Tag: UFC on ESPN+ 98 betting odds lines picks and predictions best bets

UFC Fight Night 240: Morgan Charriere vs. Chepe Mariscal odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 240 odds between Morgan Charriere vs. Chepe Mariscal, with MMA picks and predictions.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

In a 3-round featherweight bout on the main card, Morgan Charriere and Chepe Mariscal meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 240 (also known as UFC on ESPN+ 98 and UFC Vegas 90) at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 240: Charriere vs. Mariscal odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 3 p.m. ET, and can be viewed on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 6 p.m. ET, also on ESPN+.

Records: Charriere (19-9-1) | Mariscal (15-6-0)

Charriere made his UFC debut with a Round 1 KO/TKO win over Manolo Zecchini in the Gane-Spivac Fight Night in early Sept. 2023. He has 3 consecutive KO/TKO wins in his past 3 pro bouts, and he has won 4 straight fights across all levels.

Mariscal picked up a 2nd-round KO/TKO last time out against Jack Jenkins at UFC 293, and he is 2-0 since making his UFC debut with a unanimous-decision win over Trevor Peek in June 2023. “Machine Gun” has won 5 consecutive bouts across all levels, including 4 KO/TKO victories.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 240: Charriere vs. Mariscal

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:50 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Charriere -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mariscal +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -175 | No +130)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC Fight Night 240: Charriere vs. Mariscal picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

We get a fight between 2 young prospects looking to climb the rungs of the UFC ladder.

The 28-year-old Charriere (-120) has shown off tremendous punching power, dropping Zecchini in the 1st round of his UFC debut, while picking up 3 straight finishes inside the distance.

Mariscal (+100) has won 2 fights at the UFC level since his debut, with mixed results. He, too, is a punching machine, and this is going to be an entertaining bout.

If you don’t want to pick a winner in this rather evenly matched fight, playing KO/TKO/DQ (+175) for the “How Fight Will End” prop might be your best bet. If either of these knockout artists wins via KO/TKO/DQ, you win.

Over/Under (O/U)

In addition, NO (+130): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a strong value at plus-money with 2 young fighters who have plenty of KO/TKO wins under their collective belts.

These fighters are likely to take the 1st 5 minutes to feel each other out. We should see the action pick up in Round 2, however, and we’re unlikely to see the judges get involved.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC Fight Night 240: Alexander Hernandez vs. Damon Jackson odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 240 odds between Alexander Hernandez and Damon Jackson, with MMA picks and predictions.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

In a 3-round featherweight bout on the main card, Alexander Hernandez and Damon Jackson meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 240 (also known as UFC on ESPN+ 98 and UFC Vegas 90) at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 240: Hernandez vs. Jackson odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 3 p.m. ET, and can be viewed on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 6 p.m. ET, also on ESPN+.

Records: Hernandez (14-7-0) | Jackson (22-6-1)

Hernandez was on the losing end of a unanimous decision in a Fight Night in early October last time out. Prior to that, he defeated Jim Miller via unanimous decision in Feb. 2023. He has dropped 3 of the past 4 bouts, and 2 of those losses finished inside the distance, with a KO/TKO setback at UFC 282 to Billy Quarantillo, and a submission loss to Renato Moicano at UFC 271.

Jackson has suffered consecutive losses, falling to Quarantillo via UD last time out in early August, and he was knocked out in Round 2 against Dan Ige in Jan. 2023. His last victory came in 69 seconds in a KO/TKO win over Pat Sabatini in mid-Sept. 2022.

Hernandez holds a 1-inch reach advantage, and the favorite has a 4.63-to-3.02 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Jackson is better on the ground, holding a 2.44-to-1.20 takedown average advantage and 34.69% takedown accuracy percentage. He also has a strong 1.58-to-0.13 submission average advantage.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 240: Hernandez vs. Jackson

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:30 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Hernandez -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Jackson +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -160 | Under +120)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +175 | No -250)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC Fight Night 240: Hernandez vs. Jackson picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Hernandez (-210), a.k.a. “The Great Ape”, is looking to get back on track after dropping 3 of the past 4 bouts. He has lost in every way imaginable, via decision, via KO/TKO and via submission in the 4-bout span since Feb. 2022. His only win came via unanimous decision against Miller in Feb. 2023.

As such, it’s hard to roll the dice and risk more than 2 times your potential return on a fighter like that. However, Jackson (+170) cannot be trusted, as he has dropped the past 2 bouts, and most of his wins have come against tomato cans.

The best play is to take HERNANDEZ ON POINTS (+350) for a chance to more than triple up. He went the distance in his past 2, and Jackson went the distance last time out. This is too good of a value to pass up.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-160) is a little on the pricey side, but given the recent history of these 2 fighters, it should be a slam-dunk play.

In addition, YES (+175): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? has a lot more risk than the above prop play, but it’s a decent value if you don’t want to declare a winner but still want some plus-money action in this main card event.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC Fight Night 240: Brendan Allen vs. Chris Curtis odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 240 odds between Brendan Allen vs. Chris Curtis, with MMA picks and predictions.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

In a 5-round middleweight bout in the main event, Brendan Allen and Chris Curtis meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 240 (also known as UFC on ESPN+ 98 and UFC Vegas 90) at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 240: Allen vs. Curtis odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 3 p.m. ET, and can be viewed on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 6 p.m. ET, also on ESPN+.

Records: Allen (23-5-0) | Curtis (31-10-0)

Allen has picked up 6 consecutive victories, with 5 coming via submission. That includes a 3rd-round win against Paul Craig last time out in mid-November in the main event. He also submitted Andre Muniz in a Fight Night main event in Feb. 2023 with another 3rd-round win.

Curtis picked up a split-decision win over Marc-Andre Barriault at UFC 297, bouncing back after a no-contest against Nassourdine Imavov at UFC 289. He has finished inside the distance just once in his past 5 fights, not including the Imavov bout.

Allen is 8 years younger than his counterpart, while Curtis has a slight half-inch reach advantage. Curtis also has a 5.96-to-3.87 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, although “All In” is much more accurate at 60.72% with those strikes, to 52.70% for Curtis.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 240: Allen vs. Curtis

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:20 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Allen -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Curtis +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Over/Under: 3.5 rounds (Over -110 | Under -120)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +150 | No -210)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC Fight Night 240: Allen vs. Curtis picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Allen (-225) will cost you a little more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s too risky on the 2-way line. Instead, let’s get a little more specific.

ALLEN BY SUBMISSION (+175) is the way to go, for a chance to nearly double up. He has been a submission machine since arriving at the UFC level, and really, all throughout his pro career. His go-to move is the rear-naked choke or the triangle choke while also scoring a win with a keylock.

Curtis (+180) will have to do everything in his power to avoid going to the canvas, or this thing will be over quickly.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 3.5 ROUNDS (-120) is priced right, and it’s a strong play. He is going to work hard to get Curtis up against the fence as quickly as possible.

Curtis has ended inside the distance just once in the past 5 fights, not including the no contest, but he hasn’t faced a powerful wrestling force of Allen’s caliber.

Look for Allen to get the job done, and don’t be surprised if we see a choke-out in Rounds 1 or 2.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC Fight Night 240: Karl Williams vs. Justin Tafa odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 240 odds between Karl Williams vs. Justin Tafa, with MMA picks and predictions.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

In a 3-round heavyweight bout on the main card, Karl Williams and Justin Tafa meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 240 — also known as UFC on ESPN+ 98 and UFC Vegas 89 — at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 240: Williams vs. Tafa odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 7 p.m. ET, and can be viewed on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 10 p.m. ET, also on ESPN/ESPN+.

Records: Williams (9-1-0) | Tafa (7-3-0)

Williams heads into this bout with 3 unanimous-decision wins in 3 fights since joining the UFC. He has 6 consecutive pro victories dating back to B2 Fighting Series 142: Kentucky in a championship bout against Jason Butcher Dec. 4, 2021. He lost via triangle choke/submission in that lone setback in 10 career bouts. He posted a UD win over veteran Chase Sherman last time out in mid-May.

Tafa is coming off a KO/TKO win in 82 seconds against Austen Lane at UFC 293, and he had 3 straight wins via KO/TKO, all in Round 1. He has picked up 4 wins in 7 bouts at the UFC level with one no contest.

Williams holds a 5-inch reach advantage against Tafa, so he’ll be able to pull the fighter in and out at his discretion. The southpaw Tafa has a 5.13-to-2.93 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, so it would behoove Williams to keep Tafa at a distance. Each fighter is nearly identical in accuracy, with Williams at 59.67% significant strike accuracy percentage, and Tafa at 59.09%.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 240: Williams vs. Tafa odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Williams -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Tafa +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -175 | Under +135)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +130 | No -175)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC Fight Night 240: Williams vs. Tafa picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Williams (-185) is just a little too pricey straight up on the 2-way line, although it wouldn’t be unacceptable to toss him into a multi-fighter, or multi-leg, parlay of some sort.

You just can’t risk nearly 2 times your potential return on a single bet, especially against a veteran like Tafa (+150).

Get a little more specific instead. WILLIAMS BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+150) is a much better play. He’ll be able to push and pull Tafa out due to his immense reach advantage, and Williams has won all 3 of his fights via decision at the UFC level. He has been in no hurry to get finishes.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-175) is a little on the pricey side, but it isn’t bad if you like to play it safe.

YES (+130): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a decent bet if you don’t want to necessarily declare a winner, but want a little action on this fight. Williams is methodical, and he hasn’t secured an early finish in 3 fights at the UFC level.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]