The Toronto Blue Jays (40-35) and the Miami Marlins (42-32) wrap up a 3-game interleague series Wednesday at loanDepot park. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: tied 1-1
The Blue Jays rebounded with a 2-0 victory behind LHP Yusei Kikuchi Tuesday after suffering an ugly 11-0 loss in the series opener Monday. It was an impressive outing considering Toronto pitchers had allowed 22 runs in the previous 2 contests.
The Marlins had their 5-game win streak snapped with the loss but they still have an impressive 17-6 record in the past 23 games dating back to May 26. That run has Miami sitting 10 games over .500 and 5 1/2 games back of the NL East-leading Atlanta Braves.
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Blue Jays at Marlins projected starters
RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Sandy Alcantara
Gausman (6-3, 3.01 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 across 92 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 2-1 road win vs. the Texas Rangers Friday
- 2023 road splits: 4-3, 3.45 ERA (44 1/3 IP, 17 ER) with a .244 opponent batting average (OBA) in 8 starts
Alcantara (2-5, 4.97 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 88 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 10 H, 0 BB, 1 K in a 6-5 road win vs. the Washington Nationals Friday
- 2023 home splits: 1-3, 4.63 ERA (46 2/3 IP, 24 ER) with a .213 OBA in 7 starts
Blue Jays at Marlins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 5:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Marlins +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+125) | Marlins +1.5 (-155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Blue Jays at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 5, Marlins 3
Moneyline
The BLUE JAYS (-135) are great plays as moderate favorites on the road in this series finale.
The Marlins may have been rolling along but Alcantara has not. The 2022 NL Cy Young Award winner has been knocked around for 24 earned runs in 46 2/3 IP over his 7 home starts.
Toronto has enjoyed interleague play, winning 13 of 19 games against the NL this season. It is tied for the 3rd-most interleague wins in the AL.
Run line/Against the spread
The BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+125) are worth a look on the moneyline — but go lightly.
Toronto is a risky play, as has failed to cover in 7 straight on the run line when favored.
Still, the Jays are 23-9 in the previous 32 tries against the NL East and are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague road games against a team with a winning record.
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Over/Under
Go lightly on the OVER 7.5 (-110) as well.
The Under has dominated for the Blue Jays recently, cashing in 5 of their last 7 games overall. However, the Over is 10-4 in the past 14 interleague road contests against teams with a winning overall record.
The Over has cashed in 4 of the Marlins’ past 5 games against the AL and is 5-2 in their past 7 tries against right-handed starting pitchers. The Over is also 9-4-1 in their previous 14 outings in Miami vs. RHP.
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