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The Atlanta Braves (42-32) and New York Yankees (52-27) meet Sunday as they wrap up a 3-game interleague set in the Bronx. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
Atlanta won Friday’s opener 8-1 and then dropped Saturday’s game 8-3. The Braves, 7-2 since June 13, were undone by 5 extra-base hits and 8 walks in Saturday’s setback.
The Yankees snapped a 3-game losing streak with Saturday’s triumph. New York allowed 32 runs in its 3-game skid.
Braves at Yankees projected starters
LHP Max Fried vs. LHP Nestor Cortes
Fried (6-3, 3.11 ERA) is tabbed for his 15th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 84 IP.
- Last outing: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 2-1 win vs. Detroit Tigers Monday
- Career vs. Yankees: 2-0, 2.25 ERA (12 IP, 3 ER), 12 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 2 starts
- Had a rough April, but owns a 2.56 ERA on a tidy .538 OPS allowed since May 5
Cortes (4-5, 3.36 ERA) is making his 17th start. He has logged a 1.10 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 93 2/3 IP.
- Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-2 win vs. Baltimore Orioles Tuesday
- First time facing Braves
- Threw a season-high 105 pitches in Tuesday’s turn against Baltimore
- Has a 2.39 ERA, 0.89 WHIP at Yankee Stadium since 2022
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Braves at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:23 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Braves -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Yankees -105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+140) | Yankees +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Braves at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 5, Yankees 4
Moneyline
New York has faltered in 3 straight series finales.
The mound matchup between port-siders is one of quality, but figure an advantage on what will be another warm day in the Bronx. Fried is more adept at getting ground balls, while Cortes yields a lot of aerial action.
Cortes coming off 105 pitches in his last is not ideal; he has not fared too well in previous next-time-outs after higher counts. He’s backed by the lesser of the 2 bullpens. Fried is a fine road pitcher and is more likely than to deliver the game into the 7th inning or beyond.
The tag here should slow our roll a bit, though. FanDuel Sportsbook offers the BRAVES (-112). At that price, Atlanta is worth a partial-unit play.
Run line/Against the spread
Worth a line watch if things start to tilt more toward the home nine. Atlanta minus a cushion at +150 for a return would be enticing. PASS otherwise.
Over/Under
Yankees pitching has had some rough moments this week, and the Over is 6-1 in New York’s last 7 games. Even with the solid pitching matchup in this series ender, the Over is a lean. But with the line change from 8.5 to 9, best to PASS.
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