In a featherweight bout on the main card, Nathaniel Wood and Andre Fili meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 224 at O2 Arena in London, England. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 224: Wood vs. Fili odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims are on ESPN+ at noon ET and the main card is on ESPN+ at 3 p.m. ET.
Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.
Records: Wood (19-5-0) | Fili (22-9-0)
Wood takes the walk looking for a 3rd consecutive victory. He has topped Charles Jourdain and Charles Rosa in the past 2 fights, both via unanimous decision. Each of his last 4 outings has gone the distance, and he is 3-1 via unanimous decision during the span.
Wood’s last stoppage came in a 3rd round KO/TKO loss to John Dodson in February 2020. His last win inside the distance was a submission victory over Jose Quinonez in March 2019.
Fili bounced back with a split-decision victory over Bill Alego in September after suffering a 41-second knockout loss to Joanderson Brito in April 2022. He has gone the distance in 4 of his past 6 bouts and 10 of the previous 13 outings.
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UFC Fight Night 224: Wood vs. Fili odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:56 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Wood -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Fili +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -200 | No +145)
UFC Fight Night 224: Wood vs. Fili picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
This is a solid venue for the Englishman Wood (-225) as he fights on his home soil. However, it isn’t a great idea to lay more than 2 times your potential return. In addition, Fili (+175) is quite dangerous, as he holds a 5-inch reach advantage and will be able to keep Wood at a distance while picking and choosing his spots to get close to the Briton.
I still expect Wood to win, but look for METHOD OF VICTORY 7-WAY: WOOD BY DECISION (+100) at even money to be the best play on the board.
Over/Under (O/U)
Yes (-200): Will the fight go the distance? is just a little too expensive for my liking as you have to lay twice your potential return, and that’s just too much risk and not enough reward, even if both of these fights have a penchant for having their bouts decided by the judges more often than not.
AVOID, and focus on the method of victory instead.
Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
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