Hewlett Packard Enterprise Houston Open: PGA Tour preview with strokes gained data, players to watch and more

+430 on our bets last week – let’s keep that rolling in Houston

Enjoy it, folks. Breathe it in because, in a few weeks, the PGA Tour is going on a nearly month-long hiatus.

In the meantime, it’s time to go down to Texas for the Hewlett Packard Enterprise Houston Open. Defending champion Carlos Ortiz, just a week after Viktor Hovland defended his title in Mexico, was hoping to do the same in Houston. However, he withdrew from the event Tuesday due to a left shoulder injury. He came into the week in good form grabbing a solo runner-up in his home country of Mexico last week.

Brooks Koepka may be the biggest name in the field, but the world No. 15 is struggling to begin this season and will look to turn that around in Houston. Last year, Koepka tied for fifth at this golf course.

Golf course

Memorial Park Golf Course
Par 70
7,412 yards
Bermuda greens

Weather

Day Conditions Percent chance of rain Wind & Direction
Tuesday Partly Cloudy 6 percent 9 MPH (SE)
Wednesday Partly Cloudy 24 percent 13 MPH (SSE)
Thursday Partly Cloudy 24 percent 11 MPH (NNW)
Friday Sunny 8 percent 8 MPH (NNE)
Saturday Sunny 0 percent 9 MPH (N)
Sunday Mostly Sunny 9 percent 11 MPH (S)

Key stats

Driving distance: Data Golf has driving distance as the second-most important stat for the week (behind Strokes Gained: Approach). Recent champions, though, don’t quite reflect that. Carlos Ortiz and Lanto Griffin, both not known for the long ball, are the two winners at Memorial Park. However, at a par 70 golf course measuring over 7,400 yards, distance off the tee doesn’t hurt.

Bermuda putting: I say it every week the guys are on Bermuda greens – some players love ’em, some hate ’em. Look for players who thrive on lightning Bermuda.

Data Golf information

Course Fit (compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes — such as driving distance — to predict who performs well at each course – DataGolf): 1. Albany (home to Tiger Woods’ Hero World Challenge), 2. Detroit Golf Club (home to the Rocket Mortgage Classic), 3. Southern Hills CC

Trending (among the players in the field): 1. Sungjae Im (last three starts: T-13, 1, T-9), 2. Cameron Smith (T-34, T-14, T-9), 3. Sam Burns (1, T-14, T-5)

Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc.): 1. Sam Burns (4.7 percent), 2. Scottie Scheffler (4 percent), 3. Sungjae Im (3.9 percent)

Betting odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds a full list.

Sam Burns (+1300) Cameron Smith (+2000)
Scottie Scheffler (+2000)b Sungjae Im (+2000)
Adam Scott (+3000) Tony Finau (+3000)
Tyrrell Hatton (+3000) Brooks Koepka (+3000)
Talor Gooch (+3000) Aaron Wise (+3000)

Betting card for the Hewlett Packard Enterprise Houston Open

(Last week at the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba: 3-5 record, +430, or +4.3 units)

Talor Gooch – Top 20 (+170)

Talor Gooch plays his shot from the eighth tee during the third round of the Houston Open at the Golf Club of Houston on October 12, 2019 in Humble, Texas. (Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)

Gooooooch. Is his name fun to say? Yes. Is that why he’s on the card this week? No, but it is one reason. Gooch has played well this season: T-4, T-11, T-5, T-11. He’s not overpowering golf courses, but he’s getting it out there far enough, 306 yards on average, while finding the short grass 75.69 percent of the time, good enough for 15th on Tour.

The last two seasons at Memorial Park, Gooch was fantastic: T-4 (2019), 4th (2020).

Aaron Wise – Top 20 (+165)

Aaron Wise lines up a putt on the 2nd green during the third round of the 2019 U.S. Open golf tournament at Pebble Beach Golf Links. (Photo: Rob Schumacher-USA TODAY Sports)

Have to ride with the hot hand. Wise’s only win came in Texas back in 2018 at the AT&T Byron Nelson, so he’ll be comfortable in Houston. Last season at this event, he finished T-11. Over his last three events, Wise has finished T-8, T-5, and T-15.

Russell Henley – Top 20 (+220)

Russell Henley
Russell Henley (Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports)

This is my value pick for the week. One bad round in Mexico cost him a chance of a high finish, a Saturday 76. His other two starts this season? T-21 and T-25. He’s on the verge of a great start, and it may just be in the city in which he got his last win. He’s driving it nearly 300 yards on average, long enough to get around Memorial Park. He’s hitting 78.7 percent of fairways, which ranks third on Tour, while ranking first in SG: Approach.

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Viktor Hovland holds two-shot lead heading into Sunday at the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba

Can Viktor Hovland hold on for his second straight win at Mayakoba?

It was a wild day in Mexico during the third round of the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba. Matthew Wolff, for the first time in his career, entered moving day as the 18- and 36-hole leader. His two-stroke advantage didn’t stand for long as he bogeyed Nos. 2 and 3 and quickly found himself a few shots back. He never rebounded and sits at 11 under, eight shots back of the leader.

The man leading the pack just so happens to be the same gentleman that lifted the trophy at Mayakoba last season, one Viktor Hovland. The Norwegian fired a bogey-free 62 on Saturday. It was a round that saw Hovland hit over 85 percent of fairways (guess that new driver is paying dividends).

“I just think with it being a narrow course helps me because my bad shots tend to not go in the trees, so if I can always stay in between the tree lines, I can kind of hit a lot of approaches on the greens because they are soft, and if I hit good iron shots and they land on the pin, they’re going to stop on the pin,” Hovland said regarding the big stick.

“My kind of shot pattern with the driver, my misses tend to leak a little bit right, so with the wind being off the right, that kind of gave me a little bit of a cushion.”

If he’s able to hold on, Hovland would claim his third PGA Tour victory (and still none of them would have been won in the 50 states).

Talor Gooch outdid his Thursday 64 with a Saturday 63 thanks to six birdies and an eagle on the par-5 13th. Gooch has made just three bogeys all week, as he’s put little stress on his short game hitting nearly 80 percent of greens thus far.

“I’ve been in the final group a few times and it’s always — I mean, it’s what you play golf for,” Gooch said when asked about playing with Hovland and Justin Thomas in the final round. “This is at the highest level in the final group on Sunday and to do it with two of the best players in the world right now, two Ryder Cuppers, that’s what it’s about.”

He’ll tee off two shots back of Hovland on Sunday.

Justin Thomas did Justin Thomas things Saturday. He took care of the long holes on his front nine, birdieing both par 5s, then added two more circles to make the turn with a 4-under 32.

Justin Thomas of the United States and caddie Jim “Bones” Mackay line up a putt on the sixth green during the third round of the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba on El Camaleon golf course on November 06, 2021, in Playa del Carmen. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)

He then played Nos. 11-14 in 3 under to get to 7 under on the day. Four straight pars coming in would solidify his bogey-free effort Saturday and he will enter the final round three shots back.

“I just did everything pretty well. I’m not doing anything great, I’m not doing anything bad, I’m cleaning up nicely on the greens,” Thomas said, as he continues to try and improve with the flat-stick. “I feel like my speed on my lag putting, it’s not very good this week. I’ve had a couple really sloppy three-putts and had a couple nice saves today to prevent that again.”

Joaquin Niemann got on an absolute heater Saturday, playing Nos. 4-11 in 7 under which included an eagle on the par-5 seventh. However, he cooled off quickly and played the remainder of his round 3 over, putting a damper on his chances.

His 4-under round on moving day has Niemann at 11 under total and eight shots back heading into Sunday.

Other names in the mix

Carlos Ortiz (14 under, 4th)

Sergio Garcia (13 under, T-5)

Aaron Wise (12 under, T-7)

Scottie Scheffler (12 under, T-7)

Full leaderboard here.

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Teams to watch at the PGA Tour’s Zurich Classic of New Orleans at TPC Louisiana

These are the teams to watch at the PGA Tour’s Zurich Classic of New Orleans at TPC Louisiana.

Get ready for one of the most unique events on the professional golf schedule.

Established in 1938, the PGA Tour makes its annual stop in Louisiana this week for the 2021 Zurich Classic of New Orleans, held April 22-25 at TPC Louisiana in Avondale.

The Zurich Classic became a team event in 2017, with Jonas Blixt and Cameron Smith as the inaugural winners of the new format. Billy Horschel and Scott Piercy won in 2018. Ryan Palmer and Jon Rahm are back to defend their 2019 title after the 2020 event was canceled due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Here are eight teams worth watching this week in Louisiana.

How much money each PGA Tour golfer won at the CJ Cup at Shadow Creek

Here is what the Top-10 finishers at the CJ Cup took home from Shadow Creek Country Club.
10th Place: Harris English
$263,250.
9th Place: Sebastian Munoz
$282,750.
T – 7th Place: Bubba Watson + Lanto Griffin
$314,438.
6th Place: Joaquin Niemann
$351,000.
5th Place: Talor Gooch
$390,000.
T – 3rd Place: Tyrrell Hatton + Russell Henley
$565,500.
2nd Place: Xander Schauffele
$1,053,000.
1st Place: Jason Kokrak
$1,755,000

Here is what the Top-10 finishers at the CJ Cup took home from Shadow Creek Country Club.
10th Place: Harris English
$263,250.
9th Place: Sebastian Munoz
$282,750.
T – 7th Place: Bubba Watson + Lanto Griffin
$314,438.
6th Place: Joaquin Niemann
$351,000.
5th Place: Talor Gooch
$390,000.
T – 3rd Place: Tyrrell Hatton + Russell Henley
$565,500.
2nd Place: Xander Schauffele
$1,053,000.
1st Place: Jason Kokrak
$1,755,000