Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (48-46) and Seattle Mariners (46-46) meet Monday to kick off a 4-game series. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is set for 9:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Twins won 4 of 7 games in 2022

Minnesota won 5-4 as -176 road favorites Sunday to complete a 3-game sweep of the Oakland Athletics. The Twins are 8-4 in their last 12 games and have opened a 2 1/2-game lead in the AL Central. They are 22-24 on the road.

Seattle won 2-0 as -155 home favorites on Sunday to avoid being swept by the Detroit Tigers, losing the series 2-1. The Mariners are also 8-4 in their last 12 games and are 25-22 at home.

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Twins at Mariners projected starters

RHP Sonny Gray vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Gray (4-3, 2.89 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 99 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 6-2 home loss July 8 vs. the Baltimore Orioles
  • Career vs. Seattle: 5-3, 2.73 ERA (89 IP, 27 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 14 starts

Gilbert (7-5, 3.66 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 108 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 3-1 road win Sunday vs. the Houston Astros
  • Career vs. Minnesota: 1-0, 0.82 ERA (11 IP, 1 ER), 7 H, 2 BB, 13 K in 2 starts

Twins at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Mariners -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-190) | Mariners -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -125 | U: +105)

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Twins at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 3, Twins 2

Moneyline

LEAN MARINERS (-135).

These teams are very evenly matched, but the Mariners have the minor advantage in a few areas. Seattle is a slightly better home team than the Twins are as an away team. It also has the advantage in the pitching matchup. Seattle is 3-2 in Gilbert’s last 5 starts and 2-0 in his last 2 starts vs. Minnesota. Meanwhile Minnesota is 1-4 in Gray’s last 5 starts and 1-2 in his last 3 starts vs. Seattle.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’m not too confident on either team for this bet but if I had to choose I would lean toward the Twins to cover, however at +1.5 (-190) they are far too heavy of a favorite to risk betting on.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 7 (+105).

The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings and is 7-3 in the last 10 matchups. The Under is also 7-3 in Seattle’s last 10 overall, 3-1-1 in Gilbert’s last 5 starts, and 2-0 in Gilbert’s starts vs. Minnesota.

The Under is 3-1-1 in Gray’s last 5 starts and 2-0-1 in his last 3 starts vs. Seattle.

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