Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers Game 1 odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers meet for Game 1 of Eastern Conference Semifinals Tuesday at FLA Live Arena in Sunrise, Fla. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we look at the Lightning vs. Panthers Game 1 odds and lines, and make our expert NHL picks, predictions and bets.

The Lightning polished off the Toronto Maple Leafs in 7 games in the first round, coming back from a 3-2 series deficit to advance. That includes a 2-1 road win in Toronto in the clincher Saturday.

The Panthers registered a first-round series win in 6 games over the Washington Capitals. The Caps won Game 3 by a 6-1 score to take a 2-1 series lead, but the Panthers won the next 3 games, including OT victories in Games 4 and 6.

Lightning at Panthers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:01 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Lightning +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Panthers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Lightning +1.5 (-180) | Panthers -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -165 | U: +130)

Lightning at Panthers projected goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (4-3-0, 3.04 GAA, .897 SV% – postseason) vs. Sergei Bobrovsky (4-2-0, 2.79 GAA, .906 SV% – postseason)

Vasilevskiy picked up wins in Games 6 and 7, his first consecutive victories in these playoffs. He saved his best performance of the postseason for Game 7, stopping all but 1 of the 31 shots he faced in Toronto.

Bobrovsky has picked up 3 straight wins, including overtime road victories in Games 4 and 6. He yielded 3 goals on 37 shots in a 4-3 overtime victory in the clincher Friday.

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Lightning at Panthers picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 4, Panthers 3

Money line

The LIGHTNING (+130) have managed to win a pair of Stanley Cup championships the past two seasons. A lot of the team’s success has been in the second round, claiming back-to-back 4-1 series victories during the 2 title runs. In its last 32 Eastern Conference Semifinal games, Tampa Bay is 24-8.

The Panthers are moderate favorites in the opener, but they’re not as experienced as the Lightning, and it will show. This is Florida’s first trip to a second-round series since 1996. Facing an experienced Tampa Bay team will be too much to handle in this opening game.

Against the spread

The LIGHTNING +1.5 (-180) are a little on the expensive side – if you’d like a little insurance – but it’s not terribly out of line if you’d rather play it safe.

While the Panthers have won 3 in a row, they needed overtime in 2 of them.

Over/Under

OVER 6.5 (-165) is also a little on the expensive side, but it’s the best play on the board. Tampa hit the Over at a 5-1-1 rate in the first round, while Florida cashed the Over in 3 of its past 4 contests.

Until these teams show any semblance of defense and good goaltending in these playoffs, keep slamming the Over in this series.

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Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning Game 6 odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning Game 6 odds and lines, with hockey picks, tips and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Lightning host the Florida Panthers in Game 6 of their Stanley Cup Playoffs first-round series Wednesday. Puck drop is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at Amalie Arena. Below, we analyze the Panthers-Lightning odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.

The Panthers fought off elimination in Game 5 with an impressive 4-1 victory at BB&T Center in Sunrise, Fla., to live another day. Rookie G Spencer Knight was given his first NHL postseason start, and he earned the win in the toughest of spots.

The Lightning frittered away their first of three chances to put away their Sunshine State rivals, but they’re still in very good shape. Tampa Bay lost Game 3 in its home arena by a 6-5 score in overtime but routed Florida 6-2 in Game 4 at Amalie.

Panthers at Lightning: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Panthers +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Lightning -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Panthers +1.5 (-200) | Lightning -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under: 6 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Panthers at Lightning: Projected starting goalies

Spencer Knight (4-0-0, 2.32 GAA, .919 SV%) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (31-10-1, 2.21 GAA, .925 SV%, 5 SO)

Panthers head coach Joel Quenneville rolled the dice on the rookie Knight, and he looked like a genius. Knight turned aside 36 of the 37 shots he faced to pick up his first NHL postseason victory in Game 5.

Vasilevskiy wasn’t terrible Monday, as he allowed just 3 goals on 37 shots, but Knight was just a little better. The veteran is 3-2-0 with a 3.16 GAA and .919 SV% in five starts in this series.

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Panthers at Lightning: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Lightning 3, Panthers 2

Money line (ML)

The LIGHTNING (-150) blew their chance to send the Panthers to the handshake line in Game 5. That won’t the case here, as Vasilevskiy should help the defending champs move along to the second round to face the winner of the Carolina-Nashville series in the Central Division Final.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Panthers +1.5 (-200) will cost you twice as much as your potential return, and that’s a little more than I am comfortable risking. The Lightning -1.5 (+165) are tempting at this price, but this one should be super close, and might even require overtime to hash out a winner.

AVOID.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 6 (-120) is the best play on the board. The later you get into a series, the more the goals are at a premium. It won’t be any different in this Game 6, unless Knight completely falls apart. It certainly won’t be the battle-tested Vasilevskiy who is dinged for a ton of goals.

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers Game 5 odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers Game 5 odds and lines, with hockey picks, tips and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers play Game 5 of their Stanley Cup Playoffs first-round series Monday. Puck drop is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at BB&T Center in Sunrise, Fla. Below, we analyze the Lightning-Panthers odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.

The Lightning posted a 6-2 victory against the Panthers in Game 4, taking a 3-1 series lead to push Florida to the brink. Tampa Bay has rolled up an impressive 4.8 goals per game through four outings in the series.

The Panthers found the back of the net six times in an overtime victory in Game 3 to get back into the series after losing the first two at home. However, they were crushed 6-2 in Game 4, as neither Sergei Bobrovsky or Chris Driedger have shown much consistency in the crease.

Lightning at Panthers: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Lightning -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Panthers -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Lightning -1.5 (+225) | Panthers +1.5 (-275)
  • Over/Under: 5.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Lightning at Panthers: Projected starting goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (31-10-1, 2.21 GAA, .925 SV%, 5 SO) vs. Spencer Knight (4-0-0, 2.32 GAA, .919 SV%)

Vasilevskiy made 39 saves on 41 shots in Game 4 helping the Lightning to the 3-1 series lead. He has made at least 32 saves in each of the four games in this series so far.

Sergei Bobrovsky and Chris Driedger have been a bust so far in this series, and with their backs against the wall, it’s time for Knight to make his first-career postseason start. The 20-year-old Connecticut native has won all four starts in his career from April 20-May 3.

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Lightning at Panthers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Panthers 4, Lightning 3

Money line (ML)

The PANTHERS (-105) are worth playing in this elimination game on home ice. Turning to Knight will prove to be a good move as Bob and Driedger have been just been too inconsistent. Desperate times call for desperate measures, and the move will pay off, at least for another game.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Panthers +1.5 (-275) will cost you nearly three times your potential return, and that’s just terribly risky.

AVOID, and play the money line only.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 5.5 (-120) is the way to go here as we have seen the Over in three of the four games in this series. In fact, there have been a total of 32 goals through the four games and 8.0 combined goals per outing.

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Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning Game 4 odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers Game 4 odds and lines, with hockey picks, tips and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Lightning host the Florida Panthers in Game 4 of their Stanley Cup Playoffs first-round series Saturday. Puck drop is scheduled for 12:30 p.m. ET at Amalie Arena. Below, we analyze the Panthers-Lightning odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.

The Panthers survived in overtime in Game 3, winning 6-5 as slight underdogs. After taking a 2-0 lead, the Lightning outscored the Panthers 5-1 in the second period. However, Florida scratched back to force overtime and won it on a Ryan Lomberg goal.

The Lightning have allowed 11 goals in the first three games, so the Panthers’ offense has plenty of confidence against Andrei Vasilevskiy. Tampa has scored 13 goals in the three games, however, and they still maintain home-ice advantage despite the Game 3 loss.

Panthers at Lightning: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Panthers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Lightning -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Panthers +1.5 (-200) | Lightning -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under: 6 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Panthers at Lightning: Projected starting goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (19-8-2, 2.91 GAA, .906 SV%) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (31-10-1, 2.21 GAA, .925 SV%, 5 SO)

The Panthers went with Chris Driedger in Game 3 to start, but he was smacked around for five goals on 22 shots. Bobrovsky came on to start the third period and he turned aside all nine shots he faced to earn the OT win.

Vasilevskiy was tested early and often in Game 3, as he made 41 saves. But he also was beaten six times, including two times on the power play. The Lightning led 5-3 after 40 minutes, but Vasilevskiy allowed three goals in the final 25:56.

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Panthers at Lightning: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Lightning 3, Panthers 2

Money line (ML)

The LIGHTNING (-145) were 20 minutes away from taking a commanding 3-0 series lead, but a third-period hiccup and overtime goal got the Panthers (+120) back in the series.

Still, Tampa has the home-ice advantage, and they should be able to push past the pesky Cats.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Panthers +1.5 (-200) will cost you two times your potential return, and that’s risky business. Still, I think this is going to be a close game decided by one goal, something we’ve seen in two of the first three in the series. The juice is just too high to take Florida here.

AVOID.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 6 (-120) is the lean here. We have seen an explosion of offense in Games 1 and 3. However, we saw a rather defensive battle in Game 2, and we should see a tighter game in this one, too.

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VIDEO: Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning Game 3 preview

Video previewing Thursday’s Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers Game 3 matchup.

The NHL playoffs continue Thursday evening, as the Tampa Bay Lightning host the Florida Panthers in Game 3 of their first-round series. The game is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET at Amalie Arena in Tampa.

The team at SportsGrid breaks down the Lightning-Panthers matchup:

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Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning Game 3 odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers Game 3 odds and lines, with hockey picks, tips and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Lightning host the Florida Panthers in Game 3 of their Stanley Cup Playoffs first-round series Thursday. Puck drop is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET at Amalie Arena in Tampa. Below, we analyze the Panthers-Lightning odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.

The Panthers are looking to find the win column for the first time in this series. They had home-ice advantage, but lost it in a seesaw battle in Game 1. After that 5-4 loss, they were dropped 3-1 in a better effort in Game 2.

The Lightning have won six of their past seven games as a favorite in the playoffs, and they’re 42-16 in the previous 58 games at home overall. It’s a tough spot for the Panthers, as they look to climb back into the series.

Panthers at Lightning: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Panthers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Lightning -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Panthers +1.5 (-200) | Lightning -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under: 5.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Panthers at Lightning: Projected starting goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (19-8-2, 2.91 GAA, .906 SV%) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (31-10-1, 2.21 GAA, .925 SV%, 5 SO)

Bobrovsky was bounced around for five goals on 40 shots in Game 1. The Panthers are paying him a lot of money, and they figure to lean upon him. However, if he struggles again, look for him to have a rather short leash.

Vasilevskiy has had no such issues in this series, especially in Game 2 when he turned aside 32 of 33 shots. He was 18-2-0 with a stellar 1.75 GAA and .936 SV% with three shutouts in 20 starts at home.

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Panthers at Lightning: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Lightning 4, Panthers 2

Money line (ML)

The LIGHTNING (-145) are looking to take a commanding 3-0 series lead, and there is no reason to bet against them. Tampa Bay has Vasilevskiy in the pipes, and he has been untouchable in the crease at home. Florida looks a tad inexperienced and uneven, while the champs look like the champs.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The LIGHTNING -1.5 (+170) are worth a roll of the dice on the puck line at home – but go lightly. The Panthers +1.5 (-200) are sure to play with desperation, but in the end in the Lightning will prevail. A late empty-net goal is likely to be the difference.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 5.5 (-120) is the lean here. The Over/Under split in the first two games, but there is a lot of offensive firepower on both sides, and we should see an uptick in goals similar to Game 1.

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers Game 2 odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers Game 2 odds and lines, with hockey picks, tips and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers play Game 2 of their Stanley Cup Playoffs first-round series Tuesday. Puck drop is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at BB&T Center in Sunrise, Fla. Below, we analyze the Lightning-Panthers odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.

The Lightning won a seesaw affair against the Panthers in Game 1, edging Florida 5-4 in the first-ever playoff meeting between these intrastate rivals. Tampa Bay RW Nikita Kucherov made his season debut after recovering from hip surgery and he bagged two power-play goals in the second period.

The Panthers received goals from four different scorers, including C Carter Verhaeghe against his former team. But C Brayden Point was the difference maker with two third-period goals, showing off Tampa Bay’s amazing depth.

Lightning at Panthers: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:26 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Lightning -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Panthers +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Lightning -1.5 (+180) | Panthers +1.5 (-225)
  • Over/Under: 6 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Lightning at Panthers: Projected starting goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (31-10-1, 2.21 GAA, .925 SV%, 5 SO) vs. Sergei Bobrovsky (19-8-2, 2.91 GAA, .906 SV%)

Vasilevskiy stopped 35 of the 39 shots in Game 1. He trailed 4-3 early in the third period, but Point bailed him out with two goals in the final 7 minutes, including the winner with 74 seconds left in regulation.

Bobrovsky allowed goals to three different Lightning players, but Kucherov and Point got him twice apiece, and C Blake Coleman registered a shorthanded goal. That made for four special-teams goals, something Florida will certainly need to clean up if it wants to succeed in this series.

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Lightning at Panthers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Lightning 4, Panthers 3

Money line (ML)

The LIGHTNING (-140) found a way to win the opener on the road, even though they didn’t play their best game. The defending champs showed off their offensive muscle, and they had it going on with the man advantage. Until the Panthers show they can lock it down defensively, keep fading Florida.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Panthers +1.5 (-225) are a little too expensive for my liking on the puck line, but they would be my play rather than backing the Lightning -1.5 (+180). Still, the best play is to AVOID and just concentrate on the money line and total.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 6 (-105) is the play even with the likes of a Vezina-caliber goaltender like Vasilevskiy in the crease for the visitors. He was beaten four times Sunday, and Florida has plenty of firepower to do it again.

The Over was a solid 5-2-1 in the eight regular-season meetings between Florida and Tampa Bay, and these teams went well Over in the series opener.

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers Game 1 odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers Game 1 odds and lines, with hockey picks, tips and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers play Game 1 of their Stanley Cup Playoffs first-round series Sunday. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET at BB&T Center in Sunrise, Fla. Below, we analyze the Lightning-Panthers odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.

The Lightning are the defending Stanley Cup champs, but they were just third in the Central Division and must open their title defense on the road. For the first time in NHL postseason history, they meet the cross-state rival Panthers.

Tampa Bay will have RW Nikita Kucherov (hip) and C Steven Stamkos (lower body) in the lineup for Game 1.

Florida won the past three head-to-head meetings, outscoring Tampa Bay by a 14-4 margin. The Panthers also won three of four vs. the Lightning in Sunrise this season, outscoring the Bolts 15-9. The lone loss was by a 6-1 score. Otherwise, Florida really dominated on home ice.

Lightning at Panthers: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:34 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Lightning -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Panthers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Lightning -1.5 (+200) | Panthers +1.5 (-250)
  • Over/Under: 5.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Lightning at Panthers: Projected starting goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (31-10-1, 2.21 GAA, .925 SV%, 5 SO) vs. Sergei Bobrovsky (19-8-2, 2.91 GAA, .906 SV%)

Vasilevskiy won 31 games this season, but he dropped his final two starts of the regular season at the Panthers by a combined score of 9-1. He allowed nine goals on 65 shots in the two games.

The 26-year-old Russian backstop went 2-4-0 with a 3.36 GAA and .898 SV% in six appearances against Florida. The GAA was easily the highest against any opponent, and the SV% was also his worst against any team.

Bobrovsky finished up strong with three straight wins to end the regular season, including a 5-1 win over Tampa May 8. He was 3-2-0 with a 3.23 GAA and .879 SV% in five meetings against the Lightning this season.

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Lightning at Panthers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Lightning 4, Panthers 3

Money line (ML)

The LIGHTNING (-120) are the defending champs. I trust Vasilevskiy and Tampa Bay after their run in the bubble last season more than I trust a Panthers side which hasn’t gone far in the playoffs in decades.

Until Florida earns that trust and proves it has championship mettle, you have to back the tried-and-true side.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Panthers +1.5 (-250) have given the Lightning -1.5 (+200) fits, and even if they don’t win this one outright, it’s going to be close. Of course, the Panthers did win five of the eight regular-season meetings, and just one of the games was decided by one goal. Playing the underdog to keep it close isn’t a wise move based on recent history.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 5.5 (-110) seems like an unwise play in a game featuring two goaltenders the caliber of Vasilevskiy and Bobrovsky. However, Vasilevskiy allowed north of three goals against the Cats, while Bobrovsky did the same against the Lightning.

The Over was 5-2-1 in the eight regular-season meetings. Offense will reign supreme.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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