Underdog Corner: 3 best NFL picks and predictions for Week 12

Assessing the NFL betting odds and lines for Week 12, with three predictions and picks for the best underdog bets to make.

NFL point-spread favorites may have wound up winning Week 11, but we were undeterred here in Underdog Corner.
We hit with the Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts, who both wound up posting double-digit outright road wins, to notch our second straight 2-1 against-the-spread weekend and improve to a very profitable 24-9 (.727) on the season. Additionally, 20 of our 24 underdog covers have wound up winning their games outright.
Now it’s on to Thanksgiving Week and our Week 12 outlook.

NFL underdog predictions: Week 12

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Indianapolis Colts +3.5 (-125) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Yep, we’re right back on Indy drawing points again, and that has been a profitable play this year with the Colts owning a 5-2 ATS record as an underdog.

Overall, the Horseshoes are doing just fine as well, winning five of their last six to climb back above .500 at 6-5 and join the AFC’s jumbled playoff race.

Tom Brady and the Bucs throttled the visiting Giants 30-10 Monday night to end a two-game slide, but it has been a different story on the road this season for the defending champs, who are 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS away from Raymond James Stadium.

Go with the red-hot COLTS (+3.5) catching the field goal plus a hook at home.

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Miami Dolphins +2.5 (-108) vs. Carolina Panthers

These are two teams headed in the opposite directions, and the wrong side looks to be favored Sunday in South Beach.

The Dolphins have won and covered in three straight after a 1-7 SU, 2-5 ATS start while the Panthers are 2-6 SU/ATS after winning and covering their first three games.

Miami blitzed Lamar Jackson and the visiting Ravens into defeat two weeks ago and could do the same to Cam Newton and Carolina here. Take the DOLPHINS (+2.5) and the points and hit the Miami money line (+110) as well.

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Minnesota Vikings +3.5 (-117) at San Francisco 49ers

The Vikings are well-seasoned in close games with nine of their 10 contests so far being decided by one score or less, including five by three points or fewer.

Minnesota also is 3-2 SU and 5-0 ATS as an underdog this season.

The Niners, meanwhile, have won and covered in two straight to get back to .500 for the first time since Week 4.

However, San Fran is only 2-9 SU at home and 5-11 ATS as a favorite since the start of the 2020 season, and so the trends definitely peg the VIKINGS (+3.5) as the play here.

Also see: All Week 12 odds and lines

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Giants (3-6) visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3) in Week 11 for Monday Night Football at Raymond James Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Giants vs. Buccaneers odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Giants have won two of the past three games, including a 23-16 victory last time out against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 9 before its bye. New York has covered three in a row while hitting the Under in each outing.

The Buccaneers were stunned in Washington last weekend, falling 29-19. Tampa has dropped consecutive games for the first time since Week 11-12 last season. The Bucs enter 3-6 ATS on the season, with the Under 3-1 in the previous four.

Also see: All Week 11 odds and lines

Giants at Buccaneers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:00 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +380 (bet $100 to $380) | Buccaneers -540 (bet $540 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Giants +10.5 (-110) | Buccaneers -10.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

PLAY: Try our new, free daily Pick’em Challenge and win. Play now!

Giants at Buccaneers key injuries

Giants

  • RB Saquon Barkley (ankle) questionable
  • RB Devontae Booker (hip) questionable
  • CB Logan Ryan (COVID-19) out
  • WR Sterling Shepard (quadriceps) out

Buccaneers

  • WR Antonio Brown (ankle) out
  • TE Rob Gronkowski (back) questionable
  • DT Vita Vea (knee) doubtful

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Giants at Buccaneers odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Buccaneers 34, Giants 17

Money line

The Buccaneers (-540) will cost you more than five times your potential return. Not only is that risky behavior in and of itself, but it’s especially a bad idea betting against an angry QB Tom Brady. He will do whatever it takes to avoid three straight losses. Still, risking that is foolish.

PASS, and look to the line instead.

Against the spread

The BUCCANEERS -10.5 (-110) are the play on its home field under the lights. In the past three home games as a double-digit favorite Tampa has covered.

‘The Bucs were 12.5-point favorites over the Chicago Bears in Week 7, and they rolled 38-3. They were 11-point favorites over the Miami Dolphins in Week 5, and they won 45-17. They were 13.5-point favorites over the Atlanta Falcons in Week 2, and routed the division rivals 48-25.

Over/Under

The OVER 49.5 (-115) is a decent play in this one. The Over has cashed in three of Tampa’s four home games this season, with the Bucs averaging 40.0 PPG in those four outings. Brady and the Bucs love a little home cooking, and they’ll pile up the points again despite the fact Brown is out for this one.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Washington Football Team odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Tampa Bay at Washington odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-2) head north to FedExField to take on the Washington Football Team (2-6) Sunday. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Buccaneers vs. Washington odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

MVP frontrunner QB Tom Brady will take the field having already thrown for a league-high 25 touchdowns. He’s on pace for a career-high in yardage, and it’s clear that he’s among the best in the business.

The Bucs success has followed in Brady’s as they lead the NFC South. They’ll look to get an easy win against a disappointing Washington Football Team.

Washington is led by QB Taylor Heinicke. RB Antonio Gibson and WR Terry McLaurin and DE Chase Young on the defensive side. Washington just hasn’t been able to find success despite having talented players. Tampa Bay, although on the road, enters as a heavy favorite.

Buccaneers at Washington odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:47 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tampa Bay -475 (bet $475 to win $100) | Washington +340 (bet $100 to win $340)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Tampa Bay -9.5 (-112) | Washington +9.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Buccaneers at Washington key injuries

Tampa Bay

  • WR Antonio Brown (ankle) out
  • TE Rob Gronkowski (back) out
  • WR Chris Godwin (foot) questionable
  • LB Jason Pierre-Paul (hand) questionable

Washington

  • WR Curtis Samuel (groin) out
  • WR Dyami Brown (knee) questionable
  • OL Sam Cosmi (ankle) questionable
  • DE Montez Sweat (jaw) out

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Buccaneers at Washington odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Buccaneers 31, Washington 17

Money line

PASS on the money line for Tampa Bay. Regular-season football and a -475 money line are never two things that should be put together.

Pass on the money line for Washington too. It’s just proven to be an inferior side this season and not worth the risk against one of the better teams in football.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the BUCCANEERS -9.5 (-112) for a small wager because betting on the drastically superior quarterback should be beneficial in this instance.

Brady has been electric this season, throwing for at least four touchdowns in three of his last four games. On top of that, RB Leonard Fournette has exploded onto the scene as a top-tier back.

Tampa Bay is just 3-5 against the spread, but that’s better than the overrated Washington side that comes in 1-7. Considering they’re averaging the 25th most points per game, there is no way they can keep up with Tampa Bay.

I’d lean to Tom in this one.

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 50.5 (-112) as Washington’s offense just hasn’t shown enough to be backed. Brady will get his own, but Washington is one of just nine teams averaging fewer than 20 points per game.

If that’s the case, the Bucs would have to top 30 to help cover the Over. With Young on one side, Washington should be able to limit a hampered Bucs offense at least a little.

It’s currently 21st in opponents’ completion percentage, but Washington’s home completion percentage jumps to 14th despite having let down many with its poor play.

Considering their better play at home and horrific offense along with Tampa Bay’s capable defense, I’m betting the Under.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints Week 8 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-1) hit the road in Week 8 to face the NFC South division-rival New Orleans Saints (4-2) Sunday at Caesars Superdome. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET and will be televised on FOX. Below, we look at the Buccaneers vs. Saints odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Buccaneers registered a 38-3 blowout win against the Chicago Bears last weekend. While Tampa side bettors enjoyed the day, Over bettors certainly weren’t entertained by the game as both teams combined for just 3 second half points. The Bucs have won four in a row but are just 2-2 ATS during the streak.

The Saints have won back-to-back games with road victories over the Washington Football Team and Seattle Seahawks. They’re back on home turf for the first time since a stunning 27-21 overtime loss against the New York Giants in Week 4. New Orleans has alternated covers and non-covers in each of the first six outings.

Buccaneers at Saints odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Buccaneers -240 (bet $240 to win $100) | Saints +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Buccaneers -5.5 (-112) | Saints +5.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Buccaneers at Saints key injuries

Buccaneers

  • WR Antonio Brown (ankle) questionable
  • LB Lavonte David (ankle) questionable
  • CB Jamel Dean (shoulder, thumb) questionable
  • CB Richard Sherman (hamstring) questionable
  • TE O.J. Howard (ankle) questionable
  • TE Rob Gronkowski (ribs) questionable
  • LB Jason Pierre-Paul (shoulder, hand) questionable
  • DT Ndamukong Suh (knee) questionable

Saints

  • LG Andrus Peat (pectoral) questionable
  • WR Deonte Harris (hamstring) questionable
  • QB Tayson Hill (concussion) questionable
  • CB Marshon Lattimore (hand) questionable

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Buccaneers at Saints odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Saints 31, Buccaneers 27

Money line

NEW ORLEANS (+190) is a value play with a chance to nearly double up. The Saints were kryptonite for the Buccaneers during the Drew Brees era. The Bucs are just 1-5 ATS in the past six meetings in this series, with the road team 5-2 ATS in the previous seven.

QB Tom Brady and the Bucs didn’t lose many games last year, but they dropped both regular-season meetings with the Saints. While that was against Brees this current Saints squad is red-hot and has won two straight and three of the past four games. New Orleans is worth a look until Tampa proves they can win in the Big Easy.

Against the spread

The SAINTS +5.5 (-108) catching nearly two field goals at home is a good play against a team they have had their way with over the years.

Again, nearly all of the damage was done during the Brees era, but QB Jameis Winston gets a crack at his former teammates and will be playing with a chip on his shoulder with something to prove against one of the leagues’s best teams.

Over/Under

The OVER 49.5 (-115) is the lean in this NFC South battle. The Saints have had a lot of success, and it’s mostly due to their strong defense. While New Orleans ranks eighth in the NFL with 331.5 yards per game allowed and is third with just 80.8 rushing yards per game allowed, it remains very susceptible to the pass. Both the Bucs and Saints will pass first and avoid the run in what could be a score-fest.

The Bucs are also a shutdown rush defense, giving up a league-low 67.4 yards per game. However, they have allowed 264.7 yards per game through the air, so while RB Alvin Kamara might not do much on the ground, look for plenty of targets out of the backfield for the dual-threat.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Underdog Corner: 3 best NFL picks and predictions for Week 8

Assessing the NFL betting odds and lines for Week 8, with three predictions and picks for the best underdog bets to make.

Forgive the Halloween pun, but it’s scary how well things have gone here in Underdog Corner this season.
Week 7 featured our sixth winning week and third 3-0 card of the season as the Tennessee Titans and Indianapolis Colts won outright Sunday, and the Seattle Seahawks covered at home Monday night. That brings our season against-the-spread record to 16-5 with 13 of those underdog selections winning outright.
It’s scary because we know regression could start pulling us back to the mean at any time, but hopefully it doesn’t start with…

NFL underdog predictions: Week 8

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:00 a.m. ET.

Detroit Lions +3.5 (-112) vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The 0-7 Lions are the only team still searching for its first win, but coach Dan Campbell’s crew has certainly been feisty, posting a 4-3 ATS record so far.

Jalen Hurts and the Eagles, meanwhile, have been less than inspiring at 2-5 overall and 3-4 ATS, and this is a prime opportunity for the Lions to break into the win column.

But even if it’s yet another heartbreaker for Detroit via a last-second field goal, we’ll still be good getting the 3.5 points.

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Houston Texans +14.5 (-115) vs. Los Angeles Rams

So why would we side with a 1-6 team that has dropped six straight and averaged a league-worst 7.8 points per game over its last five outings?

It’s certainly far from comfortable with the opponent being the 6-1 Rams and NFL double-digit favorites also having covered at an 8-3 clip so far this season.

However, veteran QB Tyrod Taylor should be back for the Texans this week, sending overmatched rookie Davis Mills back to the bench, and that should be enough for Houston to get its third cover in four home games with the two-TD-plus cushion.

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New Orleans Saints +5.5 (-108) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

We went against the Saints this past Monday night, and while they still prevailed 13-10 in Seattle, they didn’t get the cover as you could almost sense they were looking past Geno Smith and the slumping Seahawks and ahead to Sunday’s Big Easy visit from Tom Brady and the defending world champs.

The Saints did sweep the regular-season series last season, posting 34-23 and 38-3 wins, but the Bucs took full advantage of four New Orleans turnovers in the divisional-round playoff rubber match to advance with a 30-20 road win.

If Jameis Winston and Co. can avoid those costly mistakes Sunday, they’ll have a decent shot at upsetting the 6-1 Bucs, who have struggled at times defensively and are actually below .500 (3-4) ATS.

Also see: All Week 8 odds and lines

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Week 7 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Chicago Bears (3-3) visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-1) Sunday in Week 7 for a 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff at Raymond James Stadium (CBS). Below, we look at the Bears vs. Buccaneers odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Chicago is coming off a 24-14 home loss to the Green Bay Packers and QB Aaron “I own you” Rodgers in Week 6. The loss snapped a Bears’ two-game win streak, and they failed to cover as 5.5-point underdogs, falling to 3-3 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

Tampa Bay won at the Philadelphia Eagles 28-22 in Week 6 for a third victory in a row. The Bucs were somewhat “backdoored” as 7-point favorites. They failed to cover when the Eagles scored a touchdown and the “meaningful” 2-point conversion with 5:54 to go in the game.

While the Bucs are an impressive 5-1 to sit atop the NFC South, they’re only 2-4 ATS.

Bears at Buccaneers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bears +470 (bet $100 to win $470) | Buccaneers -700 (bet $700 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bears +11.5 (-112) | Buccaneers -11.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -103 | U: -117)

PLAY: Try our new, free daily Pick’em Challenge and win. Play now!

Bears at Buccaneers key injuries

Bears

  • DB Tashaun Gipson Sr. (hip) out
  • WR/PR/KR Jakeem Grant Sr. (ankle) questionable
  • DT Akiem Hicks (groin) questionable
  • LB Khalil Mack (foot) questionable
  • DL Bilal Nichols (knee) questionable
  • WR Allen Robinson (ankle) questionable

Buccaneers

  • WR Antonio Brown (ankle) out
  • LB Lavonte David (ankle) out
  • TE Rob Gronkowski (ribs) out
  • TE O.J. Howard (ankle) questionable
  • LB Jason Pierre-Paul (shoulder/hand) questionable
  • CB Richard Sherman (hamstring) out

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Bears at Buccaneers odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Buccaneers 30, Bears 17

Money line

PASS. Backing the Buccaneers (-700) for seven times your return is not wise nor worth the risk. We’ll focus on the spread below.

Against the spread

TAMPA BAY -11.5 (-108) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

I know it’s a lot of points, but Brady and the Bucs thrive at home, and the Bears can’t score.

Chicago has only scored more than 2 touchdowns once this season – in a 24-14 home win vs. the Detroit Lions in Week 4. That was when the Bears had a healthy RB David Montgomery, who is on the injured reserve list with a sprained knee suffered in that Lions game.

The Bears are 1-2 on the road, featuring an identical 1-2 ATS mark.

The Buccaneers are 3-0 at home with an 2-1 ATS record. They won but didn’t cover as 10-point favorites in the season opener, a 31-29 squeaker against the Dallas Cowboys.

Their next 2 home games were non-sweaters for Bucs backers. Tampa Bay beat the Atlanta Falcons 48-25 as a 13.5-point favorite in Week 2, and cruised past the Miami Dolphins 45-17 as an 11-point favorite in Week 5.

Meanwhile, Brady has thrown for 1,066 yards and 14 touchdowns in the Bucs’ three home games. He’s also 5-1 in his career vs. the Bears, winning his first five before a 20-19 loss at Soldier Field in 2020, his first season with Tampa Bay.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 47.5 (-117) to WIN 0.5 UNITS.

I’ve been hammering Chicago Unders up to this point, and it has been profitable as the Under is 5-1 this season.

However, I’m a little worried Tampa Bay lights up the scoreboard and puts up 35-plus points.

The Bucs, who are 4-2 O/U, average 32.5 points per game to rank third in the league. They also average 426 total yards per game, also ranking third.

The Bears offense ranks last with 246.2 total yards per game and ranks 30th in points at 16.3 per contest.

Week 7 best bets

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
SINCE JULY 8 62-42 26-14 +17.636
*SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Philadelphia Eagles odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Philadelphia Eagles Week 6 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

Week 6 of the NFL season kicks off with a Thursday night game between the Tamp Bay Buccaneers (4-1) and Philadelphia Eagles (2-3). Kickoff is 8:20 p.m. ET at Lincoln Financial Field. Below, we look at the Buccaneers vs. Eagles odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Buccaneers put on an offensive clinic in Week 5. They beat the Miami Dolphins 45-17, and QB Tom Brady had 411 passing yards and five touchdown passes, leading to being named NFC Offensive Player of the Week. Both WR Antonio Brown and Mike Evans had over 100 receiving yards.

The Eagles snapped a three-game losing streak Sunday rallying back from a 15-3 deficit to defeat the Carolina Panthers 21-18. QB Jalen Hurts rushed for two touchdowns, including a six-yard go-ahead score with 2:38 left in the game. They held the Panthers to 267 yards and 5-for-15 on third down.

Buccaneers at Eagles odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Buccaneers -290 (bet $290 to win $100) | Eagles +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Buccaneers -6.5 (-112) | Eagles +6.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Buccaneers at Eagles key injuries

Buccaneers

  • LB Lavonte David (ankle) out
  • TE Rob Gronkowski (ribs) out
  • Antoine Winfield Jr. (concussion) out
  • OLB Jason Pierre-Paul (shoulder/hand) questionable

Eagles

  • OT Lane Johnson (personal matter) out
  • TE Dallas Goedert (COVID-19) questionable

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Buccaneers at Eagles odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Buccaneers 31, Eagles 17

Money line

The Eagles are 1-3 against teams with winning records when they play them. They have not yet won a game this season at home.

The Bucs are No. 1 in total offense and No. 3 in points scored per game. Their only loss this season was to the now 4-1 Los Angeles Rams.

Take the BUCCANEERS (-290).

Against the spread

Both the Eagles and the Buccaneers are 2-3 ATS on the season, but the Eagles are 0-2 ATS at home. The Bucs, though, are 0-2 ATS on the road.

The Bucs have played in two prime-time games so far this time, winning both by only two points each. However, they put up 48 points against the 12th-ranked Atlanta Falcons defense. The Eagles are ranked ninth in total defense.

Brady has 15 touchdown passes to only two interceptions in five games. He should pick apart the Eagles defense.

Take the BUCCANEERS -6.5 (-112).

Over/Under

Four of the Buccaneers’ five games this season have hit the Over. Two of the Eagles’ five games have.

The Bucs have allowed only 17 points in each of their last two games. They will limit Hurts and the Philadelphia offense, keeping their total low enough that, even if they put up 30 points, it won’t be enough to get to the projected total. Brady is also playing in a short week after injuring his throwing thumb Sunday. It has been heavily wrapped all week, and it’s going to be a factor.

Take UNDER 52.5 (-110).

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Miami Dolphins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Dolphins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Dolphins (1-3) visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) Sunday afternoon of Week 5 for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff at Raymond James Stadium. Below, we look at the Dolphins vs. Buccaneers odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

After a season-opening win over the New England Patriots, the Dolphins have lost three games in a row, most recently falling 27-17 to the Indianapolis Colts in Week 4. They are averaging the second-fewest points in the league at 15.5 points per game and await the return of injured QB Tua Tagovailoa. 

The Buccaneers survived QB Tom Brady‘sreturn to New England with a 19-17 win over his former team. Brady has 10 touchdown passes and leads the league in passing attempts and completions entering Week 5.

Dolphins at Buccaneers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dolphins +340 (bet $100 to win $340) | Buccaneers -475 (bet $475 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins +9.5 (-107) | Buccaneers -9.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Dolphins at Buccaneers key injuries

Dolphins

  • WR DeVante Parker (shoulder) questionable

Buccaneers

  • TE Rob Gronkowski (ribs) out
  • DL Patrick O’Connor (calf) out
  • Antoine Winfield Jr. (concussion) out
  • RB Giovani Bernard (knee) questionable
  • CB Jamel Dean (groin) questionable
  • LB Jason Pierre-Paul (shoulder, hand) questionable

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Dolphins at Buccaneers odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Buccaneers 31, Dolphins 21

Money line

At first glance, you have the defending champions facing a struggling team without their starting quarterback. Dolphins QB Jacoby Brissett as a starter for his career.

The Dolphins are 25th in scoring defense, while the Bucs scored 24 or more points in three of their four games.

However, as the Bucs are overwhelming favorites at -475, PASS on the money line.

Against the spread

Miami is 2-2 ATS, while Tampa Bay is 1-3 ATS. The Dolphins’ defense is near the levels of the Atlanta Falcons, against whom the Bucs put up 48 points in Week 2.

Tampa is 7-4 ATS at home since Tom Brady joined the team last season and it has been a regular practice of mine for years to not bet against Brady at home.

Take the BUCCANEERS -9.5 (-115).

Over/Under

Three of the Buccaneers’ four games this season had a total of more than 47 points. Only one of the Dolphins’ games finished with a total of more than 47 points.

The Buccaneers offense is great and their defense will allow the Dolphins enough points for the game to get into the 50s.

Take OVER 47.5 (-112).

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New England Patriots odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New England Patriots Sunday Night Football odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) and New England Patriots (1-2) meet on Sunday Night Football at Gillette Stadium in Week 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Buccaneers vs. Patriots odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Buccaneers are looking to bounce back after suffering their first loss of the season on the road against the Los Angeles Rams. The Over connected in each of the three outings for Tampa Bay to date.

The Patriots will get a chance to face QB Tom Brady on their home field. You might have heard he used to play in New England. The new signal-caller, QB Mac Jones, has been a bit uneven so far, and the Patriots are 0-2 straight up and against the spread through two home games. The Under is 3-0 in three outings for New England.

Also see: Sportsbook Wire’s NFL Week 4 picks

Buccaneers at Patriots odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Buccaneers -320 (bet $320 to win $100) | Patriots +250 (bet $100 to win $250)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Buccaneers -7.5 (-102) | Patriots +7.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Buccaneers at Patriots key injuries

Buccaneers

  • RB Giovani Bernard (knee) questionable
  • TE Rob Gronkowski (ribs) questionable
  • LB Jason Pierre-Paul (shoulder) questionable

Patriots

  • LB Kyle Van Noy (groin) questionable
  • RB James White (hip) questionable

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Buccaneers at Patriots odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Buccaneers 34, Patriots 17

Money line

The homecoming for Brady is going to be a successful one, as the Buccaneers (-320) bounce back from a defeat in a marquee game last weekend in Los Angeles.

However, you can’t risk more than three times your potential return on a road team, even with a legend like Brady under center in his old stomping grounds with a chip on his shoulder. There is just no value here.

AVOID, and look to the spread.

Also see: Brady vs. Belichick SNF specials

Against the spread

The BUCCANEERS -7.5 (-102) are an amazing value. The Patriots defense has been stout, but the offense is just too error-prone, and that’s not going to cut the mustard against Brady. He’ll make Jones and the Patriots pay while magnifying every error.

The Bucs were 4-1 SU/5-0 ATS after a straight-up loss last season, so don’t expect a losing skid. Brady just doesn’t allow that to happen.

Over/Under

The OVER 49.5 (-108) is the lean but go lightly. The New England defense has been stout, but it has been all Over all the time in prime-time games so far this NFL season.

The Over is 8-2 in games under the lights following Week 4’s Thursday Night Football matchup. Expect another shootout with Brady and the defending champs showing out.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Los Angeles Rams odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Los Angeles Rams Week 3 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

Week 3 includes a clash of undefeated teams with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0) and Los Angeles Rams (2-0) squaring off at SoFi Stadium on Sunday afternoon. Kickoff between these two NFC powerhouses will be at 4:25 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Buccaneers at Rams odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Buccaneers took care of the Cowboys and Falcons in the first two weeks, though they only beat Dallas by two points on a last-second field goal to win the season opener.

Tampa Bay looked even better against Atlanta, scoring two defensive touchdowns in the second half to pull ahead 48-25. In two games, QB Tom Brady has nine touchdown passes to lead the league.

The Rams beat the Bears by 20 in Week 1 and then snuck by the Colts, 27-24 last week. QB Matthew Stafford has looked every bit like the star the Rams thought he’d be in Los Angeles, already throwing five touchdown passes and only one interception through two weeks. The defense has struggled a bit between the 20s, but in the red zone, the Rams have been excellent.

Buccaneers at Rams odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Buccaneers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Rams +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Buccaneers -1.5 (-115) | Rams +1.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

PLAY: Try our new, free daily Pick’em Challenge and win. Play now!

Buccaneers at Rams key injuries

Buccaneers

  • WR Jaydon Mickens (abdomen) out
  • OLB Jason Pierre-Paul (shoulder) out
  • WR Antonio Brown (COVID) doubtful

Rams

  • RB Darrell Henderson Jr. (ribs) questionable

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Buccaneers at Rams odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Buccaneers 30, Rams 27

Money line

This is a tough game to predict because both teams have looked so good thus far. Even with Pierre-Paul out and Brown likely missing the game, too, because of COVID-19, the Buccaneers feel like the better team heading into this one.

Brady is playing so well and the run defense is going to force the Rams to be one-dimensional, which will allow the pass rush to thrive. I’m taking the BUCS (-125) to win outright.

Against the spread

With the spread only being 1.5 points, this is close to a pick ’em – especially after the Rams opened the week as 0.5-point favorites. It’s not many points for the Buccaneers to give up and both teams are just 1-1 ATS through two weeks.

Give me the BUCS -1.5 (-115) to cover and win by a few points.

Over/Under

The total went Over in each of the Rams and Bucs’ first two games, largely because of how well both teams have played on offense. The line is on the higher side this week at 55.5 points, but each defense has been susceptible to giving up yards.

If the Rams don’t get key red zone stops as they have in the last two weeks, the Bucs could put up 30-plus points. Bet the OVER 55.5 (-108).

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @camdasilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Access more NFL coverage:

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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