Tag: Tigers Braves odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Detroit Tigers (34-38) and Atlanta Braves (39-31) meet for the middle game of a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Atlanta leads 1-0

Atlanta won 2-1 Monday while covering as a -194 home favorite. The Braves trailed the Tigers 1-0 before scoring runs in the 7th and 8th innings to pick up their 4th win in the last 5 games.

Reliever Shelby Miller took the loss (1 IP, 1H, 1 ER, 1 K) as Detroit lost its 2nd straight game. The Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 on the road.

Tigers at Braves projected starters

RHP Casey Mize vs. RHP Spencer Schwellenbach

Mize (1-4, 4.43 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 65 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 7-2 win over the Washington Nationals Thursday
• First career start vs. Atlanta

Schwellenbach (0-2, 6.32 ERA) makes his 4th career start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 15 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 4-2 loss at Baltimore Wednesday
• Rookie making 1st career start vs. Detroit

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Tigers at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:58 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Tigers +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Braves -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-140) | Braves -1.5 (+115)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Tigers at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 7, Tigers 6

Moneyline

PASS.

I expect the Braves to pick up the win as (-165) home favorites, but the line is just slightly too risky to bet on. Bet on the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN TIGERS +1.5 (-140).

Detroit has covered the spread in its last 2 meetings against Atlanta and has lost by 1 run in 3 of its last 6 losses overall.

This is a very slight lean as the Tigers are only 33-39 ATS on the season.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9.5 (-115).

The Over/Under is by far the safest play for this game.

The Over has hit in 3 of Atlanta’s last 4 games. For Detroit, the Over is 6-4 in its last 10 and is 40-29-3 on the season. The Over has also hit in 6 of the last 7 Detroit-Atlanta matchups.

Be aware that the Under is 40-27-3 for Atlanta this season.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Atlanta Braves (38-31) welcome the Detroit Tigers (34-37) to Truit Park Monday for the 1st game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Braves won 2 of 3 in 2023

The Braves lost to the Tampa Bay Rays 8-6 Sunday to close their 3-game series. They were riding a 3-game win streak prior to the loss, but have struggled over the last 10 games, going 3-7 straight up. Atlanta is a strong 21-13 at home and is 33-36 against the spread (ATS).

The Tigers lost 4-1 to the Houston Astros Sunday, closing as a +150 underdog. They lost 2 of 3 in Houston, but did have a blowout 13-5 win Saturday. Detroit is 3-7 over its last 10 games and is 32-39 ATS. The Tigers have faired better on the road this season, going 18-18 in away games.

Tigers at Braves projected starters

RHP Reese Olson vs. LHP Max Fried

Olson (1-8, 3.68 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 71 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 10 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 7-5 home loss to the Washington Nationals Wednesday
• 2024 road splits: 0-4, 3.97 ERA (34 IP, 15 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3 HR, 6.9 K/9 in 7 starts
• Career vs. Braves: 0-1, 16.20 ERA (3 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 2.10 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 in 1 start

Fried (6-3, 3.20 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 78 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 4-0 road loss to the Baltimore Orioles Tuesday
• 2024 home splits: 2-1, 3.51 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 1 HR, 6.7 K/9 in 4 starts
• Career vs. Braves: 7-3, 3.14 ERA (86 IP, 30 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 14 starts and 3 relief appearances

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Tigers at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:32 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Tigers +168 (bet $100 to win $168) | Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-111) | Braves -1.5 (-108)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Tigers at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Tigers 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The Braves are just too expensive here. With Fried on the mound they have been a good bet, winning 3 of his last 4 starts. However, at -200, they aren’t worth any consideration.

Run line/Against the spread

BET TIGERS +1.5 (-111).

Neither pitcher has put together any strong streak as of late with Fried 4-4 ATS in his last 8 starts. That said, the Tigers have been the better team in this location, posting a 19-17 ATS record in road games while Atlanta is 16-18 ATS at home. The Braves are 4-4 ATS in their last 8 at home.

Atlanta has also lost 7 of its last 10, so as a favorite, it might be a riskier play given it has struggled over the last 10 days. Take the underdog here as neither side has played its best baseball as of late.

Bet TIGERS +1.5 (-111).

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-115).

The Braves have gone Over in 3 straight games, scoring at least 6 runs in 4 in a row. They are 5-2-1 O/U in their last 8.

The Tigers are 7-3 O/U in their last 10 games and have gone north of the projected total in 3 straight Olson starts, allowing at least 6 in each of those. They are 40-28-3 O/U on the season.

Considering those recent trends, back OVER 8 (-115).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
Subscribe now to dominate the competition.

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