Tag: UFC Vegas 75 odds lines picks and predictions best bets

UFC on ESPN 47: Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 47 odds and lines between Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a middleweight bout in the main event, Marvin Vettori and Jared Cannonier meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 47 — also known as UFC Vegas 75 — at UFC Apex in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 47: Vettori vs. Cannonier odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims are on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET, with the main card on ESPN/ESPN+ at 10 p.m. ET.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

Vettori fought Israel Adesanya for the middleweight title at UFC 263 in June 2021 but suffered a unanimous-decision (UD) loss.

“The Italian Dream” bounced back with a UD win over Paulo Costa in a fight night main event in October of that same year, but then suffered a UD loss to Robert Whittaker in Sept. 2022. He is coming off another UD win against Roman Dolidze at UFC 286 in March to get back on track, setting up this fight between 2 guys hungry to make it back to title contention.

Cannonier also lost a title fight against Adesanya at UFC 276 in July 2022, and he bounced back with a split-decision win over Sean Strickland in a fight night main event last time out in mid-December. He is rested and raring to go.

Cannonier holds a 3.5-inch reach advantage, but Vettori is 10 years younger and a bit faster at this point. There isn’t a huge difference in significant strikes landed per minute, with Vettori going for 4.38 and Cannonier good for 4.00. Both are basically the same in terms of accuracy, too.

However, Vettori is much stronger in the ground game, posting a 1.77 takedown average to 0.17 for Cannonier. He’s also way more accurate in the category too, going for 44.26% to just 25.00% for the ‘dog.

UFC on ESPN 47: Vettori vs. Cannonier odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:08 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Vettori -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Cannonier +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -200 | No +145)

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UFC on ESPN 47: Vettori vs. Cannonier picks and predictions

Records: Vettori (19-6-1) | Cannonier (16-6-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

VETTORI (-125) is a strong play, as he is more youthful, and the southpaw can win a fight a number of ways.

Cannonier has the reach advantage, which is good, but if Vettori gets the fight to the mat — even if he doesn’t finish — he’ll grab some valuable points in the eyes of the judges. Vettori has a 0.52 submission average so he can win by that method, by the knockout, or just on points alone.

Over/Under (O/U)

Yes (-200): Will the fight go the distance? is a little on the expensive side, costing you 2 times your potential return.

Instead, look to Method of Victory instead. “The Italian Dream” has gone the distance in 6 consecutive fights, and therefore VETTORI BY POINTS (+100) at even money is a solid play and a much better value than just playing the distance prop.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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UFC on ESPN 47: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Joaquim Silva odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 47 odds and lines between Arman Tsarukyan vs. Joaquim Silva with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a lightweight bout on the main card, Arman Tsarukyan and Joaquim Silva meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 47 — also known as UFC Vegas 75 — at UFC Apex in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 47: Tsarukyan vs. Silva odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims are on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET, with the main card on ESPN/ESPN+ at 10 p.m. ET.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

Tsarukyan suffered a unanimous-decision loss to Mateusz Gamrot in a main event on June 25 last year in one of the more underrated fights of the entire year. It was an absolute war. He redeemed himself with a unanimous-decision win over Damir Ismagulov in mid-December to get back on track.

The Armenian fighter has won 6 of his past 7 bouts, with 2 KO/TKO wins and 4 victories via unanimous-decision with the lone setback coming vs. Gamrot. The 26-year-old has just 3.56 significant strikes landed per minute, but he makes them count, striking at a 55.96% accuracy, to just 43.73% for his counterpart.

The 34-year-old Silva also gives up 3.5 inches in reach to Tsarukyan, and he isn’t much on the mat, either. Meanwhile, the Armenian fighter has a 3.30 takedown average and 33.33% takedown accuracy percentage.

Silva is a big hitter though, and the southpaw dropped Jesse Ronson last time out with a 2nd round victory in October. That win stopped a 2-bout losing streak where he lost via KO/TKO on 2 occasions, including a sloppy effort in a 37-second loss to Ricky Glenn in mid-June 2021. He is just 2-3 in his past 5 fights, with his past 4 fights ending via KO/TKO (2-2).

UFC on ESPN 47: Tsarukyan vs. Silva odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:53 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Tsarukyan -1100 (bet $1100 to win $100) | Silva +675 (bet $100 to win $675)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +250 | No -350)

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UFC on ESPN 47: Tsarukyan vs. Silva picks and predictions

Records: Tsarukyan (19-3-0) | Silva (12-4-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

There is no way to justify betting Tsarukyan (-1100), as he would cost you 11 times your potential return. In other words, a $100 wager would net you a profit of $9.09. That’s way too much risk for not enough reward.

Instead, let’s look to the Method of Victory instead. Tsarukyan has gone to the judges in 6 of his 8 UFC fights, so playing TSARUKYAN ON POINTS (+325) for a chance to triple up is a far better value — and a more likely scenario.

Over/Under (O/U)

YES (+250): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is worth playing, and it isn’t a bad parlay opportunity with Tsarukyan on points, as well as coupling with one of the other fighters on the card.

Tsarukyan isn’t a big puncher, but he’ll use his 3.5-inch reach advantage to pull Silva in and out, picking and choosing his spots to go for the big shots or takedowns, all the while wowing the judges and earning valuable points.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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UFC on ESPN 47: Armen Petrosyan vs. Christian Duncan odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 47 odds and lines between Armen Petrosyan vs. Christian Duncan with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a middleweight bout on the main card, Armen Petrosyan and Christian Duncan meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 47 — also known as UFC Vegas 75 — at UFC Apex in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 47: Petrosyan vs. Duncan odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims are on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET, with the main card on ESPN/ESPN+ at 10 p.m. ET.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

Petrosyan is 2-1 since making his UFC debut with a split-decision win over Gregory Rodrigues on Feb. 26, 2022. He has gone the distance in all 3 of his fights since landing with the company, including a unanimous-decision win over AJ Dobson last time out at UFC 280 in October and a unanimous-decision loss to Caio Borralho in July 2022. Petrosyan lands 5.99 significant strikes per minute but with just a 53.06% accuracy.

Duncan made a giant splash in his company debut when he knocked out Dusko Todorovic in the 1st round at UFC 286 in March. The Briton has won all 8 of his fights since turning pro, with 6 victories via KO/TKO and 1 submission by way of rear-naked choke. He went the distance just once, against Will Currie at CW 123. “CLD” lands fewer strikes per minute than Petrosyan at 4.82 but has a 73.68% accuracy.

UFC on ESPN 47: Petrosyan vs. Duncan odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:42 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Petrosyan +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Duncan -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +100 | No -135)

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UFC on ESPN 47: Petrosyan vs. Duncan picks and predictions

Records: Petrosyan (8-2-0) | Duncan (8-0-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

DUNCAN (-155) appears to be on the fast track in the middleweight division, and the prospect was super impressive topping Todorovic last time out.

He has an overwhelming 8-inch reach advantage in this fight, so he’ll be able to keep the challenger at bay while picking and choosing his spots to get close and go for the kill.

Petrosyan won’t be a pushover by any means, but he is certainly beatable on this Armenian-heavy main card. He has gone the distance in all 3 of his UFC fights and won’t be able to slog his way through this one. Duncan is a heavy hitter who will be looking to deliver the big blow early.

Over/Under (O/U)

NO (-135): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a good play, even if Petrosyan has gone to the judges in all 3 of his UFC fights.

Duncan doesn’t play around, and he could potentially get the KO/TKO win in Round 1. In fact, on the Method of Victory 7-way line, a play of DUNCAN BY KO/TKO OR DQ (+175) is a sharp play, too, thanks mostly due to the ginormous reach advantage.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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