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The Texas Rangers (56-68) welcome the Minnesota Twins (70-53) to Globe Life Field Sunday for finale of a 4-game series. First pitch is set for 2:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Twins lead 5-1
The Twins have won all 3 games of this series, closing as an underdog in the last 2. They won 5-2 Saturday, 4-3 Friday and 3-2 Thursday.
Minnesota has won 5 of its last 6 games and has jumped to 2nd in the AL Central. It has gone 34-29 on the road and is 60-63 against the spread (ATS).
The Rangers, who are 31-30 at home this season, have lost 3 straight games and 6 of their last 7, dropping to 3rd in the AL West. The Texas defense has been the main problem, allowing 3 runs or more in all 7 games and allowing at least 5 runs in 5 of those games. The Rangers are 55-69 ATS.
Twins at Rangers projected starters
RHP Pablo Lopez vs. RHP Tyler Mahle
Lopez (11-8, 4.67 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 135 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 8-3 home win over the Kansas City Royals Monday
- 2024 away stats: 7-4, 4.44 ERA (75 IP, 37 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 in 13 starts
- Career vs. Rangers: 0-2, 9.82 ERA (40 IP, 18 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 7 starts
Mahle (0-1, 2.79 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 9 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 5-4 road loss to the Boston Red Sox Monday
- 2024 home stats: 0-1, 1.80 ERA (5 IP, 1 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 3.6 K/9 in 1 start
- Career vs. Twins: 1-0, 4.58 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.53 WHIP, 12.2 K/9 in 4 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Twins at Rangers odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:21 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Twins -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Rangers +104 (bet $100 to win $104)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twin -1.5 (+136) | Rangers +1.5 (-164)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Twins at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 4, Twins 2
Moneyline
BET RANGERS (+104).
The Rangers should be able to snap out of their woes Sunday, still having an above .500 home record this season. Texas has scored at least 4 runs in 5 of its last 8 games yet has failed to hit 4 runs in 3 straight games, so it should be able to bounce back with Mahle, who has a sub-3.00 ERA, on the mound.
Lopez has been a solid option for the Twins, but Minnesota has allowed 10 runs in his last 2 starts. Considering the pitchers and recent streaks, take Texas to avoid the sweep and back RANGERS (+104).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Twins are too risky as a road favorite, having won 3 straight in the series. Given it isn’t easy to complete the 4-game sweep, avoid their run-line play. The Astros are a bit too expensive as a run-line underdog and have better value on the moneyline.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8 (-115).
The Twins have gone Under in 4 straight games, scoring fewer than 4 runs in 3 of those and allowing 3 runs or less in 3 games. Similarly, the Rangers have gone Under in 3 straight and are 5-6-1 O/U in their last 12.
They have scored 4 runs or fewer in 5 straight games and in 9 of the last 12. Texas is 56-63-5 O/U. While neither has an ace, both teams have solid starting options. With that in mind, back UNDER 8 (-105).
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