Tag: Twins Mariners odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (46-37) and Seattle Mariners (47-38) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 4-2

The Twins won 5-1 Saturday as a slight favorite (-116) behind RHP Pablo Lopez as the Under (7) hung on. Minnesota has picked up 3 wins in the past 4 outings, while going 5-2 in the past 7 outings.

The Over has a slight 3-2 edge in the past 5 games for the Twins, while going 8-4 across the previous 12 outings.

The Mariners have won just twice in the past 6 games, while going 3-7 in the past 10 outings. The Under is on a 2-0-1 run in the previous 3 contests.

Twins at Mariners projected starters

RHP Joe Ryan vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Ryan (5-5, 3.31 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 98 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H (1 HR), 0 BB, 5 K in 5-4 road loss vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 2-2, 2.92 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 0.99 WHIP, .219 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 8 HR, 9 BB, 50 K in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Mariners: 0-3, 7.30 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.70 WHIP, 5 HR, 10.2 K/9 in 3 starts

Castillo (6-9, 3.79 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 99 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H (1 HR), 4 BB, 4 K in 11-3 road setback at Tampa Bay Tuesday
  • 2024 home splits: 4-3, 2.96 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.09 WHIP, .237 OBA, 6 HR, 9 BB, 55 K in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Twins: 1-2, 4.99 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 30 H, 10 BB, 38 K in 6 starts
  • 2024 vs. Twins: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 2 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 3-1 road setback May 6

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mariners -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+155) | Mariners +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Twins at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Mariners 3

Moneyline

The TWINS (-110) are decent play in the series finale, as Castillo just isn’t going well for the Mariners (-110). The Seattle veteran has a 5.08 ERA across 28 1/3 IP in 5 starts in June, and he has walked 11 batters while allowing 25 hits.

Run line/Against the spread

The MARINERS +1.5 (-190) are a little on the pricey side, at least for a standalone wager. However, as part of a Same-Game Parlay or multi-leg parlay, tossing the Mariners into your ticket is not a bad idea.

Seattle is just 3-7 in the past 10 games, but it is a respectable 7-7 across the past 14 outings, while cashing on the run line as an underdog at a 6-3 clip in the past 9 on the run line.

Over/Under

Total 7 should be skipped, as I expect it to come right down on the number in this afternoon finale. If there was a lean, it would be to the Under, which was cashed in each of the 1st 2 games in this series. However, the Over is 6-3 in the past 9 games for the Twins, so it’s best to AVOID.

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Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (45-37) and Seattle Mariners (47-37) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 3-2

The Mariners exacted a little revenge for dropping 3 of 4 games in Minnesota May 6-9, opening this series with a 3-2 win as a moderate favorite (-126) Friday night as the Under (7) easily connected.

The Twins offense was cooled off, as Minnesota entered play with 115 runs scored in the previous 17 outings, or 6.8 runs per game. It had scored 3 or more runs in 15 of those 17 games while cashing the Over at an 8-3 clip in the previous 11 contests.

Minnesota RHP Pablo Lopez took a perfect game into the 6th inning in his last start against the Athletics, twirling 8 scoreless innings while matching a career high with 14 strikeouts.

The Mariners improved to 18-9 in 1-run games with the 3-2 win Friday. That’s the most wins in the majors in games decided by a single run, with the New York Mets and Tampa Bay Rays next best with 16 one-run wins.

Twins at Mariners projected starters

RHP Pablo Lopez vs. RHP Bryce Miller

Lopez (7-6, 5.11 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 88 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 8 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 14 K (102 pitches) in 3-0 victory at Oakland A’s Sunday
  • 2024 road splits: 4-3, 5.09 ERA (46 IP, 26 ER), 1.07 WHIP, .209 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 9 HR, 13 BB, 58 K in 8 starts
  • 2024 vs. Mariners: 1-0, 1.42 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 1 ER), 4 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 1 start, an 11-1 home win May 9
  • Career vs. Mariners: 1-1, 2.45 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.04 WHIP, 3 HR, 12.3 K/9 in 3 starts

Miller (6-6, 3.90 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 92 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 6 ER, 6 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 3 K in 6-4 setback at Miami Marlins Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: 4-2, 1.82 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 0.83 WHIP, .159 OBA, 3 HR, 14 BB, 59 K in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Twins: 1-0, 9.53 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 8 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 1 start, an 8-7 road win July 26, 2023

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:12 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mariners +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+140) | Mariners +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Twins at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 3, Twins 2

Moneyline

The MARINERS (+100) are a good bet to run it back by the same score as Friday’s series opener.

While Lopez is coming off a huge performance last time out, it was also against the Athletics. He is pitching with a lot of confidence, though, and he’ll give the Twins (-120) a chance.

However, Miller has been money at home. He has stark splits on the road and at T-Mobile Park, posting a 6.28 ERA in 43 IP in 8 road starts and a 1.82 ERA in 49 1/3 IP in 8 home outings.

Run line/Against the spread

The Mariners +1.5 (-165) are a little too expensive if you would prefer some insurance and just cannot back Seattle straight up for whatever reason.

AVOID.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-120) is the way to go, as Lopez and Miller should produce plenty of donuts.

The Under is now 5-1-1 in the past 7 games at T-Mobile Park for the M’s following Friday’s series opener.

The Over is 6-2 in the past 8 for the Twins, but the Under is 2-1 in the past 3 road starts for Lopez.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (45-36) and Seattle Mariners (46-37) open a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 3-1

The Twins took 3 of 4 games from the Mariners May 6-9 in Minneapolis, with the Over cashing in each of the final 3 meetings. The underdog cashed in the first 3 meetings of the series, with Minnesota (-110) winning the finale, in what was essentially a pick ’em.

Minnesota is 4-2 on the current 9-game road trip which wraps up in the Pacific Northwest with this series. The Twins won 2 of 3 in Oakland, and 2 of 3 in Arizona, including a 13-6 win Thursday against the Diamondbacks as slight road favorites (-112) as the Over (8.5) easily hit.

The Mariners were roughed up on a recent road trip, losing 2 of 3 in Cleveland, dropping 2 of 3 in Miami and falling in 2 of 3 at Tampa Bay. The last time the M’s were home, though, they swept the defending champ Texas Rangers June 14-16. In fact, the Mariners are 15-3 in the past 18 games at home.

Twins at Mariners projected starters

RHP Bailey Ober vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Ober (7-4, 4.50 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 82 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 9 IP, 2 ER, 4 H (2 solo HR), 0 BB, 10 K in 10-2 victory at Oakland A’s Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 4-3, 5.07 ERA (49 2/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.11 WHIP, .237 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 8 HR, 11 BB, 46 K in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Mariners: 2-0, 4.05 ERA (20 IP, 9 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 3 HR, 9.9 K/9 in 4 starts
  • 2024 vs. Mariners, 1 start, no-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 10-6 home loss May 7

Gilbert (5-4, 2.71 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 0.89 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 106 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 8 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 9-0 victory at Miami Marlins Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-2, 2.66 ERA (47 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 0.80 WHIP, .185 OBA, 5 HR, 7 BB, 52 K in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Twins: 2-1, 4.95 ERA (20 IP, 11 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 4 starts
  • 2024 vs. Twins: 1 start, loss, 4 IP, 8 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 11-1 road defeat May 9

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:55 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Mariners -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-210) | Mariners -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Twins at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Twins 3

Moneyline

The MARINERS (-125) are back home after a rough trip, and hopefully that will snap them back into winning form.

Seattle had a rough go on the road trip, going 3-6, but it has been money at home, with 15 wins in the past 18 outings. Gilbert has had solid numbers at T-Mobile Park, but expect this to be a close shave, as Obert has been pitching with a lot of confidence for the Twins lately.

Run line/Against the spread

The Twins +1.5 (-210) are just a little too expensive if you want to dip your toe into the water on this game, but can’t bet Minnesota straight up. It’s risky betting against the Mariners at T-Mobile Park, but this insurance is a little too pricey.

AVOID.

Over/Under

PASS.

With a pair of solid pitchers on the mound for this series opener, my prediction has this total falling right on the number for a push.

The Over went 6-1-2 in the 9-game road trip for the Mariners, but the Under is 4-1-1 in their past 6 home games. If there was a lean, it might be Under, but this is an awfully low number.

The Over is 6-1 in the past 7 games for the Twins, including 5-1 on the first 6 of this road trip. However, the Under is 4-2 in Ober’s past 6 starts.

The trends are all over the board, and this is a good PASS.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Twins (50-47) conclude a 4-game series against the Seattle Mariners (47-48) on Thursday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 2-1

The Twins secured a 6-3 victory over the Mariners on Wednesday with 2B Edouard Julien, OF Max Kepler, and 1B Alex Kirilloff hitting home runs. Minnesota has won 5 of its last 6 games and is 2 1/2 games ahead of the Cleveland Guardians atop the AL Central.

In Wednesday’s defeat, RHP Luis Castillo struck out 11 batters and surrendered 3 ER for the Mariners. Seattle has lost 4 of its last 6 games and is 10 games back of the Texas Rangers in the AL West race.

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Twins at Mariners projected starters

RHP Pablo Lopez vs. RHP George Kirby

Lopez (5-5, 4.24 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 116 2/3 innings.

  • Has posted 6 or more K’s in 17 of his 19 starts
  • Has given up 3 ER or more in 6 of his last 9 starts

Kirby (8-8, 3.43 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 112 2/3 innings.

  • Has walked fewer than 2 batters in 17 of his 18 starts
  • Has pitched 6 innings or more in 14 of his 18 starts

Twins at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:37 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Mariners -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-190) | Mariners -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Twins at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Twins 4

Moneyline

Despite their recent struggles, the MARINERS (-135) are my pick. Lopez and Kirby are both coming off forgettable starts, but I’ll trust Kirby as he is typically able to avoid putting himself in difficult spots.

Run line/Against the spread

I’ll PASS on the pricey run line in this game even though the Twins should keep this game close on the road.

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Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (+100) is the play in this game at such a low total. The Twins have produced 5 or more runs in 6 straight games, and they’ve hit the Over in 7 straight contests. The Mariners have achieved the Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (49-47) and Seattle Mariners (47-47) meet Wednesday for game 3 of a 4-game series. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is set for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Minnesota won 10-3 as +111 road underdogs to tie the series at 1 a-piece Tuesday. Both teams had a busy 1st inning as the Twins scored twice in the top of the innings and the Mariners scored 3 in the bottom half before the Twins took control.

The AL Central-leading Twins have now won 4 of their last 5 and are 9-5 in their last 14 games. The Mariners are also 9-5 in their last 14 overall, but are only 2-3 in their last 5. Minnesota sits at 23-25 on the road while Seattle is 26-23 at home on the year.

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Twins at Mariners projected starters

RHP Kenta Maeda vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Maeda (2-5, 5.50 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 36 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 6 K in a 5-4 road win Friday vs. the Oakland Athletics
  • 1 career start vs. Seattle: 0-0, 2.25 ERA (4 IP, 1 ER), 3 H, 3 BB, 7 K

Castillo (6-7, 2.96 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 112 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K in a 5-4 home loss Friday vs. the Detroit Tigers
  • Career vs. Minnesota: 1-1, 8.18 ERA (11 IP, 10 ER), 18 H, 3 BB, 11 K in 3 starts

Twins at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Mariners -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-155) | Mariners -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Twins at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 6, Mariners 4

Moneyline

LEAN TWINS (+135).

Both teams are 3-2 in each of their starting pitcher’s last 5 games overall. The Twins have a 6-4 edge in the last 10 matchups and I like that they have won  Maeda’s last 2 starts, which gives them the slight edge here.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. 

I like the Twins to cover here but at +1.5 (-155) the line is not worth the juice, bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

The Over is 7-2-1 in Minnesota’s last 10 overall and 2-0 in each of Maeda’s last 2 starts. For Seattle, the Over is 4-0 in Castillo’s last 4 starts overall and 3-0 in each of his last 3 starts vs. Minnesota. And the Over is also 2-0 in the last 2 meetings.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (48-47) and Seattle Mariners (47-46) meet Tuesday for the 2nd game of a 4-game series. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is set for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 1-0

Seattle won 7-6 as a -149 home favorite in the series opener Monday. The Mariners led 7-3 heading into the top of the 9th but a 3-run HR from Twins OF Max Kepler gave them a bit of a scare before they managed to shut the door. RHP Logan Gilbert pitched 5 innings with 2 ER and 5 K’s.

The Mariners have won back-to-back games and are 6-4 in their last 10 overall and 26-22 at home on the year. Monday’s loss ended a 3-game win streak for Minnesota, who is also 6-4 in its last 10 contests and 22-25 on the road this season.

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Twins at Mariners projected starters

RHP Bailey Ober vs. RHP Bryan Woo

Ober (5-4, 2.61 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 82 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 3-1 home loss on July 7 vs. the Baltimore Orioles
  • Career vs. Seattle: 1-0, 4.00 ERA (9 IP, 4 ER), 5 H, 2 BB, 10 K through 2 starts

Woo (1-1, 3.63 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 through 34 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 3-2 road loss on July 8 vs. the Houston Astros
  • First career start vs. Minnesota

Twins at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:53 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Mariners -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-210) | Mariners -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Twins at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Mariners 4

Moneyline

LEAN TWINS (+100).

The Twins and M’s have split their last 10 meetings and both teams are 6-4 in their last 10 games overall. I like the Twins here as this is Woo’s first start vs. Minnesota and the Twins are 2-0 in Ober’s 2 starts vs. Seattle.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’m confident that the Twins +1.5 (-210) will cover here as 3 of Seattle’s last 4 wins in this series were of the 1-run variety. However, the line is not worth the juice, so bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-110).

The Over is 5-0 in Minnesota’s last 5 overall and 7-2-1 in its last 10. The Over is also 2-0 in each of Ober’s 2 career starts vs. Seattle.

The Over is 3-2 in Woo’s last 5 starts.

This is only a lean because the Under has been slightly safer in recent Minnesota-Seattle matchups and has cashed more frequently in Seattle’s last 10 overall.

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Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (48-46) and Seattle Mariners (46-46) meet Monday to kick off a 4-game series. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is set for 9:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Twins won 4 of 7 games in 2022

Minnesota won 5-4 as -176 road favorites Sunday to complete a 3-game sweep of the Oakland Athletics. The Twins are 8-4 in their last 12 games and have opened a 2 1/2-game lead in the AL Central. They are 22-24 on the road.

Seattle won 2-0 as -155 home favorites on Sunday to avoid being swept by the Detroit Tigers, losing the series 2-1. The Mariners are also 8-4 in their last 12 games and are 25-22 at home.

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Twins at Mariners projected starters

RHP Sonny Gray vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Gray (4-3, 2.89 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 99 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 6-2 home loss July 8 vs. the Baltimore Orioles
  • Career vs. Seattle: 5-3, 2.73 ERA (89 IP, 27 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 14 starts

Gilbert (7-5, 3.66 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 108 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 3-1 road win Sunday vs. the Houston Astros
  • Career vs. Minnesota: 1-0, 0.82 ERA (11 IP, 1 ER), 7 H, 2 BB, 13 K in 2 starts

Twins at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Mariners -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-190) | Mariners -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -125 | U: +105)

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Twins at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 3, Twins 2

Moneyline

LEAN MARINERS (-135).

These teams are very evenly matched, but the Mariners have the minor advantage in a few areas. Seattle is a slightly better home team than the Twins are as an away team. It also has the advantage in the pitching matchup. Seattle is 3-2 in Gilbert’s last 5 starts and 2-0 in his last 2 starts vs. Minnesota. Meanwhile Minnesota is 1-4 in Gray’s last 5 starts and 1-2 in his last 3 starts vs. Seattle.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’m not too confident on either team for this bet but if I had to choose I would lean toward the Twins to cover, however at +1.5 (-190) they are far too heavy of a favorite to risk betting on.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 7 (+105).

The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings and is 7-3 in the last 10 matchups. The Under is also 7-3 in Seattle’s last 10 overall, 3-1-1 in Gilbert’s last 5 starts, and 2-0 in Gilbert’s starts vs. Minnesota.

The Under is 3-1-1 in Gray’s last 5 starts and 2-0-1 in his last 3 starts vs. Seattle.

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Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (35-27) head to T-Mobile Park Monday to begin a 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners (27-33) with first pitch at 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Minnesota is 5-5 straight up (SU) in the last 10 games, which includes a 2-1 home series win vs. the Tampa Bay Rays last weekend.

Seattle lost the rubber match of a 3-game home set with the Boston Red Sox Sunday, but is 6-4 SU in the last 10.

Season series: Tied 2-2, but the Twins have a plus-8 run differential.

Twins at Mariners projected starters

RHP Chris Archer vs. RHP Chris Flexen  

Archer is 1-2 with a 3.65 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 44 1/3 IP over 11 starts.

  • Last start: Won 8-1 Wednesday at home vs. the New York Yankees with 5 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 4 BB and 2 K.

Flexen is 2-7 with a 4.35 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 62 IP over 11 starts.

  • Last start: Lost 4-1 Tuesday at the Houston Astros with 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB and 2 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Twins: One start, a 4-0 loss in Minnesota April 11 with 4 1/3 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 3 BB and 3 K.

Twins at Mariners odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:18 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Twins -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Mariners -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+155) | Mariners +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Twins at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 7, Mariners 4

Money line

BET a half-unit the TWINS (-108).

Despite Minnesota being 1st in the AL Central and Seattle being 4th in the AL West, there isn’t much of a difference between these 2 teams so this is a sharp number.

However, the Twins are 7-4 SU as road underdogs and slightly better than the Mariners (-112) in the 3 most important phases of the game (starting and relief pitching and hitting).

More importantly, Minnesota’s ML is being moved by sharp action. Seattle opened as -115 favorites (per Pregame.com) and nearly 60% of the bets placed at Tipico Sportsbook are on the Mariners.

But, a slight majority of the money is on the Twins and the oddsmakers have reacted by lowering Seattle’s ML from the opener. These betting splits indicate the professionals are betting on the Twins while the public is on the Mariners.

BET the TWINS (-108).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Two of the Twins-Mariners meetings this season have been decided by 1 run, Minnesota is just 6-11 RL as road favorites while Seattle is 8-2 RL as home underdogs. The Twins’ RL would need to be north of +170 to take a stab.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-115).

Both starters are bottom-of-the-rotation guys who grade poorly across several advanced pitching metrics and both lineups are top seven in wRC+ (per FanGraphs).

Also, Twins-Mariners are 4-1 O/U in their last 5 meetings in Seattle and T-Mobile Park is surprisingly more hitter-friendly this year, ranking 11th in park factor.

My hesitation with the OVER 8.5 (-115) is it almost feels too easy and the Mariners are 3-8 O/U in Flexen’s 11 starts.

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Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (26-40) and Seattle Mariners (33-35) play the second of a three-game set Tuesday at 10:10 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP J.A. Happ is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 3-2 with a 5.75 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 6.2 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 56 1/3 IP over 11 starts.

Happ has allowed four or more runs in each of his two June starts and five of his past six outings overall. This will be his appearance against the Mariners since Aug. 26, 2019, when he was a member of the New York Yankees.

RHP Chris Flexen is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He is 5-3 with a 4.68 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 and 1.8 BB/9 in 59 2/3 IP over 11 starts.

Flexen has lasted at least six innings in each of his past three starts, but he is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in two starts in June. While he has been eating innings, he hasn’t been terribly consistent this season.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Twins at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Twins -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Twins -1.5 (+140) | Mariners +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Mariners 5, Twins 3

Money line (ML)

MARINERS (-105) is the lean here as short ‘dogs at home. Happ has been getting crushed lately, and while Flexen has been a little erratic, he is an innings eater who keeps the bullpen fresh. The Twins (-115) are likely to need their bullpen sooner rather than later, and they rank 27th in the majors with a 4.97 bullpen ERA. Advantage Seattle.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The MARINERS +1.5 (-165) are a decent value at home if you want a little bit of insurance. Seattle isn’t terribly expensive as they look for a second straight win in the series after taking the opener 4-3 as home ‘dogs Monday.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 8.5 (-115) is the lean. While Happ and Flexen have been coughing up plenty of runs overall, Flexen has been somewhat respectable at home. He has a 2.67 ERA in 33 2/3 innings at home vs. a 7.27 ERA in 26 innings on the road.

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Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (32-35) host the Minnesota Twins (26-39) Monday for the first of a three-game series in T-Mobile Park with a 10:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Minnesota was clobbered 14-3 Sunday in the rubber match of a three-game series with the Houston Astros. The Twins are just 4-6 in their last 10 games and haven’t won a series since May 24-26 vs. the Baltimore Orioles.

Seattle prevented a three-game sweep at the hands of the Cleveland Indians, and snapped a three-game losing skid, with a 6-2 win Sunday. The Mariners are also 4-6 in their last 10 games.

Season series: Mariners lead 2-1.

RHP Kenta Maeda is the projected starter for the Twins. Maeda is 2-2 with a 5.27 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.48 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 across 9 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 6 K in Minnesota’s 5-3 loss at the Cleveland Indians on May 22.
  • No career appearances against the Mariners.

LHP Marco Gonzales makes his eighth start for the Mariners. Gonzales is 1-4 with a 5.45 ERA (36 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5-3, with 4 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 2 K at the Detroit Tigers Tuesday.
  • Gonzales got drilled in a loss to the Twins on April 8 with a stat line of 4 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 9 H, 2 BB and 6 K in Seattle’s 10-2 loss in Minnesota.
  • vs. Twins on the current roster: 66 at-bats with a .394/.423/.561 slash line, 11/3 K/BB, 2 HR and 10 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Twins at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:27 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Twins -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Mariners +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Twins -1.5 (+115) | Mariners +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Mariners 9, Twins 5

Money line (ML)

GIMME the MARINERS (+120) for 1 unit because the Twins are being priced like they are the same team from the past two seasons when in reality Minnesota is worse in all phases of the game.

Maeda has just been activated off of the 10-day IL and the Twins are hoping he’s finally right because his 2021 numbers have fallen off a cliff.

For instance, Maeda has gone from the 88th percentile or better to the 27th percentile or worse in the following advanced pitching metrics: K%, hard-hit rate, exit velocity, expected opponent’s wOBA and expected ERA.

Also, Minnesota’s bullpen went from the third-highest WAR in 2020 to the 24th-ranked WAR thus far in 2021.

These sharp declines in pitching numbers for both Maeda and Minnesota’s bullpen are the reason why the Twins are just 2-7 in Maeda’s nine starts this season and why I’m more fading Minnesota than BETTING the  MARINERS (+120).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the MARINERS -1.5 (+165) for a quarter unit because of the aforementioned rationale and Minnesota’s last five losses have all been by at least two runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 8 (-110) for a half unit because Gonzales is a fringe rotation guy, and Maeda is in the midst of a career-worst season with the Twins going Over the total in seven of his nine starts.

Furthermore, more than 95% of the money at the time of writing is on the Under (according to Pregame.com) and my instinct is to fade such a lopsided sports betting market.

That being said, I’d imagine the big bucks being wagered on the Under is “sharp” money considering who’s betting the Under in a Twins-Mariners Monday game with two NBA playoff games also on the sports calendar.

For that reason, I can only “LEAN” to the OVER 8 (-110).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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