christmas game against the Utah Jazz (22-9) at the Vivint Smart Home Arena. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Jazz odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Dallas has lost three of its past four games including its most recent – a 102-95 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks as a 3.5-point home underdog Thursday.

Since Dec. 10, the Mavs are 3-4 straight-up (SU), 4-3 ATS and 2-5 O/U with the 10th-best non-garbage time net rating (plus-3.8 points per 100 possessions), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Utah has won back-to-back games, beating the Charlotte Hornets 112-102 Monday and the Minnesota Timberwolves 128-116 Thursday.

The Jazz are 5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS and 3-3-1 O/U since Dec. 9, with the fourth-best non-garbage time net rating (plus-11.5 points per 100 possessions), per CTG.

The Jazz won and covered in two of three meetings vs. the Mavs last season and the Under was 3-0 in those games.

Mavericks at Jazz odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:23 a.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Jazz -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +12.5 (-108) | Jazz +12.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Mavericks at Jazz key injuries

Mavericks

PG Trey Burke (health and safety protocols) out
PG Luka Doncic (health and safety protocols) out
SF Tim Hardaway Jr. (health and safety protocols) out
PF Maxi Kleber (health and safety protocols) out
C Kristaps Porzingis (toe) questionable

Jazz

None

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Mavericks at Jazz odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Jazz 115, Mavericks 104

Money line

PASS because Utah should win handily but at -1000, it’s a no-go. Dallas will be without several contributors including offensive centerpiece Doncic, while Utah is at full strength.

Utah has the fourth-highest winning percentage as a home favorite since the start of last season and the Jazz have beaten the Mavs in nine of their last 10 meetings in Utah.

Against the spread

Slight “LEAN” to the MAVERICKS +12.5 (-108) for a small wager because the Jazz have lost four straight ATS, all as double-digit favorites and are only 5-9 ATS when favored by 10 or more points.

Also, Dallas has covered five of its past six games without Doncic in the lineup. In fact, he grades in the 19th percentile of guards in on/off net rating (minus-8.2 points per 100 possessions), per CTG.

However, I can only “LEAN” to the MAVERICKS +12.5 (-108) because they just have too many players on the NBA’s COVID-19 list.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 214.5 (-107) as a fade against a market that’s hammering the Under. The game had a 218.5 O/U line Christmas Eve morning before all the pro-Under money steamed the number down.

On top of that, the Jazz can get a little clumsy with the ball. Utah ranks 20th in offensive turnover rate and 25th in points off of turnovers allowed per game.

Though Dallas is far less talented, its role players getting an opportunity on Christmas will motivate them to crash the offensive glass and to get into passing lanes, both of which lead to easy points.

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Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Dallas Mavericks (27-21) host the Utah Jazz (38-11) Monday for a 7 p.m. ET game at American Airlines Center. Below, we analyze the Jazz-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Utah enters on a nine-game win streak (5-4 against the spread), but only one of the wins was over a team above-.500, which was the Brooklyn Nets who were without their Big 3.

The Jazz are 3.5 games ahead of the Phoenix Suns for first place in the Western Conference.

Dallas has won four in a row and six of its past eight games (6-2 ATS) with the two losses occurring when MVP contender PG Luka Doncic was sidelined with an injury.

Utah won and covered against Dallas in the first two meetings of the season in a back-to-back Jan. 27 and 29. The Jazz are 5-1 straight up in their last six games vs. the Mavs (4-1-1 ATS).

Jazz at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Money line: Jazz -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Mavericks +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
Against the spread/ATS: Jazz -4.5 (-110) | Mavericks +4.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Jazz at Mavericks: Key injuries

Jazz

None

Mavericks

PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) questionable
SG Josh Richardson (calf) questionable
SG J.J. Redick (heel) out
C Willie Cauley-Stein (health and safety protocols) out

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Jazz at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Jazz 118, Mavericks 111

Money line (ML)

PASS because Utah is the right side, especially with Dallas’ injury report, but the Jazz (-190) are a little out of my price range for an NBA regular-season favorite.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Utah grabbed 28 offensive rebounds to Dallas’s 12 in the back-to-back earlier this season and the Jazz have outrebounded the Mavs in six straight meetings.

Even if Porzings plays for Dallas, it shouldn’t matter much because he’s never outrebounded Jazz C Rudy Gobert in their eight career head-to-head meetings.

In fact, in those eight games, Gobert averaged 13.6 rebounds and 2.9 blocks per game to Porzingis’ 5.4 RPG. Also, Porzingis is shooting just 43.8% from the field and 35.3% from 3 against Gobert.

Lastly, Jazz PG Mike Conley teams are 5-0 vs. Doncic and the Mavs, including three wins while he’s been at Utah. Doncic shoots just 25% from 3 and throws 5 assists to 3 turnovers per game vs. Conley.

“LEAN” to JAZZ -4.5 (-110) for a half unit only because the Mavs are playing much better post-All-Star break.

Over/Under (O/U)

Let’s buck all the total trends in this game and BET 1 unit on OVER 223.5 (-110), but wait closer until tip-off because the market is betting the Under so we might get a cheaper price.

Since the All-Star game, the Jazz have continued their dominant offensive play, but the Mavs have the fourth-highest offensive rating and second-best effective field-goal percentage in their last 14 games.

One of these teams has scored at least 116 points in each of the last four meetings (2-2 O/U) and I think this Jazz-Mavericks game has more two-way action than the first two this season.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Utah Jazz (14-4) host the Dallas Mavericks (8-10) Friday for a second straight game at Vivint Arena. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Jazz NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Both teams shot 46.2% from the field Wednesday but, Utah smoked Dallas 116-102 because they sunk four more 3-point attempts and eight more free throws. It was the third loss in a row for the Mavericks who’ve lost six of their previous eight and are 3-5 against the spread (ATS) in those games.

Utah is trending in the opposite direction, winning 10 straight games and covering the spread in all 10, to move atop the Western Conference. The Jazz are third in net rating and second in 3-point percentage and are the best rebounding team in the NBA.

The Jazz have had the Mavericks’ number since Dallas drafted PG Luka Doncic. Utah is 6-2 overall and 5-2-1 ATS dating back to the beginning of the 2018-19 season.

Mavericks at Jazz: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:05 p.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Jazz -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks +3.5 (-110) | Jazz -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 221.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Jazz: Key injuries

Mavericks

PF Maxi Kleber (health and safety protocols) out

Jazz

SG Donovan Mitchell (concussion) questionable
PF Derrick Favors (back) questionable

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Mavericks at Jazz: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 114, Jazz 110

Money line (ML)

There’s no question the Jazz have little chance at making an NBA Finals run without All-Star SG Donovan Mitchell but they have a net negative rating when Mitchell is on the court compared to off.

While it’s probably an anomaly, maybe there’s less ball movement on the floor for Utah when Mitchell is in the game. In Wednesday’s game against the Mavericks, SF Joe Ingles and SG Jordan Clarkson both erupted with higher usage and All-Star C Rudy Gobert had his best game of the season with 29 points, 20 rebounds, 3 blocks and 3 steals.

Also, this being the healthiest the Mavericks have been in weeks plus a buy-low spot for them and a sell-high spot for Utah gives me faith in Dallas. I lean MAVERICKS (+135) for a quarter-unit.

Against the spread (ATS)

According to Pregame.com, more than 70% of the action is on Utah but the bookmakers are moving the line as if bettors were backing Dallas. What that tells me is the House wants Jazz money. Don’t fall for it and take the insurance with Dallas.

GIMME MAVERICKS +3.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

There are just more reasons to like OVER 222.5 (-110) here. First, the market slightly prefers the Over and the bookmakers are adjusting the total according to that. Second, the Over has cashed in 10 of the last 14 Mavericks-Jazz games.

Lastly, the combined O/U record of the officiating crew assigned to this game is 16-11 O/U this season. It’s more of a lean than a like but I’ll place a small bet on OVER 221.5 (-110).

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Also see:

Mavericks at Jazz: Live stream, lineups, injury reports and broadcast info for Friday (Rookie Wire)
Hoops Hype rumors: Mavericks | Jazz

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Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Dallas Mavericks (8-9) play a road game against the Utah Jazz (13-4) Wednesday at Vivint Smart Home Arena. The tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Jazz NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

It’s been a bumpy couple of weeks for the Mavericks, who’ve dealt with their fair share of COVID-related absences. Dallas is just 2-5 overall and 3-4 against the spread over its last seven games.

The Mavericks’ defense has fallen off in these games mostly because a lot of their frontcourt has been out. They rank 27th in defensive rating and 25th in opponent’s points in the paint since Jan. 15.

Utah has been playing on the opposite side of the spectrum, winning nine in a row and covering all nine. The Jazz are one of the best shooting teams in the league—fourth in effective field-goal percentage—and the best rebounding team. However, Utah will be without leading-scorer SG Donovan Mitchell, who’s out after being placed in concussion protocol.

The only meeting of the three the Mavericks beat the Jazz in last season was during the restart in the Orlando bubble, which coincidently Mitchell also missed.

Mavericks at Jazz: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:50 p.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Jazz -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks +2.5 (-120) | Jazz -2.5 (+100)
Over/Under: 219.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Jazz: Key Injuries

Mavericks

SF Dorian Finney-Smith (health and safety protocols) questionable
PF Maxi Kleber (health and safety protocols) out
C Dwight Powell (health and safety protocols) questionable
SG Josh Richardson (health and safety protocols) questionable

Jazz

SG Donovan Mitchell (concussion) out

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Mavericks at Jazz: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 111, Jazz 104

Money line (ML)

This is very dependent on the final injury report but I like MAVERICKS (+115) for 1 unit in this spot.

While the Jazz are one of if not the most balanced offense in the Association, Mitchell is 11th in usage rate and he is Utah’s go-to guy for when the offense struggles. Three of the Jazz’s starters have a higher effective field-goal percentage and PG Mike Conley leads the team in offensive win shares, but all that is made possible by Mitchell absorbing a majority of the opponent’s attention.

Circling back to why the final injury report matters a lot is because the Mavericks could get back three of their best defenders. That should tip the balance in their favor against a Mitchell-less Jazz.

Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. The Mavericks +2.5 (-110) isn’t worth the insurance and I’d rather just play the +115 money line for an outright Dallas win.

Over/Under (O/U)

Prior to a bunch of Mavericks missing time because of COVID-19, Dallas was playing better on the defensive end of the floor than offensive. Mitchell’s absence figures to hurt Utah’s prolific offense and the Mavericks should begin to return to their previous defensive form (pending the injury report).

Furthermore, this is a Pros vs. Joes situation in the betting market. More than 80% of the money is on the Under, but 60% of the bets placed are on the Over, according to Pregame.com. Typically, the sharp side is the money column and the tickets column represents the average joe.

I’ll TAKE UNDER 219.5 (-110) for a half-unit.

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Also see:

NBA Power Rankings: Jazz jiving along behind play of Mitchell (Rookie Wire)
Hoops Hype rumors: Mavericks | Jazz

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