The Toronto Blue Jays (61-50) and Boston Red Sox (57-52) play Game 2 of their 3-game series in Beantown Saturday. First pitch from Fenway Park is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET (FOX Sports 1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Red Sox lead 7-1
The Blue Jays began a 7-game road trip in Boston Friday night with a 7-3 win over the Red Sox. That was their 1st victory over Boston in 8 games this season, but 4 have been 1-run games. Toronto is 31-26 away from Rogers Centre this season.
Friday’s defeat was Boston’s first to the Jays this year. Despite the dominant head-to-head record, they have only outscored Toronto 52-46 on the season. The Red Sox are 16-12 against AL East foes this season.
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Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP John Schreiber
Berrios (8-7, 3.31 ERA) will make his 23rd start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 130 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 3-2 home loss vs. Los Angeles Angels Sunday
- 2023 away splits: 4-3, 2.72 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 18 ER), .233 OBA in 10 starts
- 2023 vs. Red Sox: 0-1, 7.14 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 9 ER) in 2 starts – Most recent: No-decision, 6 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 5-0 home loss June 30
Schreiber (1-1, 3.74 ERA) will make his 2nd start and 23rd appearance. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 21 2/3 innings
- Last outing: 1 IP, 4 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 1 K vs. Mariners Wednesday; threw 35 pitches in the relief outing
- 2023 home splits: 1-0, 2.31 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 3 ER), .311 OBA in 13 appearances
Blue Jays at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Red Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-185) | Red Sox -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 6, Red Sox 4
Moneyline
BET BLUE JAYS (+105).
I really like the Blue Jays (+105) to win this game. I know Berrios hasn’t been great against the Red Sox this season, but he has only allowed a total of 2 earned runs in his last 2 road starts against the Dodgers and White Sox.
Toronto’s win Friday night should give them a confidence boost after starting the season 0-7 against the Red Sox.
Run line/Against the spread
AVOID.
I’m going to stay away from both run lines in this one. I hate the juice you are paying on the Blue Jays getting the run-and-a-half. I also don’t think the Red Sox will win by 2 because 4 of their games against the Blue Jays have been 1-run games.
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Over/Under
BET OVER 9.5 (-110).
In their 8 games this season against each other, they have gone Over this total in 6 of them. One of the two other games got to 9, so there is not exactly a lot of good pitching going on in these matchups.
Boston is 3rd in the MLB in runs scored per game at home at 5.59, and the Blue Jays score nearly 5 runs per game on the road (4.88).
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