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ALDS Game 5: Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians meet Saturday to wrap up their best-of-5 ALDS and determine who will move on to face the New York Yankees in the ALCS. Saturday’s 1st pitch at Progressive Field is slated for 1:08 p.m. ET  (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Series: Tied 2-2 | Regular-season series: Cleveland won 7-6

Detroit took Games 2 and 3 of this series, but Cleveland forced this Game 5 with a 5-4 victory Thursday in Detroit. The Tigers are looking to avoid losing back to bac games for just the 2nd time since Sept. 5. Detroit’s late-season surge and early playoff run has included 15 wins in the club’s last 20 road games.

Cleveland is 1-3 over its last 4 home games, but that stands as more of an anomaly when viewed against the Guardian’s 50-30 regular-season mark at Progressive Field. Cleveland has slashed a mere .214/.270/.336 (.605 OPS) in this series and owns a lackluster .660 OPS since Sept. 4.

Tigers at Guardians projected starters

LHP Tarik Skubal vs. LHP Matthew Boyd

Skubal (18-4, 2.39 ERA) made 31 starts in the regular season. He authored a 0.92 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 across 192 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 3-0 win at Guardians Monday
  • Career vs. Guardians (regular season): 2-2, 3.46 ERA (41 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 K
  • Per ESPN, has held current Cleveland batters to an aggregate .564 OPS
  • Has pitched 13 scoreless innings in the 2024 postseason; dating back to Sept. 12, has allowed 2 runs over his last 31 innings

Boyd (2-2, 2.72 ERA) made 8 starts in the regular season. He logged a 1.13 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 39 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 3-0 home loss vs. Tigers Monday
  • Career vs. Tigers (regular season): 0-0, 0.00 ERA (4 IP), 0 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 2 relief outings in 2022
  • Pitched for the Tigers from 2015-23
  • Began season on IL with elbow injury before making his Cleveland debut Aug. 13

Tigers at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Friday at 9:15 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Tigers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Guardians +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers -1.5 (+155) | Guardians +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 5, Guardians 2

Moneyline

Skubal is the talent difference in this matchup. And while Boyd-plus-Cleveland bullpen is not a bad counter, the Detroit port-sider has the stamina, stuff, and competitiveness to carry a large part of this eventual result.

The lefty-lefty matchup is a net gain for Cleveland: Detroit has a bottom-5 offense against southpaws. But the Bengals are going just slightly better with the bats. That hasn’t always popped in this ALDS that has seen them go 4-for-34 with runners in scoring position. But the Tigers are doing what they need to do to create traffic on the bases.

The margin here is razor-thin, but DETROIT (-120) is the value side of this contest.

Run line/Against the spread

More juice is added to the equation here, and the betting value is negated. PASS.

Over/Under

The run total here is ultra-low because of the particulars on the mound, including a lockdown Guardians relief corps. But there are enough hidden scoring upside factors that the Over is a lean.

Much will be made about both starting hurlers going on 4-days’ rest. Yes, their numbers take a slight hit when looking at career splits, but in Skubal’s case, he has pitched frequently on such rest in 2024 and his 2023-24 numbers on short rest show marked improvement over his earlier years.

Where a little offense comes into the equation would be in Cleveland potentially seeing Skubal a 3rd time through the order. The Guardians have exhibited a better-than-average uptick in those situations. Add in both teams hitting change-ups with decent production (both starters usually feature a lot of changes) and the Tigers having improved numbers against fly-ball pitchers (which Boyd is), and there are enough reasons to tilt this one toward the OVER 6 (-105).

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ALDS Game 2: Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians meet in Game 2 of their best-of-5 ALDS Monday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:08 p.m. ET (TBS/truTV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoffs series: Guardians lead 1-0; Guardians won regular-season series 7-6

Cleveland took the opener 7-0 Saturday, cashing as a -128 favorite as the O/U (7) pushed.

The Guardians erupted for 5 runs in the bottom of the 1st inning to chase opener RHP Tyler Holton, who allowed 4 runs and failed to record an out before getting pulled after 4 batters. RHP Reese Olson relieved and allowed just 1 run (1 HR) on 3 hits and a walk with 4 K’s in 5 innings, but the damage was done. It didn’t help that the Tigers offense only had 4 hits.

Cleveland CF Lane Thomas’ 3-run HR off Olson was the big blow. DH David Fry added 2 RBIs and 1B Josh Naylor had an RBI as the Guardians collected 4 extra-base hits and 2 steals. RHP Tanner Bibee (4 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K) and 4 relievers combined on the 4-hit shutout.

The Guardians turn to LHP Matthew Boyd for Game 2. He spent 7+ seasons with the Tigers from 2015-21, and again in 2023.

Tigers at Guardians projected starters

LHP Tarik Skubal vs. LHP Matthew Boyd

Skubal (18-4, 2.39 ERA) made 31 regular-season starts. He had a 0.92 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 192 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 3-1 win at Astros in Game 1 of AL Wild Card Series Tuesday in 1st career postseason appearance
  • 2024 road splits (regular season): 8-3, 2.86 ERA (88 IP, 28 ER), 8 HR, 1.03 WHIP, .234 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 11.5 K/9 in 15 starts
  • Career vs. Guardians: 2-2, 3.46 ERA (41 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.20 WHP, 9.5 K/9 in 8 starts
  • 2024 vs. Guardians: 1 start, win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 8-2 road victory July 22

Boyd (2-2, 2.72 ERA) made 8 regular-season starts. He had a 1.13 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 39 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 2 ER, 4 H (1 HR), 3 BB, 6 K in 6-5 setback at St. Louis Cardinals Sept. 21
  • 2024 home splits: 1-1, 2.25 ERA (20 IP, 5 ER), 0.95 WHIP, .206 OBA, 4 BB, 23 K in 4 starts
  • Career vs. Tigers: 0-0, 0.00 (4 IP, 0 ER), 0 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 2 relief appearances in 2022 with Seattle Mariners
  • Career postseason: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (1/3 IP), 1 H, 1 BB, 0 K in 1 relief appearance for Mariners vs. Houston Astros Oct. 15, 2022

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Tigers at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:29 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Guardians +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers -1.5 (+150) | Guardians +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 4, Guardians 2

Moneyline

The TIGERS (-130) are a strong play behind their southpaw ace in Game 2 as they look to even the series.

Skubal was tremendous in Game 1 in Houston in the Wild Card Series, introducing himself to the casual fan with authority. He won his only start against the Guardians in Cleveland back in late July.

Boyd isn’t on the same plane as Skubal and Detroit should be able to level things up before the series shifts to the Motor City for Game 3 Wednesday.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more adventurous, feel free to take a shot on Detroit -1.5 (+150) … just don’t bet more than 1½ units between the moneyline and the spread.

The Guardians routed the Tigers in the series opener, but the pitching scales are tipped in favor of Detroit in Game 2.

Over/Under

PASS.

I’d be willing to make a wager if the O/U line climbs to 6.5. This line is low mostly because of Skubal. Don’t expect the Guardians offense to get off to a quick start like it did Saturday in Game 1.

The Under cashed in both games for Detroit in the Wild Card Series in Houston behind a 3-1 win with Skubal in the opener with an O/U line of 6.5, and a 5-2 victory in Game 2 with an O/U line of 7.5.

Cleveland cashed Unders at a 20-3-3 pace in its final 26 regular-season games, and 12-1-2 in the final 15 contests at Progressive Field.

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ALDS Game 1: Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians meet in Game 1 of their best-of-5 ALDS Saturday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:08 p.m. ET (TBS/truTV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Regular-season series: Guardians won 7-6

This is the 1st time the Tigers and Guardians have met in the postseason.

The Tigers picked up a pair of road victories to sweep the Houston Astros in an AL Wild Card Series. The Tigers won 3-1 as slight underdogs (+128) Tuesday in Game 1 behind SP Tarik Skubal in his postseason debut, and they completed the sweep with a 5-2 win Wednesday in Game 2 as moderate underdogs (+155). The Under — 6.5 and 7.5, respectively cashed in both games.

The last time these teams met at Progressive Field, they teams split a 4-game series in July with the favorite cashing in 3 of those 4 outings. The Over-Under also split 2-2. The favorite is 5-2 in 7 meetings this season in Cleveland, with the Over holding a slight 4-3 edge.

Despite losing the season series, Detroit outscored Cleveland 60-50 in the 13 games as 5 of the Guardians’ 7 wins were only by 1 run.

The AL Central Division champion Guardians, the No. 2 seed in the AL playoffs, went 7-3 in the final 10 home games in the regular season, while the Under cashed in the final 5 outings at Progressive Field. The Under went 20-3-3 in the final 26 regular-season games for Cleveland, too. However, the Guardians haven’t played since last Sunday.

Tigers at Guardians projected starters

LHP Tyler Holton vs. RHP Tanner Bibee

Holton (7-2, 2.19 ERA, 8 saves) made 9 regular-season starts and 57 relief appearances. He had a 0.78 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 94 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 1 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 5-2 win at Astros in Game 2 of AL Wild Card Game Series Wednesday
  • 2024 road splits (regular season): 3-2, 1.54 ERA (52 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 3 HR, 0.65 WHIP, .158 OBA, 7.9 K/9 30 relief appearances (6 starts)
  • Last 7 games: 1-1, 2.07 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 0.46 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 in 4 relief appearances, 3 starts
  • Career vs. Guardians: 2-0, 0.93 (19 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 13 H, 3 BB, 13 K in 12 appearances (3 starts)
  • 2024 vs. Guardians: 2-0, 0.00 ERA (12 1/3 IP), 8 H, 1 BB in 6 games (3 starts)
  • Career postseason: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (1 1/3 IP), 0 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 1 start, 1 relief appearance — both last week vs. Astros

Bibee (12-8, 3.47 ERA) made 31 regular-season starts. He had a 1.12 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 173 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 6-1 home victory vs. Cincinnati Reds Sept. 24
  • 2024 home splits: 5-4, 4.15 ERA (89 IP, 41 ER), 11 HR, 1.18 WHIP, .243 OBA, 10.0 K/9 in 16 starts
  • Last 7 games: 2-3, 3.92 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 9.4 K/9
  • Career vs. Tigers: 1-3, 5.28 (30 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 3 HR, 7.9 K/9 in 6 starts
  • 2024 vs. Tigers: 1-1, 4.50 ERA (22 IP, 11 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 4 starts
  • Has never appeared in postseason

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Tigers at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 5 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Guardians -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-185) | Guardians -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 3, Tigers 2

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-155) are a safe play at home as moderate favorites.

Bibee makes his 1st postseason start, but he was arguably one of the team’s best members of the rotation. He also posted a 2.64 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 9 ER) in September, his best ERA of any month in the regular season. He also posted a 1.98 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 3 ER) in his final 2 starts.

The Tigers (+130) are steaming in with a lot of momentum after sweeping the Astros, so it won’t be easy.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’d rather have a little insurance, Tigers +1.5 (-185) is a little too expensive. Detroit will cost nearly 2 times your potential return. At that price point, it’s too much risk and not enough reward, even though 5 of Detroit’s 6 losses to Cleveland in the regular season were by a single run.

If you like Detroit, just play it straight up.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 7 (-105) is worth a look in this series opener.

The total went Under both games for the Tigers down in Houston in the Wild Card Series, while the Guardians saw the Under cash at a phenomenal 20-3-3 clip in their final 26 regular-season games, while going 12-1-1 in the final 14 home outings.

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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (50-53) and Cleveland Guardians (61-40) wrap up a 4-game series Thursday. First pitch from Progressive Field is at 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 5-5

The Tigers were tripped up 2-1 Wednesday, their 2nd consecutive 1-run loss after winning the series opener Monday by an 8-2 count. Detroit has outscored Cleveland 53-37 in the 10-game series to date, despite the fact each team has won 5 times apiece.

The Guardians have picked up consecutive wins for the first time since July 6-7. Cleveland is aiming for a 3rd straight victory, which hasn’t happened since a 7-game win streak June 19-25.

The Under has cashed in 7 of the past 9 games for the Guardians, although the Over is 2-1 in the first 3 games of this series and 5-1 in the past 6 meetings. Meanwhile, the Tigers have hit the Over at a 5-1 pace in the past 6 games while going 9-3 across the past 12 contests.

Tigers at Guardians projected starters

TBD vs. RHP Gavin Williams

The Tigers haven’t named a starting pitcher at the time of publishing.

Williams (0-2, 4.50 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 18 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 7-0 home setback vs. San Diego Padres Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-2, 9.39 ERA (7 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 2.22 WHIP, .361 opponents’ batting average, 4 BB, 7 K in 2 starts
  • 2024 vs. Tigers: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 1 start, a 1-0 road loss July 8
  • Career vs. Tigers: 0-1, 2.61 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Tigers at Guardians odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:19 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Guardians -178 (bet $178 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-154) | Guardians -1.5 (+128)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Tigers 3

Moneyline

The Guardians (-178) are a little too expensive for this matinee affair Thursday. Cleveland has won the past 2 games, but only by a single run. It’s been a nail-biter for each of the past 2 outings, and the Guardians lost badly in the series opener.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The TIGERS +1.5 (-154) is a solid play while moderately priced for a run-line underdog.

While Detroit has been on the losing end each of the past 2 games, it has suffered a pair of 1-run losses while covering on the run line.

The Guardians -1.5 (+128) are just 1-8 in the past 9 games on the run line as favorites.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-115) is worth a look. The teams combined for just 3 runs Wednesday night. The total has ended up going low at a 7-2 clip in the past 9 outings.

Go lightly, however, as the Over is 5-1 in the past 6 meetings. The Over is 5-1 in the past 6 outings for the Guardians, too.

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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (50-52) and Cleveland Guardians (60-40) play the 3rd contest of a 4-game set Wednesday. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 5-4

The Tigers won Monday’s series opener by an 8-2 count, but the Guardians returned the favor in Tuesday’s game, winning 5-4. Cleveland led 5-2 after 6 innings, but Detroit scored 2 in the top of the 7th to make things interesting, also helping the Over (8.5) get across the finish line.

Despite the loss Tuesday, the Tigers are still 6-2 across the past 8 road games. The Over has connected in 5 consecutive outings while also cashing in 5 straight meetings against the Guardians.

The Guardians posted 5 runs Tuesday, and it was just the 2nd time in the past 10 games Cleveland went for 5 or more runs in the span. The Guards are averaging 2.2 runs per game in the past 9 outings.

Tigers at Guardians projected starters

RHP Jack Flaherty vs. RHP Tanner Bibee

Flaherty (7-5, 3.13 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 100 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 8 K in 5-4 road victory vs. Toronto Blue Jays Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 5-2, 2.84 ERA (57 IP, 18 ER), 0.88 WHIP, .201 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 8 BB, 72 K in 10 starts
  • 2024 vs. Guardians: 1-1, 2.25 ERA (12 IP, 2 ER), 2 HR, .190 OBA, 3 BB, 10 K in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Guardians: 1-2, 2.89 ERA (28 IP, 9 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 5 starts

Bibee (8-4, 3.58 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 110 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 7-0 home victory vs. San Diego Padres Friday
  • 2024 home splits: 4-2, 4.19 ERA (53 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.17 WHIP, .234 OBA, 15 BB, 62 K in 10 starts
  • 2024 vs. Tigers: 0-1, 6.55 ERA (11 IP, 8 ER), .256 OBA, 3 BB, 13 K in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Tigers: 0-3, 6.86 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.53 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 4 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Tigers at Guardians odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Guardians -144 (bet $144 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-188) | Guardians -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -104 | U: -118)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 4, Guardians 3

Moneyline

The TIGERS (+122) are a solid play as they look to rebound from a loss in a bullpen game Tuesday.

The Guardians (-144) have had a devil of a time trying to solve Detroit this season, dropping 4 of the past 6 meetings while trailing 5-4 in the season series.

Run line/Against the spread

The Tigers +1.5 (-188) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return. That’s quite expensive if you’d like a little bit of insurance and feel you just cannot trust Detroit straight up.

The Guardians -1.5 (+155) can’t be trusted, either, as Bibee has struggled in his career against Detroit.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-118) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

Cleveland exploded for 5 runs in Tuesday’s game, with the Over just coming in. However, the total has still ended up going low in 6 of the past 8 games for the Guardians.

The Over is 5-0 in the past 5 games for the Tigers, though, while cashing at a 9-2 clip in the past 11 outings, so be careful.

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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (50-51) and Cleveland Guardians (59-40) play the 2nd contest of a 4-game set on Tuesday. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 5-3

Detroit took the opener 8-2 as a -132 favorite behind SP Tarik Skubal’s 7 innings of 1-run ball despite yielding 10 hits. He walked 1 and struck out 6 as the Tigers improved to an MLB-best 12-5 in July.

Tigers manager A.J. Hinch is reportedly planning bullpen games for Tuesday and Thursday in this series. Detroit has won 5 of the past 6 games, and it is an impressive 3-1 in 4 road games out of the All-Star break. The Tigers are also 6-1 across the previous 7 road contests.

The Over has cashed in 4 straight Tigers games, while also going 4-0 in their past 4 outings vs. the Guardians.

Cleveland has had a power outage lately, scoring just 3 total runs in the past 3 games, while the pitching staff allowed 17 runs, or 5.7 runs per game (RPG), in those 3 contests.

The Under is on a 6-1 run in the previous 7 contests, although the total has gone high in 4 in a row against the Tigers. The total has gone high in 9 of the past 11 outings inside the AL Central Division.

Tigers at Guardians projected starters

TBD vs. RHP Xzavion Curry

The Tigers haven’t named a starting pitcher at the time of publishing.

Curry (0-2, 5.19 ERA) makes his 4th start and 6th appearance. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 17 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 6 ER (7 R), 6 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 3 K in 8-6 setback at Colorado Rockies May 27
  • Last outing: No-decision, 1 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 2-0 loss at Tampa Bay Rays July 12
  • 2024 home splits: 0-0, 4.15 ERA (4 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 1.62 WHIP, .368 opponents’ batting average, 0 BB, 2 K in 1 start
  • Career vs. Tigers: 0-0, 3.31 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.53 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 5 appearances (2 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Tigers at Guardians odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +116 (bet $100 to win $116) | Guardians -136 (bet $136 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-196) | Guardians -1.5 (+162)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 6, Tigers 4

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-136) are worth a look as a moderate favorite as the home team looks for a bounce back with Curry on the hill.

The Tigers (+116) are forced to have a bullpen game as they have recently lost RHPs Casey Mize (hamstring) and Reese Olson (shoulder) to the 15-day injured list.

The Detroit bullpen is just so-so, posting a 4.08 ERA this season, ranking 9th in the AL. The flagging Cleveland offense could get back on track against the Tigers’ relievers.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little less conservative, playing Guardians -1.5 (+162) is the way to go.

As mentioned, the Cleveland offense managed just 3 total runs in the past 3 games, so it’s due for a bounce back, which could happen against this Detroit bullpen.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-110) is worth a look despite the fact Cleveland’s offense has stumbled out of the chute since the All-Star break.

While the Under is 6-1 in Cleveland’s past 7 games, the team has split the past 6 totals at home.

The total has cashed high in 4 straight outings for the Tigers, while going 8-2 across the previous 10 contests, too.

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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (49-51) and Cleveland Guardians (59-39) meet Monday to open a 4-game series. First pitch from Progressive Field is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Detroit leads 4-3

Detroit lost 5-4 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays Sunday while failing to cover as a +148 road underdog. The loss snapped a 4-game win streak for the Tigers, also marking the end of a 5-game road win streak.

Cleveland lost 2-1 vs. the San Diego Padres Sunday as a -104 home favorite. The Guardians have lost back-to-back games and have scored 1 or fewer runs in their 6 of their last 7 losses.

Tigers at Guardians projected starters

LHP Tarik Skubal vs. RHP Carlos Carrasco

Skubal (10-3, 2.41 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 116 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 8 K in a 4-3 loss vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 12
  • Career vs. Cleveland: 1-2, 3.89 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 30 H, 9 BB, 38 K in 7 starts

Carrasco (3-7, 5.02 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 86 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 2-0 loss at Tampa Bay Rays on July 12
  • Career vs. Detroit: 12-9, 3.56 ERA (149 1/3 IP, 59 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 25 starts and 6 relief appearances

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Tigers at Guardians odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:16 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Guardians -116 (bet $116 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers -1.5 (+164) | Guardians +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 7, Guardians 6

Moneyline

BET TIGERS (-102).

Detroit enters as the much hotter squad, being 4-1 in its last 5 games and 7-3 in its last 10 while Cleveland is only 3-7 in its last 10. The Tigers are also 2-1 in their last 3 road games while the Guardians have dropped back-to-back home outings.

The Tigers are 3-1 in their last 4 matchups vs. Cleveland.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Guardians to cover here as +1.5 (-200) underdogs, but the line is set far too heavily to risk betting on. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-110).

The Over has hit in each of Detroit’s last 3 games and is 7-3 in its last 10. The Over has also hit in each of the last 3 Detroit-Cleveland matchups, being 7-3 in the last 10 meetings and 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.

Be aware that the Under has hit in 6 consecutive games for the Guardians.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (18-17) and Cleveland Guardians (23-12) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Tuesday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 1-0; Tigers won 9-4 in 2023

The Tigers and Guardians were tied 1-1 after the 1st inning in the series opener Monday. We had just a single run in the bottom of the 6th inning, as 3B Jose Ramirez belted a solo HR to break Hall of Famer Larry Doby’s franchise record with his 87th career go-ahead homer, hitting the right-field foul pole.

The Tigers have dropped a season-high 4 straight games, as Detroit was swept in a 3-game series against the New York Yankees over the weekend. The Under cashed Monday, and the total has gone low at a 5-3 clip in the past 8 outings.

The Guardians have won 3 in a row, limiting the opposition to exactly 1 run in each of those victories. The offense has struggled, though, going for 4 or fewer runs in 5 of the past 6 games. The Under is 7-3 across the past 10 contests.

Cleveland placed OF Steven Kwan (left hamstring strain) on the 10-day injured list Monday. He is hitting .353 and leading the American League in batting. He is expected to miss at least 4 weeks.

The team recalled top power-hitting prospect 1B Kyle Manzardo, the key piece of a deal last season with the Tampa Bay Rays for RHP Aaron Civale. Manzardo struck out 3 times in 3 at-bats as the DH in his MLB debut.

Tigers at Guardians projected starters

RHP Kenta Maeda vs. LHP Logan Allen

Maeda (1-1, 5.02 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 28 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H (solo HR), 0 BB, 5 K in 4-1 home loss vs. St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday
  • 2024 road splits: 0-0, 6.48 ERA, 8 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 10 H (3 HR), 1 BB, 7 K with .286 opponents’ batting average (OBA) and 1.32 WHIP in 2 starts

Allen (3-2, 5.11 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 37 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 7 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 5 K in 8-2 road loss vs. Houston Astros Thursday
  • 2024 home splits: 1-0, 7.20 ERA, 15 IP, 12 ER, 18 H (4 HR), 6 BB, 12 K with .300 OBA and 1.60 WHIP in 3 starts

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Tigers at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:58 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Guardians -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-190) | Guardians -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 5, Guardians 3

Moneyline

The TIGERS (+105) were on the short end of a pitcher’s duel in the series opener, a rare win for the Guardians (-125) against their AL Central rivals. Last season, Detroit won 9 of the 13 regular-season meetings.

While this is a different Cleveland team, and it has the 2nd-best record in the AL, the Tigers are worth playing in what could be a high-scoring affair.

Run line/Against the spread

The Tigers +1.5 (-190) will cost you nearly twice as much as your potential return on a standalone wager. If you need insurance, it’s not worth playing straight up, although it can be excused tossing Detroit in a multi-team parlay.

Detroit is still 9-3 in the past 12 games on the run line as the underdog, winning 6 of those outings outright.

AVOID.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-115) is the play in Game 2 of this series.

The Tigers have managed a total of just 7 runs during the team’s 4-game losing skid, and the Under is 5-3 across the past 8 contests.

For the Guardians, they’ve allowed just a single run in each of the previous 3 outings, cashing low at a 7-3 pace in the past 10 games. And the offense is good for just 18 runs in the past 6 outings, or just 3.0 runs per game.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Tigers (18-16) and Cleveland Guardians (22-12) open a 3-game series Monday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Tigers won 9-4 in 2023

The Tigers suffered a 3-game sweep on the road against the New York Yankees over the weekend and were outscored 12-6 in the series. The Over cashed in the final 2 battles.

The Guardians lost the series opener to the Los Angeles Angels 6-0 at home on Friday, but Cleveland won the 2 games Saturday and Sunday by a combined 11-2 score. The Under and Over have alternated in the past 7 games, with the Under (8) cashing on Sunday.

Tigers at Guardians projected starters

RHP Jack Flaherty vs. RHP Triston McKenzie

Flaherty (0-1, 4.00 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 12.5 K/9 in 36 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 14 K in 2-1 home loss vs. St. Louis Cardinals last Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 0-0, 3.71 ERA, 17 IP, 9 R (7 ER), 15 H (3 HR), 1 BB, 23 K with .227 opponents’ batting average (OBA) and 0.94 WHIP in 3 starts

McKenzie (2-2, 4.34 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 29 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 6 K in 3-2 road win in 10 innings vs. Houston Astros Wednesday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-1, 3.86 ERA, 18 2/3 IP, 9 R (8 ER), 16 H (2 HR), 15 BB, 16 K with .232 OBA and 1.66 WHIP in 4 starts

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Tigers at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:36 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Guardians -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-225) | Guardians -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 3, Guardians 2

Moneyline

The TIGERS (+100) are a solid play at even-money in the opener between these Lake Erie rivals.

Detroit dominated the series against the Guardians (-120) last season, including 5 wins in 7 tries at Progressive Field. While Cleveland has been tremendous this season, it will have its hands full against Flaherty, who is tied for 4th in the majors with 50 Ks.

Run line/Against the spread

The Tigers +1.5 (-225) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, if you’d like a little bit of insurance, and you just can’t play Detroit straight up in the series opener.

Detroit is 8-3 in the past 11 games on the run line as an underdog, with 6 outright wins in the span. If you like the Tigers on the run line, you should have confidence in them straight up.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-115) is worth a look in this series opener between AL Central foes.

The Tigers managed to score just 6 runs in a 3-game sweep at the hands of the Yankees in New York. The Under has a slight 4-3 edge in the past 7 games for Detroit.

The Guardians have cashed the Under at a 6-3 pace in the past 9 games, with Cleveland going for 16 total runs of offense in the past 5 outings, averaging just 3.2 runs per game in the span.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (59-65) welcome the Detroit Tigers (56-67) to Progressive Field Sunday. First pitch is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 6-3

The Tigers beat the Guardians 4-3 on Saturday after splitting a douleheader on Friday, winning 4-2 in the 1st game before losing 4-1. They are 6-4 in their last 10 games and 30-34 on the road.

The Guardians have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are 4-6 in the last 10. They are 32-30 at home and sit 5 games behind the AL Central-leading Minnesota Twins.

Tigers at Guardians projected starters

LHP Eduardo Rodriguez vs. LHP Logan Allen

Rodriguez (8-6, 3.13 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 106 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 10 H, 6 ER, 1 BB, 8 K in a 6-3 road loss against the Boston Red Sox Sunday
  • 2023 road stats: 4-4, 3.41 ERA in 58 IP in 10 starts

Allen (6-5, 3.33 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 97 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 7 K in a 3-0 road win over the Cincinnati Reds Tuesday
  • 2023 home stats: 2-3, 3.78 ERA in 50 IP in 9 starts

Tigers at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:54 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Guardians -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers -1.5 (+165) | Guardians +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Tigers 3

Moneyline

BET GUARDIANS (-115).

The Guardians have been strong with Allen on the mound this season, posting a 12-6 record in his 18 starts. He has allowed 2 or fewer ER in 6 of his last 8 starts as well.

Cleveland is 35-29 following a loss while Detroit has the 5th-worst win percentage after a win at just 22-33. As a road underdog, the Tigers are just 24-31.

Back GUARDIANS (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s just no value on the spread. The Guardians are too expensive to play as an underdog at +1.5 (-200). Similarly, Cleveland has been too good with Allen on the mound to consider the Tigers -1.5 (+165).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-105).

The Tigers have gone Under in 8 of their last 9 games, including all 3 games in tis series. They have gone Under in Rodriguez’s last 2 starts. Neither team has scored more than 4 runs in a game in the first 3 games of the series.

Cleveland has gone Under in 5 straight games and is 48-71-5 O/U this season. It has gone Under in 10 of its last 13. It is a league-worst 19-42-1 O/U at home.

Take UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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