Tag: USC Arizona State odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

USC at Arizona State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s USC at Arizona State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 5 USC Trojans (3-0, 1-0 Pac-12) and Arizona State Sun Devils (1-2, 0-0) meet Saturday at Mountain America Stadium. Kickoff is set for 10:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the USC vs. Arizona State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

USC covered the spread as a 28-point home favorite with a 56-10 win vs. the Stanford Cardinal as the Under (70) hit Sept. 9 before its bye last week. The Trojans scored 49 points in the 1st half, and QB Caleb Williams finished 19-of-21 passing for 281 yards with 3 TDs and rushed for another score.

Arizona State failed to cover as a 4-point home underdog in a 29-0 loss vs. the Fresno State Bulldogs as the Under (47.5) cashed last Saturday. The Sun Devils were shut out for the 1st time since losing 28-0 at USC on Oct. 11, 2008.

These teams have played each other once since coach Lincoln Riley arrived at USC. Arizona State covered as a 24.5-point underdog in that meeting with a 42-25 road loss as the Over (61) hit Oct. 1, 2022.

USC is No. 5 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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USC at Arizona State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:57 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): USC -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100) | Arizona State +2500 (bet $100 to win $2,500)
  • Against the spread (ATS): USC -34.5 (-115) | Arizona State +34.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 62.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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USC at Arizona State picks and predictions

Prediction

USC 55, Arizona State 13

Moneyline

USC (-10000) should have no trouble beating the 1-2 Sun Devils, but most people don’t want to risk $10,000 to win $100.

PASS. Lay the points and/or bet the total instead.

Against the spread

Arizona State is 0-3 ATS this season and has failed to cover by an average margin of 22.0 points per game.

USC is 2-1 ATS this season and has covered in back-to-back games as a favorite of 28 or more points. The Trojans failed to cover as 31-point home favorites in their lone ATS loss after getting backdoored by the San Jose State Spartans in the final 6 minutes of a 56-28 win.

USC has consistently played above expectations this season. BET USC -34.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The Over cashed in USC’s first 2 games this season and was just 5 points short of cashing in the Trojans’ win vs. Stanford. While USC seems to be improving defensively and has allowed just 17.3 points per game this season, I believe its offense is explosive enough to do most of the heavy lifting in this one and help the Over hit Saturday.

BET OVER 62.5 (-110).

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USC at Arizona State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s USC at Arizona State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 19 USC Trojans (18-3, 8-3 Pac-12) and Arizona State Sun Devils (6-12, 2-6) will do battle Thursday night in Tempe, Ariz. The contest at Desert Financial Arena is slated to tip off at 11 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the USC vs. Arizona State odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Southern Cal bounced back Saturday from a Jan. 27 loss with a home win over Cal. The Trojans struggled, however, in winning a game that had them favored by 12.5 points. Much of the second half was played with USC in front by 1-3 points. The Trojans were just 4-of-17 from distance after shooting 44.4% from beyond the arc across their three previous games.

Despite playing at an above-average tempo, the Sun Devils are the lowest-scoring team in the Pac-12 (62.7 points per game). Arizona State has averaged just 60.6 PPG in losing six of its last seven games. That stretch includes losing at USC (78-56) two games back.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

USC at Arizona State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: USC -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Arizona State +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Against the spread (ATS): USC -5.5 (-112) | Arizona State +5.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 134.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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USC at Arizona State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

USC 70, Arizona State 62

Money line

Southern Cal -250 is fair. This priced is juiced into no-profit territory. PASS.

Against the spread

The Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games. In this series, the favorite has won four in a row ATS.

USC won comfortably when these two met Jan. 24. That contest was a medium-pace game with nothing out of bounds that would be due serious regression. It takes a good shooting team to best the Trojans; the Devils are not that.

TAKE USC -5.5 (-112).

Over/Under

There are conflicting signals here but just a slight tug from the Under. Both teams defend 2s well, and free throws likely won’t pile up. Shade the UNDER 134.5 (-115).

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USC at Arizona State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s USC Trojans at Arizona State Sun Devils odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona State Sun Devils (5-3, 3-2 in Pac-12) hosts the USC Trojans (4-4, 3-3) in a conference clash at Sun Devil Stadium Saturday. The kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the USC vs. Arizona State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

USC bounced back after back-to-back losses to beat the Arizona Wildcats 41-34 last Saturday but failed to cover as 22-point home favorites.

It’s been a tumultuous season for the Trojans after firing former head coach Clayton Helton following a loss to the Stanford Cardinal on Sept. 11. USC is 4-4 ATS and 5-3 O/U and the 49th-toughest schedule, according to USA TODAY’s Jeff Sagarin.

Arizona State has lost two straight games to the Utah Utes and Washington State Cougars after winning three in a row over Pac-12 teams.

The Sun Devils are tied atop the Pac-12 with the Oregon State Beavers in yards per play and allow the second-fewest yards per play on defense. Arizona State is 3-5 ATS and 3-5 O/U with the 66th-ranked strength of schedule according to Sagarin.

The Trojans have beaten the Sun Devils in two straight meetings but Arizona State is 2-0-1 ATS vs. USC since hiring head coach Herm Edwards in 2018. USC junior QB Kedon Slovis has a 73.4% completion rate with a 6 TD:2 INT ratio and a 162.9 passer efficiency rating in two career games vs. ASU.

USC at Arizona State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: USC +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Arizona State -340 (bet $340 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): USC +9.5 (-108) | Arizona State -9.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 61.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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USC at Arizona State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Arizona State 37, USC 21

Money line

PASS because Arizona State (-340) is way too expensive for a regular-season favorite in a conference game. Don’t get me wrong, the Sun Devils should cruise in this game, but the juice isn’t worth the squeeze.

Against the spread

BET 1 unit on ARIZONA STATE -9.5 (-112) because there’s been “sharp line movement” that has pushed the Sun Devils from an 8-point favorite on the opener up to the current number.

Furthermore, Arizona State dwarfs USC in efficiency. Football Outsiders ranks the Sun Devils 38th in net drive efficiency and 17th in net points per play. While the Trojans rank 79th in net points per play and 75th in net drive efficiency.

Also, there wasn’t much to USC’s offense other than Slovis’s connection with future pro-WR Drake London who has 88 catches with 1,084 receiving yards with seven touchdowns in eight games this season. Unfortunately for USC, London is sidelined for the rest of the season with an ankle injury.

Arizona State ran all over USC’s defense last season and the Sun Devils’ ground game is even better this year while the Trojans’ run defense is worse. I see ARIZONA STATE -9.5 (-115) scoring with ease and USC unable to keep up without its superstar WR and with Slovis having a down year.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 61.5 (-115) for a small wager if at all as a fade against a market that’s hammering the Over at a 90-plus percent clip at the time of publishing, according to Pregame.com. A contrarian mindset can be profitable in sports betting because 90% of the public doesn’t beat the House.

Finally, the bottom line is last year’s USC-Arizona State meeting stayed Under the 57-point total despite Slovis playing much better and having two wide receivers that won’t be there Saturday.

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