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Detroit Tigers at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Detroit Tigers at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (12-10) and Tampa Bay Rays (12-11) open a 3-game series at Tropicana Field Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Rays won 5-1 last year

Detroit is coming off a 2-1 road series win after taking down the Minnesota Twins 6-1 Sunday and cashing as a +110 underdog. LF Riley Greene scored 3 runs, while 2B Buddy Kennedy had a home run and 3 RBIs. RHP Casey Mize pitched 6 scoreless innings to pick up the win.

Tampa Bay is coming off a 2-1 road series loss against the New York Yankees after falling 5-4 Sunday and failing to cash as a +116 underdog. A 3-run 8th inning fell just short of the comeback. RF Amed Rosario scored 2 runs and had 2 RBIs, while RHP Aaron Civale allowed 5 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings to pick up the loss.

Tigers at Rays projected starters

LHP Tarik Skubal vs. RHP Zack Littell

Skubal (2-0, 2.28 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.80 WHIP, 1.90 BB/9 and 9.89 K/9 in 23 2/3 innings.

  • Tigers are 3-1 in his starts
  • Has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 3 of 4 starts
  • Has struck out 26 batters this season while walking just 5; he’s projected to set a career-high in K’s at this pace

Littell (1-0, 2.14 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.14 BB/9 and 9.43 K/9 in 21 innings.

  • Rays are 2-2 in his starts
  • Has allowed 3 or fewer runs in each appearance and 1 or fewer in 3 of the 4
  • Has struck out 22 batters and walked just 4 this year
  • Has allowed just 1 home run on the season (against Los Angeles Angels CF Mike Trout)

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Tigers at Rays nickname odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Rays -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers -1.5 (+150) | Rays +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Tigers at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 5, Rays 4

Moneyline

BET TIGERS (-115).

The Tigers are coming off a road series win in Minnesota and have had hot bats recently. They have scored 5 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games while giving up 4 or fewer in each of their last 3.

Skubal has had a hot start to the season and will look to continue that dominance Monday against a Rays team that is 3-3 in its last 6 home games.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Both pitchers in this game can retire opposing offenses in stunning fashion with both striking out more than 22 batters and walking 5 or fewer in each of their 1st 4 starts. As a result, expect this game to stay close with the value on the spread becoming minimal.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-110).

While this game features 2 pitchers who have started the season off hot, 7.5 is too low of a total to be comfortable with.

Detroit has scored 5 or more runs in 3 of its last 4 games and 4 or more in 7 of its last 10.

Tampa Bay has scored 4 or more runs in 4 of its last 8 games and allowed 4 or more in 7 of its last 9.

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Detroit Tigers at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Detroit Tigers at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Detroit Tigers and Tampa Bay Rays meet Thursday for Opening Day. First pitch at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg is scheduled for 3:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023. Rays won the season series 5-2 in 2022.

The Tigers were just so-so in Grapefruit League play during the spring, going 14-16. Spring might have been the most exciting time for Tigers fans, as the books strongly feeling Detroit won’t qualify for the postseason, with odds at +1100 to get into the playoffs.

Young Tigers 1B Spencer Torkelson is expected to be in the middle of the team’s order, behind SS Javier Baez and OF Austin Meadows in the order, but before, and after, that, Detroit fans likely can excuse themselves for a hot dog and beer and not miss much action.

The Rays won 86 games last season, but were eliminated in the wild-card round by the Cleveland Guardians. Tampa Bay has a much brighter outlook, as far as the books are concerned, with -190 odds to make the playoffs, and +1000 odds to win the American League and go to the World Series.

Tampa Bay looks to get off to a hot start against Detroit, a team it went 5-2 against last season, including 2-1 in a 3-game set at Tropicana Field May 16-18.

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Tigers at Rays projected starters

LHP Eduardo Rodriguez vs. LHP Shane McClanahan

Rodriguez (5-5, 4.05 ERA) posted a 1.33 WHIP, 3.36 BB/9 and 7.12 K/9 across 91 IP in 17 starts in 2022, his 1st season with the Tigers.

  • Tore it up in spring, going 1-0 with a 1.47 ERA and 1.25 WHIP and 21 Ks in 18 1/3 IP across 5 starts
  • Was pounded for 3 ER, 4 H and 2 B while retiring just 1 batter in a loss in St. Petersburg on May 18 in his only ’22 start vs. TB

McClanahan (12-8, 2.54 ERA) posted an 0.93 WHIP, 2.06 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 across 166 1/3 IP in 28 starts in 2022, his 2nd full season in the majors.

  • Sparkled in Grapefruit League spring play, going 1-0 with a 0.93 ERA across 9 2/3 IP with 10 K and a 0.72 WHIP in 3 starts
  • Went 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA and .204 opponent batting average (OBA), walking 0 batters and striking out 10 across 13 1/3 IP in 2022 vs. Detroit
  • Was 9-5 with a 2.81 ERA, .209 OBA ad 127 K in 105 2/3 IP in 18 home starts in ’22

Tigers at Rays odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:09 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Rays -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-125) | Rays -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -122 | U: +101)

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Tigers at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Tigers 1

Moneyline

The Rays (-230) will cost you nearly 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s quite costly, even with their ace on the hill against a team expected to be among the worst in the majors.

The Tigers (+195) should get a decent pitching effort from the southpaw E-Rod, so it’s best to PASS, and look to the run line instead.

Run line/Against the spread

The RAYS -1.5 (+105) is a better value play. Rodriguez will make it hard on the Tampa bats, but the Tigers +1.5 (-125) will also struggle to cobble together much offense against McClanahan. The Tigers were dead-last in 2022 with 557 runs scored, and they didn’t make any notable moves to improve the offense.

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Over/Under

UNDER 6.5 (+101) is a rather low number, but expect good pitching on both sides from the southpaw starters.

Both Rodriguez and McClanahan threw up a lot of donuts in spring training, and we usually see pitching ahead of the hitting during the early going of the season.

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Detroit Tigers at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Detroit Tigers at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (70-76) and Tampa Bay Rays (90-56) open a four-game set Thursday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Tigers vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Tigers LHP Tyler Alexander (2-2, 4.09 ERA) makes his 12th start and 38th appearance. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 83 2/3 IP.

  • Is 1-1 with a 3.68 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 7.4 K/9 through 44 IP across 11 starts.
  • Allowed 1 earned run on 5 hits and 2 walks with 4 strikeouts over 4 1/3 innings in a start against Tampa Bay Friday.

Rays RHP Louis Head (1-0, 2.67 ERA) makes his second start and 24th appearance. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 30 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 2 earned runs on 3 hits with 3 strikeouts over 1 inning in his Aug. 18 start against the Baltimore Orioles.
  • Has not pitched more than 2 innings in any appearance this season and will likely serve as an opener for a bullpen day.

Tigers at Rays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:35 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Rays -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (-117) | Rays -1.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Prediction

Rays 5, Tigers 4

Money line (ML)

Detroit heads into Thursday’s action off of a two-game interleague sweep of the visiting Milwaukee Brewers. The Tigers won four of their last five games – including two of three over the Rays in Detroit last weekend.

Tampa Bay returns home after a nine-game road trip that resulted in a 4-5 record.

A return to Tropicana Field is likely exactly what the road-weary Rays need. They boast the American League’s second-best home record, along with the league’s largest average margin of victory when at home.

The odds are too steep, however, to take Tampa Bay at more than two times your potential return. PASS on the money line.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Detroit will have ample opportunity to keep Thursday’s game close as it faces a slew of Tampa Bay relievers.

While the Rays have graded out as a top bullpen over the season, they’ve been quite average of late. The Rays are 13th in xFIP and K-BB% and 14th in SIERA over the last two weeks.

LHP Dietrich Enns is anticipated to eat the bulk of the innings for Tampa Bay but has yet to pitch more than 4 innings in any of his six appearances this season.

The Tigers actually took advantage of this relief corps to the tune of 16 runs over three games just last week. I am not anticipating a repeat of that necessarily, particularly with Enns eating the bulk of the innings, but the chances should be there for Detroit to hang around.

A slight “lean” to DETROIT +1.5 (-117).

Over/Under (O/U)

The Rays will be looking to get back on track after a rough ending to their road trip and they get to see Alexander for the second time in a week. Detroit’s bullpen grades out worse than Tampa Bay’s in recent weeks and would be a welcome sight for the Rays.

The Tigers should get another go-round with a relief corps they beat up just last week, despite Enns anticipated to pitch the bulk of the game.

It may not be a high-flying affair but there should be enough offense to push this OVER 8.5 (-108).

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