UFC Fight Night 209 odds lines picks predictions best bets

UFC Fight Night 209: Robert Whittaker vs. Marvin Vettori odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 209 odds and lines between Robert Whittaker vs. Marvin Vettori, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a middleweight bout on the main card, Robert Whittaker and Marvin Vettori meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 209 at Accor Arena in Paris, France. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 209 Whittaker vs. Vettori odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The fight can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims beginning at noon ET and the main card at 3 p.m. ET.

Whittaker suffered a unanimous-decision (UD) loss to Israel Adesanya last time out in a title fight at UFC 271 in February. It was his 4th consecutive fight to be decided by the judges, and he has just 1 finish across his last 7 outings dating back to his title win at UFC 213.

Vettori bounced back from a UD championship bout loss to Adesanya at UFC 263 in June 2021 with a UD win over Paulo Costa last time out in the main event in late October.

Vettori, the southpaw, has a half-inch read advantage, while Whittaker has a slight 4.45-to-4.35 lead in the significant strikes per minute category. The Italian is a little more accurate with a 53.38% significant strike accuracy percentage, and he is a better fighter on the ground.

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UFC Fight Night 209 Whittaker vs. Vettori odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:21 a.m. ET.

Fight result (2-way line): Whittaker -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Vettori +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -340 | Under +220)
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -290 | No +200)

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UFC 209 Whittaker vs. Vettori picks and predictions

Records: Whittaker (24-6-0) | Vettori (18-5-1)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Whittaker (-210) has been very deliberate, going the distance in each of his previous 4 fights. He should be able to get the victory, bouncing back after a loss to The Last Stylebender. The odds are just a little steeper than my personal money line limit.

WHITTAKER BY POINTS (-116) is a tremendous value, and it is a good play as long as he can keep the fight upright and avoid Vettori and his wrestling skills.

Over/Under (O/U)

Yes (-290): Fight to go the distance is not a recommended play, as it will cost you nearly 3 times your potential return. Over 2.5 Rounds (-340) is an even worse play.

Just stick with Whittaker on the 3-way line as the best play.

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UFC Fight Night 209: Ciryl Gane vs. Tai Tuivasa odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 209 odds and lines between Ciryl Gane vs. Tai Tuivasa, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a heavyweight bout in the main event, Ciryl Gane and Tai Tuivasa meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 209 at Accor Arena in Paris, France. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 209 Gane vs. Tuivasa odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The fight can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims beginning at noon ET and the main card at 3 p.m. ET.

Gane, a.k.a. “Bon Gamin”, will fight in front of his countrymen in France for the first time at the UFC level. He is looking to rebound from a unanimous-decision loss at Francis Ngannou for the heavyweight belt at UFC 270 in January. That loss was in his first defense of the belt after taking the strap from Derrick Lewis via KO/TKO at UFC 265 in Aug. 2021.

Gane takes the walk to the octagon with a slight edge in significant strikes landed per minute at 4.83-to-4.54. He also stands 2 inches taller and holds a 6-inch reach advantage.

Tuivasa lost 3 fights from Dec. 2018 to Oct. 2019, but he has bounced back with 5 consecutive KO/TKO wins, including a 2nd-round KO of Derrick Lewis last time out at UFC 271 in February.

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UFC Fight Night 209 Gane vs. Tuivasa odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:03 a.m. ET.

Fight result (2-way line): Gane -600 (bet $600 to win $100) | Tuivasa +400 (bet $100 to win $400)
Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -145 | Under +105)
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +180 | No -260)

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UFC Fight Night 209 Gane vs. Tuivasa picks and predictions

Records: Gane (10-1-0) | Tuivasa (15-3-0)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Gane (-600) will fight with a little extra incentive in his homeland, and he will be feeding off the pro-Frenchmen crowd. Still, risking 6 times your potential return isn’t a recommended betting strategy. Let’s get a little more specific.

Gane has gone the distance in 3 of his last 4 fights and registered a pair of KO/TKO wins in the last 5 outings. He holds that huge reach advantage, so he’ll be able to keep Tuivasa at a distance, picking and choosing his spots. Gane is a great technical fighter, and he will be looking to wow the judges. Play GANE BY POINTS (+245) for the method of victory.