In a middleweight bout on the main card, Robert Whittaker and Marvin Vettori meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 209 at Accor Arena in Paris, France. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 209 Whittaker vs. Vettori odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The fight can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims beginning at noon ET and the main card at 3 p.m. ET.
Whittaker suffered a unanimous-decision (UD) loss to Israel Adesanya last time out in a title fight at UFC 271 in February. It was his 4th consecutive fight to be decided by the judges, and he has just 1 finish across his last 7 outings dating back to his title win at UFC 213.
Vettori bounced back from a UD championship bout loss to Adesanya at UFC 263 in June 2021 with a UD win over Paulo Costa last time out in the main event in late October.
Vettori, the southpaw, has a half-inch read advantage, while Whittaker has a slight 4.45-to-4.35 lead in the significant strikes per minute category. The Italian is a little more accurate with a 53.38% significant strike accuracy percentage, and he is a better fighter on the ground.
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UFC Fight Night 209 Whittaker vs. Vettori odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:21 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Whittaker -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Vettori +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -340 | Under +220)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -290 | No +200)
[tipico]
UFC 209 Whittaker vs. Vettori picks and predictions
Records: Whittaker (24-6-0) | Vettori (18-5-1)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Whittaker (-210) has been very deliberate, going the distance in each of his previous 4 fights. He should be able to get the victory, bouncing back after a loss to The Last Stylebender. The odds are just a little steeper than my personal money line limit.
WHITTAKER BY POINTS (-116) is a tremendous value, and it is a good play as long as he can keep the fight upright and avoid Vettori and his wrestling skills.
Over/Under (O/U)
Yes (-290): Fight to go the distance is not a recommended play, as it will cost you nearly 3 times your potential return. Over 2.5 Rounds (-340) is an even worse play.
Just stick with Whittaker on the 3-way line as the best play.
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