Atlanta Braves at New York Mets odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Friday’s Atlanta Braves at New York Mets sports betting odds and lines, with MLB betting picks, tips and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves visit the New York Mets for the first game of an opening-season, three-game series at Citi Field Friday at 4:10 p.m. ET. We analyze the Braves-Mets MLB betting odds and lines, with betting advice and tips around the matchup.

Braves at Mets: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Mike Soroka vs. RHP Jacob deGrom

Soroka in 2019: 13-4, 2.68 ERA in 29 starts

  • 2019 vs. Mets: 2-0, 4.15 ERA (8 ER, 17 1/3 IP) in 3 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 4-0, 2.73 ER (9 ER, 29 2/3 IP) in 5 starts

DeGrom in 2019: 11-8, 2.43 ERA in 32 starts, won second of back-to-back National League Cy Young Awards

  • 2019 vs. Braves: 1-2, 3.08 ERA (9 ER, 26 1/3 IP) in 4 starts
  • Career vs. Braves: 7-7, 1.97 ERA (30 ER, 137 1/3 IP) in 21 starts

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Braves at Mets: Key injuries

(List of injuries around the league)

Braves

  • 1B Freddie Freeman (past positive COVID-19 test) probable
  • OF Nick Markakis (COVID concerns) out for season

Mets

  • RP Robert Gsellman (triceps) out
  • RP Drew Smith (elbow) out

Braves at Mets: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at Thursday at 11:20 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Braves 5, Mets 3

Moneyline (ML)

ATLANTA (+125) is the STRONGEST PLAY vs. New York (-139). The Braves did lose their last three games of the 2019 regular season at Citi Field, but they had the luxury of resting with an NL East title already clinched. On their previous NYC trip in late August – when games mattered – they swept the Mets in a three-game set. They even managed to win a game that deGrom struck out 13 and allowed just one run on four hits over seven innings.

It should be noted that the Mets own the majors’ best all-time Opening Day winning percentage (.655), have won their last three openers and are 38-12 in their last 50.

BUT deGrom is likely limited to an 85-pitch count due to back stiffness suffered near the end of camp. AND Soroka is a road warrior – he was 7-1 with a 1.55 ERA across 16 road starts last season. BET THE BRAVES!

New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on Atlanta will return a profit of $12.50 – or in other words, every $1 bet on Atlanta will profit $1.25 if it wins.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

AVOID. The Braves’ +1.5 (-189) is a bit steep, while the Mets’ -1.5 (+155) offers decent value, but again, we’re counting on an Atlanta W.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 7 (-110) is worth a small wager. Offenses should be ahead of pitching early in the start of this new shortened season. Plus, NL teams will have the benefit of designated hitters in their lineups this year. If the O/U climbs to 7.5 or higher though, take a PASS.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Johnny’s 2020 record before shutdown: 34-24-1. Strongest plays: 20-10.

Johnny’s 2019 MLB record: 167-147-2. September: 41-26-1.

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter and follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook.

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