In a middleweight bout in the main event, Marvin Vettori and Jared Cannonier meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 47 — also known as UFC Vegas 75 — at UFC Apex in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 47: Vettori vs. Cannonier odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims are on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET, with the main card on ESPN/ESPN+ at 10 p.m. ET.
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Vettori fought Israel Adesanya for the middleweight title at UFC 263 in June 2021 but suffered a unanimous-decision (UD) loss.
“The Italian Dream” bounced back with a UD win over Paulo Costa in a fight night main event in October of that same year, but then suffered a UD loss to Robert Whittaker in Sept. 2022. He is coming off another UD win against Roman Dolidze at UFC 286 in March to get back on track, setting up this fight between 2 guys hungry to make it back to title contention.
Cannonier also lost a title fight against Adesanya at UFC 276 in July 2022, and he bounced back with a split-decision win over Sean Strickland in a fight night main event last time out in mid-December. He is rested and raring to go.
Cannonier holds a 3.5-inch reach advantage, but Vettori is 10 years younger and a bit faster at this point. There isn’t a huge difference in significant strikes landed per minute, with Vettori going for 4.38 and Cannonier good for 4.00. Both are basically the same in terms of accuracy, too.
However, Vettori is much stronger in the ground game, posting a 1.77 takedown average to 0.17 for Cannonier. He’s also way more accurate in the category too, going for 44.26% to just 25.00% for the ‘dog.
UFC on ESPN 47: Vettori vs. Cannonier odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:08 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Vettori -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Cannonier +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -200 | No +145)
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UFC on ESPN 47: Vettori vs. Cannonier picks and predictions
Records: Vettori (19-6-1) | Cannonier (16-6-0)
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
VETTORI (-125) is a strong play, as he is more youthful, and the southpaw can win a fight a number of ways.
Cannonier has the reach advantage, which is good, but if Vettori gets the fight to the mat — even if he doesn’t finish — he’ll grab some valuable points in the eyes of the judges. Vettori has a 0.52 submission average so he can win by that method, by the knockout, or just on points alone.
Over/Under (O/U)
Yes (-200): Will the fight go the distance? is a little on the expensive side, costing you 2 times your potential return.
Instead, look to Method of Victory instead. “The Italian Dream” has gone the distance in 6 consecutive fights, and therefore VETTORI BY POINTS (+100) at even money is a solid play and a much better value than just playing the distance prop.
Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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