The Philadelphia Phillies (29-32) will go for the series sweep on Wednesday when they host the Detroit Tigers (26-33) in the 3rd game of the set. First pitch will be at 6:05 p.m. ET from Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Phillies lead 2-0 and have outscored the Tigers 9-3
The Tigers are in the midst of a dreadful stretch right now, losing 5 straight and 7 of their last 8. Although they were swept by the Chicago White Sox before dropping the 1st 2 games to the Phillies, Detroit is still just 4 games back of the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central. The Tigers rank last in runs scored with 210.
After a 5-game losing streak, the Phillies have bounced back to win 4 straight, taking 2 from the Washington Nationals before winning the 1st 2 of this series (8-3 and 1-0). They’re 4th in the NL East, 7.5 games back of the Atlanta Braves.
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Detroit Tigers at Philadelphia Phillies projected starters
RHP Reese Olson vs. RHP Zack Wheeler
Olson (0-1, 3.60 ERA) makes his 2nd career start. He has a 0.60 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 5 innings.
- The 23-year-old lost his MLB debut Friday in 3-0 loss against the White Sox
- Went 5 IP, 2 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 6 K, throwing 89 pitches in the loss
Wheeler (4-4, 4.33 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 68 2/3 innings.
- Was roughed up in last start Friday at Washington Nationals: 3 2/3 IP, 8 H, 7 ER, 1 BB, 3 K, no-decision
- In his previous start, he pitched 8 shutout innings and struck out a season-high 12 batters at Atlanta May 27
Tigers at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Tigers +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Phillies -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (+105) | Phillies -1.5 (-125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Tigers at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 4, Tigers 2
Moneyline
The Tigers are leaning on a rookie to be their stopper, which is a tough proposition against a hot Phillies team. Detroit has been abysmal at the plate, scoring no more than 3 runs in any of their last 6 games.
The Phillies are heavily favored in this one and I don’t love the idea of betting on them at -210, especially with the inconsistent Wheeler on the mound. I would LEAN toward the Phillies but would rather PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
In their last 9 games, the Tigers are just 3-6 against the spread, winning a total of 2 of those games outright. The Phillies have covered the spread in 3 of their last 4 wins, outscoring their opponents 24-8 in that span.
BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-125) to win by at least 2 runs Wednesday at home where they’re 16-10 on the season.
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Over/Under
The total is set on the lower side at just 7.5, lower than any of the last 10 games for either of these teams. Wheeler is capable of dazzling like he did 2 starts ago, and Olson showed promise in his MLB debut.
With as poorly as the Tigers have hit the ball, I like the UNDER 7.5 (-105) in this matchup. The total has gone Under in 5 of the Tigers’ last 6 games and in 6 of the Phillies’ last 10.
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