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UFC Fight Night 224: Nathaniel Wood vs. Andre Fili odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 224 odds and lines between Nathaniel Wood vs. Andre Fili with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a featherweight bout on the main card, Nathaniel Wood and Andre Fili meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 224 at O2 Arena in London, England. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 224: Wood vs. Fili odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims are on ESPN+ at noon ET and the main card is on ESPN+ at 3 p.m. ET.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

Records: Wood (19-5-0) | Fili (22-9-0)

Wood takes the walk looking for a 3rd consecutive victory. He has topped Charles Jourdain and Charles Rosa in the past 2 fights, both via unanimous decision. Each of his last 4 outings has gone the distance, and he is 3-1 via unanimous decision during the span.

Wood’s last stoppage came in a 3rd round KO/TKO loss to John Dodson in February 2020. His last win inside the distance was a submission victory over Jose Quinonez in March 2019.

Fili bounced back with a split-decision victory over Bill Alego in September after suffering a 41-second knockout loss to Joanderson Brito in April 2022. He has gone the distance in 4 of his past 6 bouts and 10 of the previous 13 outings.

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UFC Fight Night 224: Wood vs. Fili odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:56 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Wood -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Fili +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -200 | No +145)

UFC Fight Night 224: Wood vs. Fili picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

This is a solid venue for the Englishman Wood (-225) as he fights on his home soil. However, it isn’t a great idea to lay more than 2 times your potential return. In addition, Fili (+175) is quite dangerous, as he holds a 5-inch reach advantage and will be able to keep Wood at a distance while picking and choosing his spots to get close to the Briton.

I still expect Wood to win, but look for METHOD OF VICTORY 7-WAY: WOOD BY DECISION (+100) at even money to be the best play on the board.

Over/Under (O/U)

Yes (-200): Will the fight go the distance? is just a little too expensive for my liking as you have to lay twice your potential return, and that’s just too much risk and not enough reward, even if both of these fights have a penchant for having their bouts decided by the judges more often than not.

AVOID, and focus on the method of victory instead.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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UFC Fight Night 224: Molly McCann vs. Julija Stoliarenko odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 224 odds and lines between Molly McCann vs. Julija Stoliarenko with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a women’s featherweight bout on the main card, Molly McCann and Julija Stoliarenko meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 224 at O2 Arena in London, England. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 224: McCann vs. Stoliarenko odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims are on ESPN+ at noon ET and the main card is on ESPN+ at 3 p.m. ET.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

Records: McCann (13-5-0) | Stoliarenko (10-8-2)

McCann is looking to bounce back after a 1st-round submission setback to Erin Blanchfield at UFC 281 in November. Prior to that, “Meatball” had picked up back-to-back KO/TKO wins while winning 3 straight fights overall, including a 1st-round pounding of Hannah Goldy in July 2022.

The Lithuanian-born Stoliarenko was knocked out by Chelsea Chandler last time out in October and is just 1-4 across her last 5 fights. Her lone win during the stretch was a 1st-round submission over Jessica-Rose Clark at UFC 276 in July 2022, showing that she can still be very dangerous.

Stoliarenko has a 4-inch reach advantage, while McCann has a decisive 5.72-to-2.75 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. In addition, the Briton is slightly more accurate at 53.16% with those strikes, compared to 51.69% for Stoliarenko. McCann also holds a 1.67-to-0.70 takedown average advantage, while Stoliarenko has a solid 1.17 submission average to just 0.52 for the favorite.

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UFC Fight Night 224: McCann vs. Stoliarenko odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:21 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): McCann -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Stoliarenko +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -175 | Under +135)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -210 | No +155)

UFC Fight Night 224: McCann vs. Stoliarenko picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

McCann (-225) will have a home crowd in London backing her, and that should be more than enough to tip the scales in her favor. Even so, risking more than 2 times your potential return in a standalone wager isn’t a great idea. I would consider McCann as part of my ticket as part of a multi-fighter parlay, but not straight up.

If you want to bet on this fight, consider METHOD OF VICTORY 5-WAY: MCCANN BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (+125) for a much better value.

Over/Under (O/U)

NO (+155): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE? is a solid value at plus money.

If you’re a little less adventurous playing OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-175) is worth a look although it’s still quite a bit of juice. I think McCann gets the stoppage, but Stoliarenko should be able to hang in there past the middle of Round 2.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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UFC Fight Night 224: Tom Aspinall vs. Marcin Tybura odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 224 odds and lines between Tom Aspinall vs. Marcin Tybura with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a heavyweight bout in the main event, Tom Aspinall and Marcin Tybura meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 224 at O2 Arena in London, England. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 224: Aspinall vs. Tybura odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims are on ESPN+ at noon ET and the main card is on ESPN+ at 3 p.m. ET.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

Records: Aspinall (12-3-0) | Tybura (24-7-0)

Aspinall is looking to rebound after a 15-second knockout loss to Curtis Blaydes in the main event in July 2022. That quick defeat was his first at the UFC level after 5 consecutive stoppage victories.

Aspinall has never been to past the 3:59 mark of the 2nd round in any of his 15 fights as a professional, and only 1 of his 6 fights at the UFC level has made it out of the opening round.

Tybura takes the walk with a pair of decision victories over Blagoy Ivanov and Alexandr Romanov in his last 2 fights. He is 7-1 across the previous 8 outings, and his lone loss was via unanimous decision against Alexander Volkov at UFC 267 in Oct. 2021.

The Polish-born fighter hasn’t been dropped since consecutive KO/TKO losses in 2019 against Augusto Sakai and Shamil Abdurakhimov.

Aspinall easily outpaces Tybura in significant strikes landed per minute at 7.41-to-3.55 and is much more accurate, landing 67.40% of those strikes to 59.38% for “Tybur”. The Brit is much better in the ground game too, posting an impressive 4.00 takedown average, with 100% accuracy, and a solid 2.00 submission average.

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UFC Fight Night 224: Aspinall vs. Tybura odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:43 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Aspinall -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Tybura +365 (bet $100 to win $365)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over +140 | Under -185)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +700 | No -2000)

UFC Fight Night 224: Aspinall vs. Tybura picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Betting Aspinall (-500) straight up is not a recommended strategy, as he will cost you 5 times your potential return. That’s just too much risk for not enough reward.

Instead, look to the round betting section instead. The books are expecting a quick finish, and I am, too. ROUND BETTING: ASPINALL IN ROUND 1 (-115) is a solid option, as he’ll be fired up fighting in front of the home crowd and Tybura will be eating a lot of punches early.

Over/Under (O/U)

No (-2000): Fight to go the distance? is perhaps one of the highest numbers I’ve ever seen.

UNDER 1.5 ROUNDS (-185) is a little on the expensive side, but worth playing if you are a little on the conservative side. However, I like ROUND AND METHOD OF VICTORY: ASPINALL BY KO/TKO/DQ IN ROUND 1 (+100) a little better at even money.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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