The Pittsburgh Penguins (10-7-2) entertain the Toronto Maple Leafs (9-8-4) at PPG Paints Arena Saturday at 7 p.m. ET. We analyze the Maple Leafs-Penguins odds and lines, while providing NHL betting tips around this matchup.
Maple Leafs at Penguins: Projected starting goalies
Kasimir Kaskisuo vs. Tristan Jarry
Kaskisuo is confirmed to get the start Saturday in Pittsburgh. This is his NHL debut for Toronto. He has a 6-1-1 record for Toronto with a 2.13 goals against average and .928 save percentage for the Toronto Marlies of the AHL.
Jarry is expected to start for the Penguins. He is 1-3 with a 2.26 GAA and .929 SV%. Jarry took the loss (two goals on 14 shots) in his last appearance after Matt Murray got a quick hook in Boston. He has three quality starts in four outings.
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Maple Leafs at Penguins: Odds, picks and betting tips
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access them at USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Penguins 3, Maple Leafs 2
Moneyline (ML)
The PENGUINS (-115) are dealing with new line combinations due to injuries but defensively are playing better at home where they yield just 2.2 goals per game. Toronto may benefit from a little more defense being played which should keep them in this game.
It will be a somewhat slower-paced game at times because both teams played last night but Pittsburgh should squeeze out a win.
A $10 bet with Pittsburgh results in an $8.70 profit with a Penguins’ win.
Puck Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Both teams are notoriously bad against the spread this year. Toronto is 8-13 and Pittsburgh is 7-12. AVOID.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 6.5 (-139) is a reasonable play Saturday night. That 6.5 number is rather high given both teams were in high-event games Friday. Pittsburgh pushed play particularly hard in the third period and was nearly rewarded (over 30 shot attempts alone). The result should mean five or six goals combined perhaps.
Placing a $10 bet here will give a bettor a decent $7.19 profit with a total of six or more goals scored.
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