TCU at Baylor odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s TCU at Baylor odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 4 TCU Horned Frogs (10-0, 7-0 Big 12) will travel to Waco to battle the Baylor Bears (6-4, 4-3) Saturday at noon ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the TCU vs. Baylor odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

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Max Duggan leads the Horned Frogs into Waco to battle it out with defending Big 12 champion Baylor Bears. In the 1st year under coach Sonny Dykes, TCU has returned to and surpassed any glory the team has had in many decades. With an undefeated mark, TCU looks to continue its march to the playoffs.

Baylor still has a chance to get to the conference championship game. After an ugly 31-3 loss to Kansas State last Saturday, the Bears must win this game and hope a lot of pieces fall their way.

Coach Dave Aranda has gotten Baylor over the hump in the Big 12 and is trying to build a perennial title contender. While 2022 might not be the next championship for Baylor, a win here could set the team up heading into 2023.

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TCU at Baylor odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:04 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): TCU -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Baylor +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread (ATS): TCU -2.5 (-113) | Baylor +2.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 57 (O: -111 | U: -109)

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TCU at Baylor picks and predictions

Prediction

TCU 36, Baylor 24

Moneyline

PASS.

If Baylor were going to win, the +115 would be excellent value. But with the fact TCU -135 should be the outright winner, I would rather take the -2.5 and save some money.

Against the spread

BET TCU -2.5 (-113).

The undefeated Horned Frogs, fresh off a 17-10 win at Texas, are on a mission. Duggan will continue to flourish in Dykes’ offense and the Horned Frogs will take care of the Bears without the spread coming into play.

TCU is ranked 4th in the College Football Playoff rankings and do not want a repeat of 2014 when they were ranked 3, beat Iowa State 55-3 and were dropped to 6th by the committee. TCU will leave no doubt in this game who is better. TCU -2.5 (-113) is my favorite play.

Over/Under

BET OVER 57 (-111).

Even though TCU held Texas to 3 points for most of the game Saturday, the defense, normally an elite unit under Gary Patterson, is not the major force for the Horned Frogs.

Before Saturday, in 6 conference games, TCU has allowed an average of 29.6 points per game while scoring an average of 41.5 points. This will be another game where they allow some points to be scored by Baylor. The total is not overly aggressive and is the right number for this game. Even so, I think the Over hits more often then the Under. So, give me the Over 57 (-111).

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