The Texas Rangers (60-45) and San Diego Padres (51-54) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Petco Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 2-0
The Rangers lost 4-0 as +161 underdogs in the 2nd game of the series Saturday. Texas has lost 6 of its last 8 contests, but still has a 1-game lead over the Houston Astros in the AL West.
San Diego is 7-4 in its last 11 contests and 4th in the NL West, 9 games back of the division-leading Los Angeles Dodgers. The Padres have won the last 10 meetings vs. the Rangers since 2020.
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Rangers at Padres projected starters
LHP Cody Bradford vs. LHP Blake Snell
Bradford (2-1, 4.62 ERA) makes his 6th start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 37 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 3 K in relief during 4-3 loss at Astros Tuesday
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 7-2 win at Washington Nationals July 7
- Road stats: 1-0, 3.00 ERA (15 IP, 5 ER) in 3 games (2 starts)
- Never faced Padres before
Snell (7-8, 2.61 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 114 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 5 BB, 4 K in 5-1 home win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
- Home stats: 6-4, 2.82 ERA (54 1/3 IP, 17 ER) in 10 starts
- Career vs. Rangers: 3-0, 1.56 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 3 ER) in 3 starts (last faced Texas in 2019)
Rangers at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:29 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rangers +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Padres -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-115) | Padres -1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Rangers at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 4, Rangers 2
Moneyline
San Diego (-200) should beat Texas for the 11th straight time, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when the Padres should win by multiple runs.
PASS. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.
Run line/Against the spread
Granted it’s over several seasons, but the Padres have covered the run line in 9 of the last 10 meetings between these teams. Snell has not allowed more than 2 ER in 12 straight starts and gives San Diego the pitching advantage it needs to win by multiple runs.
BET PADRES -1.5 (-105).
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Over/Under
The Under has hit in the last 4 Padres games as San Diego has allowed just 5 runs over that stretch. Snell has been 1 of the best pitchers in MLB over his last 12 starts and should help the Under hit once again Sunday.
BET UNDER 9 (-115).
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