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The Texas A&M Aggies (5-1, 3-0 SEC) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-5, 0-3) meet Saturday. Kickoff from Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field is scheduled for 4:15 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Texas A&M, which was off last week, destroyed the then-No. 9 Missouri Tigers 41-10 Oct. 5 as a 2.5-point home favorite. The Aggies outgained Mizzou 512 to 254 yards and at one point led 34-0. Texas A&M is No. 14 in the US LBM Coaches Poll.
Mississippi State put up a great fight in its last outing, losing 41-31 vs. the No. 4 Georgia Bulldogs Oct. 12 while covering as a 33-point underdog. Mississippi State allowed 605 yards of total offense, but its 2 forced turnovers and 21-point 2nd half helped the Bulldogs cover.
– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Texas A&M at Mississippi State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Texas A&M -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100) | Mississippi State +625 (bet $100 to win $625)
- Against the spread (ATS): Texas A&M -19.5 (-110) | Mississippi State +19.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Texas A&M at Mississippi State picks and predictions
Prediction
Texas A&M 42, Mississippi State 21
Moneyline
PASS.
Texas A&M (-1000) is simply the better team and will pick up the win here, but the Aggies are not worth the risk of betting on as such heavy favorites. Bet the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
LEAN TEXAS A&M -19.5 (-110).
Texas A&M is coming off a dominant win vs. a Missouri team that was formerly ranked top 10 in the nation, so I expect the Aggies to be able to cover here against a Mississippi State team that is far inferior and has just 1 win on the season.
This is a lean because Mississippi State has covered the spread against both Georgia and Texas. The Aggies also failed to cover against both Bowling Green and Arkansas, making them 1-2 ATS over their last 3 games.
Over/Under
BET OVER 55.5 (-115).
Mississippi State has the worst defense in the SEC, allowing 465.7 yards per game and 33.2 points per game, both worst in the SEC. Texas A&M, while much better than the Bulldogs defensively, also allowed 20 points to both Florida and Bowling Green this season, both of which are much inferior opponents to the Aggies.
The Bulldogs average 28 points per game, and I expect them to be able to score enough to help the Over hit, especially with how putrid their defense is.
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