TCU at Baylor odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s TCU at Baylor odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The TCU Horned Frogs (5-3, 3-2 Big 12) take on the Baylor Bears (4-4, 2-3) at McLane Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the TCU vs. Baylor odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

TCU edged Texas Tech last week 35-34, failing to cover as 4.5-point favorites. They were down 34-21 midway through the fourth quarter, but they scored the final 14 points to seal the deal. QB Josh Hoover had 344 passing yards, 3 TDs and 2 INTs. They have won 2 straight.

Baylor also won its second in a row with a 38-28 victory over Oklahoma State. The Bears covered as 7-point favorites. RB Dawson Pendergrass flashed on the ground, rushing 6 times for 142 yards and a TD. QB Sawyer Robertson was 11-for-19 for 222 yards, 3 TDs and 1 INT.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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TCU at Baylor odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): TCU +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Baylor -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): TCU +3 (-105) | Baylor -3 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 63.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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TCU at Baylor picks and predictions

Prediction

TCU 30, Baylor 27

Moneyline

TCU has taken 4 straight matchups and 8 of 9. Last year’s contest was a 42-17 thrashing at TCU. Hoover threw for 412 yards and 2 TDs while rushing for another.

The Frogs are 3-1 on the road, and the Bears are 3-1 at home. TCU has signature wins over Utah as 3.5-point dogs and Kansas as 1-point dogs.

The Frogs have won 3 of 4, and Baylor really doesn’t have much of a resume. They also have better continuity with Hoover under center, and he ransacked the Bears last season. Due to such, I’ll take the value with TEXAS CHRISTIAN +130.

Against the spread

Since we’re taking the value on the ML, I’ll forego the spread here.

PASS.

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Over/Under

Both of these teams are 5-3 O/U. Baylor’s last 3 at home have hit the Over. Meanwhile, the Over is 4-2 in TCU’s last 6 games. We haven’t had a total this large in this matchup since it went Over 65 in 2016. The Over is 0-1-2 in the last 4 meetings, and I feel it’s a little too lofty Saturday.

Take the UNDER 63.5 (-110).

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TCU at Baylor odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s TCU at Baylor odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The TCU Horned Frogs (12-1, 1-0 Big 12) visit Waco to take on the 16th-ranked and perennial national title contender Baylor Bears (10-3, 0-1) Wednesday at 9 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the TCU vs. Baylor odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Despite the Bears being ranked No. 16, coach Jamie Dixon’s Horned Frogs are the better team.

While Baylor had an early December victory over current No. 12 Gonzaga (64-63), recent games have been more of a struggle. The Bears lost their Big 12 opener as 1.5-point road favorites 77-62 at Iowa State Saturday. Coach Scott Drew’s Bears need to get things figured out quickly if they hope to threaten Kansas for the Big 12 title or if they hope to make another tournament run.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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TCU at Baylor odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:14 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): TCU +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Baylor -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): TCU +6.5 (-115) | Baylor -6.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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TCU at Baylor picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 80, TCU 65

Moneyline

PASS.

Coach Dixon has the Horned Frogs (+200) playing inspired basketball — perhaps inspired by their football team.

Baylor (-280) better be inspired after suffering the 15-point loss to Iowa State. The Bears don’t want to open 0-2 in Big 12 play.

They should win this game, especially at home, but the ML price of -280 isn’t worth the risk as it will cost 2.8 times the potential return. However, I can see adding it to a parlay wager.

Against the spread

BET BAYLOR -6.5 (-105).

Baylor should be focused. Expect the Bears to come out hot in this game. TCU will get caught up in the tide and could get eaten alive by Baylor in this one. BAYLOR -6.5 (-105) is my FAVORITE PLAY in this Big 12 contest.

I also like BAYLOR -3.5 (-110) in the 1ST HALF.

Over/Under

BET OVER 143.5 (-115)

Both teams have offenses which can score. Baylor will attempt to push the pace of this game and TCU will be forced to play keep up. As the Bears pull away, the Horned Frogs will hit quicker shots and draw this game into a high-scoring affair.

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TCU at Baylor odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s TCU at Baylor odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 4 TCU Horned Frogs (10-0, 7-0 Big 12) will travel to Waco to battle the Baylor Bears (6-4, 4-3) Saturday at noon ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the TCU vs. Baylor odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Ratings courtesy of AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY sports

Max Duggan leads the Horned Frogs into Waco to battle it out with defending Big 12 champion Baylor Bears. In the 1st year under coach Sonny Dykes, TCU has returned to and surpassed any glory the team has had in many decades. With an undefeated mark, TCU looks to continue its march to the playoffs.

Baylor still has a chance to get to the conference championship game. After an ugly 31-3 loss to Kansas State last Saturday, the Bears must win this game and hope a lot of pieces fall their way.

Coach Dave Aranda has gotten Baylor over the hump in the Big 12 and is trying to build a perennial title contender. While 2022 might not be the next championship for Baylor, a win here could set the team up heading into 2023.

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TCU at Baylor odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:04 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): TCU -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Baylor +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread (ATS): TCU -2.5 (-113) | Baylor +2.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 57 (O: -111 | U: -109)

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TCU at Baylor picks and predictions

Prediction

TCU 36, Baylor 24

Moneyline

PASS.

If Baylor were going to win, the +115 would be excellent value. But with the fact TCU -135 should be the outright winner, I would rather take the -2.5 and save some money.

Against the spread

BET TCU -2.5 (-113).

The undefeated Horned Frogs, fresh off a 17-10 win at Texas, are on a mission. Duggan will continue to flourish in Dykes’ offense and the Horned Frogs will take care of the Bears without the spread coming into play.

TCU is ranked 4th in the College Football Playoff rankings and do not want a repeat of 2014 when they were ranked 3, beat Iowa State 55-3 and were dropped to 6th by the committee. TCU will leave no doubt in this game who is better. TCU -2.5 (-113) is my favorite play.

Over/Under

BET OVER 57 (-111).

Even though TCU held Texas to 3 points for most of the game Saturday, the defense, normally an elite unit under Gary Patterson, is not the major force for the Horned Frogs.

Before Saturday, in 6 conference games, TCU has allowed an average of 29.6 points per game while scoring an average of 41.5 points. This will be another game where they allow some points to be scored by Baylor. The total is not overly aggressive and is the right number for this game. Even so, I think the Over hits more often then the Under. So, give me the Over 57 (-111).

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

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